Moreirense at Benfica

Updated

Moreirense

8.9%6.8%84.3%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.34Projected Goals 3.25
1Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 1-0 at FC Vizela+225
L 1-2 at Tondela+160
W 0-1 vs Estoril+175
L 0-1 at Boavista+175
L 1-0 vs Portimonense+140
Benfica
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Pacos-525
L 1-3 at Porto+350
W 1-7 vs Maritimo-650
W 4-1 at Famalicao-170
L 3-1 vs Sporting CP+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1361+1200+1100+1432+1460+1100+1460+1548.7
Benfica-555-500-526-521-593-526-500-452.8
Draw+594+525+530+665+613+530+665+731.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1480----+1400+1400+1548.7
Benfica-575-----600-600-452.8
Draw+640----+700+700+731.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +1444 to +1432
Benfica ML moved from -526 to -556

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +1480 to +1400
Benfica ML moved from -550 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122o3-122o3-120o3-119-o3-120o3-119o3-112
Underu3+102u3+102u3+100u3+104-u3+100u3+104u3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-112
Under-----u3+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes27.8%
 
No72.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.76%
Exactly 217.80%
Exactly 419.10%
Exactly 68.20%
Exactly 81.89%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.92%
Exactly 321.29%
Exactly 513.71%
Exactly 74.20%
Exactly 90.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 071.05%
Exactly 124.29%
Exactly 24.15%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 03.89%
Exactly 112.63%
Exactly 220.50%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 418.01%
Exactly 511.69%
Exactly 66.33%
Exactly 72.94%
Exactly 81.19%
Exactly 90.43%
Exactly 100.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.99%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 46.03%
Exactly 60.55%
 
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 314.51%
Exactly 52.00%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 085.36%
Exactly 113.51%
Exactly 21.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 022.24%
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 312.59%
Exactly 44.73%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals0.24%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals76.35%
Wins by 3+ goals55.59%
Wins by 4+ goals34.93%
Wins by 5+ goals19.02%
Wins by 6+ goals9.05%
Wins by 7+ goals3.79%
Wins by 8+ goals1.39%
Wins by 9+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal1.57%
Wins by 2 goals0.22%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal14.96%
Wins by 2 goals20.76%
Wins by 3 goals20.65%
Wins by 4 goals15.91%
Wins by 5 goals9.97%
Wins by 6 goals5.26%
Wins by 7 goals2.39%
Wins by 8 goals0.96%
Wins by 9 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.24%2.76%
1.587.32%12.68%
2.569.52%30.48%
3.548.23%51.77%
4.529.14%70.86%
5.515.43%84.57%
6.57.23%92.77%
7.53.03%96.97%
8.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.528.95%71.05%
1.54.67%95.33%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.11%3.89%
1.583.48%16.52%
2.562.97%37.03%
3.540.79%59.21%
4.522.77%77.23%
5.511.08%88.92%
6.54.75%95.25%
7.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.01%18.99%
1.549.47%50.53%
2.523.26%76.74%
3.58.75%91.25%
4.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Benfica
Score01234
0
2.76%
8.97%
14.57%
15.76%
12.80%
1
0.94%
3.07%
4.98%
5.39%
4.37%
2
0.16%
0.52%
0.85%
0.92%
0.75%
Moreirense
1-00.94%
2-00.16%
2-10.52%
Draw
0-02.76%
1-13.07%
2-20.85%
3-30.10%
Benfica
0-18.97%
0-214.57%
1-24.98%
0-315.76%
1-35.39%
2-30.92%
0-412.80%
1-44.37%
2-40.75%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Benfica
Score0123456
0
18.99%
28.54%
21.45%
10.75%
4.04%
1.21%
0.30%
1
3.01%
4.52%
3.40%
1.70%
0.64%
0.19%
0.05%
2
0.24%
0.36%
0.27%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-03.01%
2-00.24%
2-10.36%
Draw
0-018.99%
1-14.52%
2-20.27%
Benfica
0-128.54%
0-221.45%
1-23.40%
0-310.75%
1-31.70%
2-30.13%
0-44.04%
1-40.64%
0-51.21%
1-50.19%
0-60.30%