Vitória at Belenenses

Updated

Vitoria

32.4%30.5%37.1%
Vitória WinDrawBelenenses Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.08
0Final Score 1

Belenenses

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Braga+260
L 2-3 at FC Vizela+160
W 1-3 vs Estoril+110
T 1-1 at Portimonense+245
L 2-3 at Gil Vicente FC+225
Belenenses
Money Line
L 1-4 at Moreirense+450
L 4-1 vs Sporting CP+1200
T 1-1 at Maritimo+445
L 4-1 vs Porto+1100
L 0-1 at Famalicao+620

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-109-105+101+105-105+101+105+112.1
Belenenses+288+280+250+289+276+250+289+298.1
Draw+255+250+220+251+255+220+255+260.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-120----+105+105+112.1
Belenenses+335----+280+280+298.1
Draw+260----+235+235+260.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Belenenses: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 30.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +101 to -104
Belenenses ML moved from +260 to +250

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Belenenses: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 30.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
Belenenses ML moved from +360 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-102o2½+102o2½+102-o2½+102o2½+102o2½+104
Underu2½-122u2½-118u2½-122u2½-117-u2½-122u2½-117u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.5%
 
No59.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.14%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.29%
Exactly 61.28%
 
Exactly 126.67%
Exactly 318.31%
Exactly 53.77%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 038.78%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.40%
Exactly 35.49%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 033.89%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.84%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.08%
Exactly 217.25%
Exactly 41.27%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 35.40%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 064.49%
Exactly 128.29%
Exactly 26.20%
Exactly 30.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 060.59%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 27.60%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals11.19%
Wins by 3+ goals3.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals15.31%
Wins by 3+ goals4.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Belenenses
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal20.02%
Wins by 2 goals8.19%
Wins by 3 goals2.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal22.87%
Wins by 2 goals10.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.56%
Wins by 4 goals0.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.86%13.14%
1.560.19%39.81%
2.533.13%66.87%
3.514.82%85.18%
4.55.54%94.46%
5.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.22%38.78%
1.524.49%75.51%
2.57.09%92.91%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.11%33.89%
1.529.44%70.56%
2.59.60%90.40%
3.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.92%39.08%
1.524.21%75.79%
2.56.95%93.05%
3.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Belenenses
Score012345
0
13.14%
14.22%
7.69%
2.78%
0.75%
0.16%
1
12.45%
13.47%
7.29%
2.63%
0.71%
0.15%
2
5.90%
6.38%
3.45%
1.25%
0.34%
0.07%
3
1.86%
2.02%
1.09%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.44%
0.48%
0.26%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Vitoria
1-012.45%
2-05.90%
2-16.38%
3-01.86%
3-12.02%
3-21.09%
4-00.44%
4-10.48%
4-20.26%
Draw
0-013.14%
1-113.47%
2-23.45%
3-30.39%
Belenenses
0-114.22%
0-27.69%
1-27.29%
0-32.78%
1-32.63%
2-31.25%
0-40.75%
1-40.71%
2-40.34%
3-40.11%
0-50.16%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Belenenses
Score01234
0
39.08%
19.58%
4.90%
0.82%
0.10%
1
17.14%
8.59%
2.15%
0.36%
0.05%
2
3.76%
1.88%
0.47%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.55%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-017.14%
2-03.76%
2-11.88%
3-00.55%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-039.08%
1-18.59%
2-20.47%
Belenenses
0-119.58%
0-24.90%
1-22.15%
0-30.82%
1-30.36%
0-40.10%