Porto at Belenenses

Updated

Porto

68.1%16.3%15.6%
Porto WinDrawWin
2.22Projected Goals 0.51
4Final Score 1

Belenenses

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 3-2 at Estoril
W 1-3 vs Benfica-130
W 4-0 at FC Vizela-350
W 0-1 vs Braga-240
W 3-0 at Portimonense-270
Belenenses
Money Line
L 0-1 at Famalicao+620
W 1-2 vs Arouca+200
L 0-2 at FC Vizela+390
L 0-1 at Braga+1300
L 1-0 vs Estoril+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-546-375-435-401-421-435-375-338.2
Belenenses+1360+1000+1300+1274+1138+1300+1300+1259.2
Draw+583+425+410+518+484+410+518+546.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-525-----400-400-338.2
Belenenses+1440----+1100+1100+1259.2
Draw+580----+500+500+546.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Belenenses: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Belenenses: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -385 to -435
Belenenses ML moved from +1286 to +1138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Belenenses: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Belenenses: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -500 to -525
Belenenses ML moved from +1400 to +1100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o2¾-108o2¾-101o3+132-o2¾-101o3+132o2¾+105
Underu3+100u2¾-112u2¾-119u3-147-u2¾-119u2¾-112u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+105
Under-----u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-111 to u3-132

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.5%
 
No64.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.55%
Exactly 224.33%
Exactly 415.06%
Exactly 63.73%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.86%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 58.21%
Exactly 71.45%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 010.88%
Exactly 124.14%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 319.79%
Exactly 410.97%
Exactly 54.87%
Exactly 61.80%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 060.20%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.31%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 39.48%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 035.81%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.88%
Exactly 36.46%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 079.06%
Exactly 118.58%
Exactly 22.18%
Exactly 30.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals52.27%
Wins by 3+ goals29.20%
Wins by 4+ goals13.53%
Wins by 5+ goals5.28%
Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals1.41%
Wins by 3+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Belenenses
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Porto
Wins by 1 goal24.40%
Wins by 2 goals23.08%
Wins by 3 goals15.67%
Wins by 4 goals8.24%
Wins by 5 goals3.53%
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal5.58%
Wins by 2 goals1.20%
Wins by 3 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.45%6.55%
1.575.59%24.41%
2.551.26%48.74%
3.529.15%70.85%
4.514.09%85.91%
5.55.88%94.12%
6.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.12%10.88%
1.564.98%35.02%
2.538.21%61.79%
3.518.42%81.58%
4.57.45%92.55%
5.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.80%60.20%
1.59.25%90.75%
2.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.69%28.31%
1.535.96%64.04%
2.513.42%86.58%
3.53.94%96.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Belenenses
Score0123
0
6.55%
3.32%
0.84%
0.14%
1
14.53%
7.37%
1.87%
0.32%
2
16.12%
8.18%
2.07%
0.35%
3
11.92%
6.05%
1.53%
0.26%
4
6.61%
3.35%
0.85%
0.14%
5
2.93%
1.49%
0.38%
0.06%
Porto
1-014.53%
2-016.12%
2-18.18%
3-011.92%
3-16.05%
3-21.53%
4-06.61%
4-13.35%
4-20.85%
4-30.14%
5-02.93%
5-11.49%
5-20.38%
Draw
0-06.55%
1-17.37%
2-22.07%
3-30.26%
Belenenses
0-13.32%
0-20.84%
1-21.87%
0-30.14%
1-30.32%
2-30.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Belenenses
Score012
0
28.31%
6.65%
0.78%
1
29.07%
6.83%
0.80%
2
14.93%
3.51%
0.41%
3
5.11%
1.20%
0.14%
4
1.31%
0.31%
0.04%
5
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
Porto
1-029.07%
2-014.93%
2-13.51%
3-05.11%
3-11.20%
3-20.14%
4-01.31%
4-10.31%
5-00.27%
Draw
0-028.31%
1-16.83%
2-20.41%
Belenenses
0-16.65%
0-20.78%
1-20.80%