Porto at Estoril

Updated

Porto

40.2%27.8%32.0%
Porto WinDrawEstoril Win
1.30Projected Goals 1.03
3Final Score 2

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Benfica-130
W 4-0 at FC Vizela-350
W 0-1 vs Braga-240
W 3-0 at Portimonense-270
W 1-2 vs Vitoria-425
Estoril
Money Line
L 0-1 at Moreirense+180
T 2-2 vs Famalicao+135
W 1-0 at Belenenses+120
L 0-2 at Braga+625
T 2-2 vs Santa Clara+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-220-360-323--368-323-323-726.7
Estoril+575+875+640-+989+640+989+4234.9
Draw+320+450+345-+449+345+450+921.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto------726.7
Estoril-----+4234.9
Draw-----+825+921.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Estoril: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 90.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -323 to -333
Estoril ML moved from +650 to +640

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o2¾-122o2¾-111o3+115-o2¾-111o2¾-111o2¾-102
Underu3-110u2¾+102u2¾-109u3-145-u2¾-109u2¾+102u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-102
Under-----u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-102 to u3-123

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.72%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 411.96%
Exactly 62.17%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.65%
Exactly 320.52%
Exactly 55.58%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 027.32%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 39.95%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 035.56%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.01%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.98%
Exactly 219.80%
Exactly 41.92%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 054.84%
Exactly 132.94%
Exactly 29.90%
Exactly 31.98%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 061.96%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals19.32%
Wins by 3+ goals6.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals11.09%
Wins by 3+ goals3.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Estoril
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Porto
Wins by 1 goal23.18%
Wins by 2 goals12.51%
Wins by 3 goals4.89%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal18.47%
Wins by 2 goals7.94%
Wins by 3 goals2.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.28%9.72%
1.567.63%32.37%
2.541.23%58.77%
3.520.71%79.29%
4.58.75%91.25%
5.53.17%96.83%
6.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.68%27.32%
1.537.23%62.77%
2.514.23%85.77%
3.54.28%95.72%
4.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.44%35.56%
1.527.67%72.33%
2.58.67%91.33%
3.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.02%33.98%
1.529.34%70.66%
2.59.55%90.45%
3.52.43%97.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Estoril
Score01234
0
9.72%
10.05%
5.19%
1.79%
0.46%
1
12.61%
13.03%
6.74%
2.32%
0.60%
2
8.18%
8.46%
4.37%
1.51%
0.39%
3
3.54%
3.66%
1.89%
0.65%
0.17%
4
1.15%
1.19%
0.61%
0.21%
0.05%
5
0.30%
0.31%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Porto
1-012.61%
2-08.18%
2-18.46%
3-03.54%
3-13.66%
3-21.89%
4-01.15%
4-11.19%
4-20.61%
4-30.21%
5-00.30%
5-10.31%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.72%
1-113.03%
2-24.37%
3-30.65%
Estoril
0-110.05%
0-25.19%
1-26.74%
0-31.79%
1-32.32%
2-31.51%
0-40.46%
1-40.60%
2-40.39%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Estoril
Score0123
0
33.98%
16.27%
3.89%
0.62%
1
20.41%
9.77%
2.34%
0.37%
2
6.13%
2.93%
0.70%
0.11%
3
1.23%
0.59%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.18%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Porto
1-020.41%
2-06.13%
2-12.93%
3-01.23%
3-10.59%
3-20.14%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-033.98%
1-19.77%
2-20.70%
Estoril
0-116.27%
0-23.89%
1-22.34%
0-30.62%
1-30.37%
2-30.11%