Belenenses at Moreirense

Updated

Belenenses

26.6%27.7%45.7%
Belenenses WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.38
1Final Score 4

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Belenenses
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Sporting CP+1200
T 1-1 at Maritimo+445
L 4-1 vs Porto+1100
L 0-1 at Famalicao+620
W 1-2 vs Arouca+200
Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-2 at Braga+750
L 2-0 vs Santa Clara+145
T 1-1 at Benfica+1400
W 1-0 at FC Vizela+225
L 1-2 at Tondela+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+255+390+402+440+380+402+440+451.8
Moreirense+110-125-128-125-131-128-125-117.2
Draw+220+225+245+247+252+245+252+258.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+305----+450+450+451.8
Moreirense-105-----135-135-117.2
Draw+240----+240+240+258.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 30.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Belenenses: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +412 to +402
Moreirense ML moved from -135 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 30.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Belenenses: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +475 to +450
Moreirense ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼-105o2-130-o2¼-105o2-130o2¼+108
Underu2¼-122u2¼-120u2¼-115u2+115-u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+108
Under-----u2¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-149 to u2+103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.2%
 
No58.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.30%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 410.64%
Exactly 61.69%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.64%
Exactly 319.52%
Exactly 54.64%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 044.88%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 214.41%
Exactly 33.85%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 025.18%
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 311.01%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.44%
Exactly 218.57%
Exactly 41.58%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.25%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 069.00%
Exactly 125.60%
Exactly 24.75%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 052.81%
Exactly 133.72%
Exactly 210.77%
Exactly 32.29%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals6.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals24.54%
Wins by 3+ goals9.24%
Wins by 4+ goals2.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Belenenses
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal15.07%
Wins by 2 goals5.16%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.93%
Wins by 2 goals15.29%
Wins by 3 goals6.46%
Wins by 4 goals2.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.70%11.30%
1.564.06%35.94%
2.537.20%62.80%
3.517.68%82.32%
4.57.04%92.96%
5.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.12%44.88%
1.519.17%80.83%
2.54.76%95.24%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.82%25.18%
1.540.09%59.91%
2.516.15%83.85%
3.55.14%94.86%
4.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.56%36.44%
1.526.77%73.23%
2.58.21%91.79%
3.51.96%98.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Belenenses
Moreirense
Score012345
0
11.30%
15.58%
10.75%
4.94%
1.70%
0.47%
1
9.05%
12.49%
8.61%
3.96%
1.36%
0.38%
2
3.63%
5.00%
3.45%
1.59%
0.55%
0.15%
3
0.97%
1.34%
0.92%
0.42%
0.15%
0.04%
4
0.19%
0.27%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Belenenses
1-09.05%
2-03.63%
2-15.00%
3-00.97%
3-11.34%
3-20.92%
4-00.19%
4-10.27%
4-20.18%
Draw
0-011.30%
1-112.49%
2-23.45%
3-30.42%
Moreirense
0-115.58%
0-210.75%
1-28.61%
0-34.94%
1-33.96%
2-31.59%
0-41.70%
1-41.36%
2-40.55%
3-40.15%
0-50.47%
1-50.38%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Belenenses
Moreirense
Score01234
0
36.44%
23.27%
7.43%
1.58%
0.25%
1
13.52%
8.63%
2.76%
0.59%
0.09%
2
2.51%
1.60%
0.51%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.31%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Belenenses
1-013.52%
2-02.51%
2-11.60%
3-00.31%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-036.44%
1-18.63%
2-20.51%
Moreirense
0-123.27%
0-27.43%
1-22.76%
0-31.58%
1-30.59%
2-30.11%
0-40.25%
Benfica at Tondela
Sporting CP at Porto