Moreirense at Tondela

Updated

Moreirense

31.8%29.0%39.2%
Moreirense WinDrawTondela Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 2

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Estoril+175
L 0-1 at Boavista+175
L 1-0 vs Portimonense+140
T 2-2 vs Gil Vicente FC+155
L 1-2 at Vitoria+490
Tondela
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+240
L 1-0 vs Pacos+155
L 2-5 at Vitoria+450
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1300
W 2-4 vs Maritimo+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+170+155+165+170+158+165+170+177.2
Tondela+165+170+185+190+168+185+190+197.8
Draw+205+200+210+222+233+210+233+229.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+170----+160+160+177.2
Tondela+170----+190+190+197.8
Draw+220----+210+210+229.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Tondela: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +180 to +173
Tondela ML moved from +190 to +180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Tondela: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +155 to +145
Tondela ML moved from +205 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2¼-118o2¼-114o2½+116-o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-104
Underu2¼-118u2¼-102u2¼-106u2½-131-u2¼-106u2½-131u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-120 to o2½-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.24%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.69%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.57%
Exactly 319.56%
Exactly 54.67%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 037.55%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.01%
Exactly 35.88%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 029.94%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.35%
Exactly 218.61%
Exactly 41.59%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.28%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 063.54%
Exactly 128.82%
Exactly 26.53%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 057.21%
Exactly 131.95%
Exactly 28.92%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals10.82%
Wins by 3+ goals2.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals17.87%
Wins by 3+ goals5.96%
Wins by 4+ goals1.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Tondela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal18.93%
Wins by 2 goals7.86%
Wins by 3 goals2.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal23.31%
Wins by 2 goals11.91%
Wins by 3 goals4.38%
Wins by 4 goals1.25%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.76%11.24%
1.564.19%35.81%
2.537.34%62.66%
3.517.78%82.22%
4.57.10%92.90%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.45%37.55%
1.525.67%74.33%
2.57.66%92.34%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.06%29.94%
1.533.96%66.04%
2.512.18%87.82%
3.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.65%36.35%
1.526.86%73.14%
2.58.25%91.75%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Tondela
Score012345
0
11.24%
13.56%
8.18%
3.29%
0.99%
0.24%
1
11.01%
13.28%
8.01%
3.22%
0.97%
0.23%
2
5.39%
6.50%
3.92%
1.58%
0.48%
0.11%
3
1.76%
2.12%
1.28%
0.51%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.43%
0.52%
0.31%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-011.01%
2-05.39%
2-16.50%
3-01.76%
3-12.12%
3-21.28%
4-00.43%
4-10.52%
4-20.31%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-011.24%
1-113.28%
2-23.92%
3-30.51%
Tondela
0-113.56%
0-28.18%
1-28.01%
0-33.29%
1-33.22%
2-31.58%
0-40.99%
1-40.97%
2-40.48%
3-40.16%
0-50.24%
1-50.23%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Tondela
Score01234
0
36.35%
20.30%
5.67%
1.05%
0.15%
1
16.49%
9.21%
2.57%
0.48%
0.07%
2
3.74%
2.09%
0.58%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.57%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-016.49%
2-03.74%
2-12.09%
3-00.57%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-036.35%
1-19.21%
2-20.58%
Tondela
0-120.30%
0-25.67%
1-22.57%
0-31.05%
1-30.48%
2-30.11%
0-40.15%
Belenenses at FC Vizela
Sporting CP at Santa Clara