Braga at Benfica

Updated

Braga

13.9%19.2%66.9%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.87Projected Goals 2.16
2Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Casa Pia AC-230
W 2-0 at Santa Clara+135
T 3-3 vs Famalicao-175
T 2-2 vs Estoril-425
W 1-0 at AVS-245
Benfica
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sporting CP+195
W 0-3 vs Estoril-1150
W 2-0 at Nacional
T 1-1 at AVS-625
W 0-1 vs Vitoria-340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+575+707+625+690+711+690+711+747.3
Benfica-235-282-290-312-314-312-282-240.2
Draw+350+463+420+430+445+430+463+468.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+600----+750+750+747.3
Benfica-240-----300-300-240.2
Draw+400----+450+450+468.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +690 to +680
Benfica ML moved from -273 to -282

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +625 to +600
Benfica ML moved from -275 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3½+107o3¼-115o3¼-119o3¼-114o3¼-119o3¼-114o3¼-108
Underu3-122u3½-125u3¼-105u3¼-101u3¼-106u3¼-101u3½-125u3¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-108
Under-----u3¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.83%
Exactly 222.18%
Exactly 416.97%
Exactly 65.19%
Exactly 80.85%
 
Exactly 114.64%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.28%
Exactly 72.25%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 041.90%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.85%
Exactly 34.60%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 011.53%
Exactly 124.91%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 319.37%
Exactly 410.46%
Exactly 54.52%
Exactly 61.63%
Exactly 70.50%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.59%
Exactly 224.20%
Exactly 43.97%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.49%
Exactly 311.32%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 066.85%
Exactly 126.92%
Exactly 25.42%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 036.78%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.40%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals4.28%
Wins by 3+ goals1.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals43.03%
Wins by 3+ goals22.82%
Wins by 4+ goals10.09%
Wins by 5+ goals3.78%
Wins by 6+ goals1.20%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Benfica
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Braga
Wins by 1 goal9.60%
Wins by 2 goals3.27%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal23.84%
Wins by 2 goals20.22%
Wins by 3 goals12.73%
Wins by 4 goals6.31%
Wins by 5 goals2.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.89%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.17%4.83%
1.580.53%19.47%
2.558.35%41.65%
3.535.95%64.05%
4.518.98%81.02%
5.58.70%91.30%
6.53.50%96.50%
7.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.10%41.90%
1.521.65%78.35%
2.55.80%94.20%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.47%11.53%
1.563.56%36.44%
2.536.66%63.34%
3.517.29%82.71%
4.56.83%93.17%
5.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.41%24.59%
1.540.92%59.08%
2.516.72%83.28%
3.55.41%94.59%
4.51.44%98.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Benfica
Score012345
0
4.83%
10.44%
11.27%
8.12%
4.38%
1.89%
1
4.20%
9.08%
9.81%
7.06%
3.81%
1.65%
2
1.83%
3.95%
4.26%
3.07%
1.66%
0.72%
3
0.53%
1.14%
1.24%
0.89%
0.48%
0.21%
4
0.12%
0.25%
0.27%
0.19%
0.10%
0.05%
Braga
1-04.20%
2-01.83%
2-13.95%
3-00.53%
3-11.14%
3-21.24%
4-00.12%
4-10.25%
4-20.27%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-04.83%
1-19.08%
2-24.26%
3-30.89%
4-40.10%
Benfica
0-110.44%
0-211.27%
1-29.81%
0-38.12%
1-37.06%
2-33.07%
0-44.38%
1-43.81%
2-41.66%
3-40.48%
0-51.89%
1-51.65%
2-50.72%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Benfica
Score012345
0
24.59%
24.59%
12.30%
4.10%
1.03%
0.21%
1
9.90%
9.90%
4.95%
1.65%
0.41%
0.08%
2
1.99%
1.99%
1.00%
0.33%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.27%
0.27%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-09.90%
2-01.99%
2-11.99%
3-00.27%
3-10.27%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-024.59%
1-19.90%
2-21.00%
Benfica
0-124.59%
0-212.30%
1-24.95%
0-34.10%
1-31.65%
2-30.33%
0-41.03%
1-40.41%
0-50.21%
AVS Futebol at Moreirense
Arouca at Boavista