Estoril at Benfica

Updated

Estoril

3.2%8.6%88.1%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.50Projected Goals 3.14

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Casa Pia AC+190
T 2-2 at Braga+1100
W 1-2 vs Famalicao+235
T 0-0 vs AVS+150
L 0-4 at Porto+2000
Benfica
Money Line
W 2-0 at Nacional
T 1-1 at AVS-625
W 0-1 vs Vitoria-340
W 2-0 at Arouca-475
W 1-4 vs Porto-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+2500+2123+2200+1600-+1600+2200+1760.9
Benfica-1300-879-1000-1250--1250-879-548.8
Draw+1000+929+850+810-+810+929+896.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+2050----+2950+2950+1760.9
Benfica-1150-----1650-1650-548.8
Draw+1075----+1200+1200+896.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +2252 to +2123
Benfica ML moved from -1250 to -1429

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 60.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
Benfica ML moved from -1200 to -1650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-108o3½-117o3½-118o3½-121-o3½-121o3½-117o3½-110
Underu3¾-112u3½-101u3½-102u3½+101-u3½+101u3½+101u3½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-110
Under-----u3½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.5%
 
No62.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.63%
Exactly 217.40%
Exactly 419.20%
Exactly 68.48%
Exactly 82.01%
Exactly 100.30%
 
Exactly 19.56%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 513.98%
Exactly 74.41%
Exactly 90.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 060.81%
Exactly 130.25%
Exactly 27.52%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 04.32%
Exactly 113.57%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 417.54%
Exactly 511.02%
Exactly 65.77%
Exactly 72.59%
Exactly 81.02%
Exactly 90.36%
Exactly 100.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.54%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 46.23%
Exactly 60.59%
 
Exactly 131.25%
Exactly 314.79%
Exactly 52.10%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 079.43%
Exactly 118.29%
Exactly 22.11%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 023.34%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 224.70%
Exactly 311.98%
Exactly 44.36%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals0.61%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals71.45%
Wins by 3+ goals50.26%
Wins by 4+ goals30.47%
Wins by 5+ goals16.00%
Wins by 6+ goals7.34%
Wins by 7+ goals2.96%
Wins by 8+ goals1.05%
Wins by 9+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal2.63%
Wins by 2 goals0.53%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal16.62%
Wins by 2 goals21.19%
Wins by 3 goals19.79%
Wins by 4 goals14.47%
Wins by 5 goals8.66%
Wins by 6 goals4.38%
Wins by 7 goals1.91%
Wins by 8 goals0.73%
Wins by 9 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.37%2.63%
1.587.81%12.19%
2.570.42%29.58%
3.549.32%50.68%
4.530.11%69.89%
5.516.14%83.86%
6.57.66%92.34%
7.53.25%96.75%
8.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.19%60.81%
1.58.94%91.06%
2.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.68%4.32%
1.582.11%17.89%
2.560.79%39.21%
3.538.46%61.54%
4.520.92%79.08%
5.59.89%90.11%
6.54.12%95.88%
7.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.46%18.54%
1.550.21%49.79%
2.523.89%76.11%
3.59.10%90.90%
4.52.87%97.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Benfica
Score012345
0
2.63%
8.25%
12.97%
13.58%
10.67%
6.70%
1
1.31%
4.10%
6.45%
6.75%
5.31%
3.33%
2
0.32%
1.02%
1.60%
1.68%
1.32%
0.83%
Estoril
1-01.31%
2-00.32%
2-11.02%
Draw
0-02.63%
1-14.10%
2-21.60%
3-30.28%
Benfica
0-18.25%
0-212.97%
1-26.45%
0-313.58%
1-36.75%
2-31.68%
0-410.67%
1-45.31%
2-41.32%
3-40.22%
0-56.70%
1-53.33%
2-50.83%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Benfica
Score0123456
0
18.54%
26.98%
19.62%
9.52%
3.46%
1.01%
0.24%
1
4.27%
6.21%
4.52%
2.19%
0.80%
0.23%
0.06%
2
0.49%
0.72%
0.52%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Estoril
1-04.27%
2-00.49%
2-10.72%
Draw
0-018.54%
1-16.21%
2-20.52%
Benfica
0-126.98%
0-219.62%
1-24.52%
0-39.52%
1-32.19%
2-30.25%
0-43.46%
1-40.80%
0-51.01%
1-50.23%
0-60.24%
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