Nacional at Vitória

Updated

Nacional

10.0%17.1%73.0%
WinDrawVitória Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.29

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Benfica
W 0-1 vs Moreirense+220
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+300
T 0-0 vs Boavista-105
L 0-2 at Estrela+240
Vitoria
Money Line
T 2-2 at Rio Ave-110
L 0-1 at Benfica+925
W 0-4 vs Gil Vicente FC-140
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+185
W 0-1 vs Moreirense-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+550+581+525+480-+480+581+539.7
Vitória-195-192-200-213--213-192-161.1
Draw+295+325+310+300-+300+325+341.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+600----+585+585+539.7
Vitória-210-----210-210-161.1
Draw+335----+335+335+341.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Vitória: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 20.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +575 to +525
Vitória ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 20.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +600 to +585
No Steam Moves On Vitória ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-113o2½-115o2½-113-o2½-113o2½-113o2½-103
Underu2½-118u2½-104u2½-105u2½-107-u2½-107u2½-104u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.98%
Exactly 222.41%
Exactly 416.80%
Exactly 65.04%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.94%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.08%
Exactly 72.16%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 049.08%
Exactly 134.93%
Exactly 212.43%
Exactly 32.95%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 010.15%
Exactly 123.22%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 320.25%
Exactly 411.58%
Exactly 55.30%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 70.66%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.94%
Exactly 224.05%
Exactly 43.86%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.63%
Exactly 311.13%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 071.93%
Exactly 123.70%
Exactly 23.91%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 034.68%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals2.56%
Wins by 3+ goals0.47%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals49.35%
Wins by 3+ goals27.64%
Wins by 4+ goals12.93%
Wins by 5+ goals5.12%
Wins by 6+ goals1.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Vitoria
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal7.32%
Wins by 2 goals2.09%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal23.56%
Wins by 2 goals21.72%
Wins by 3 goals14.71%
Wins by 4 goals7.81%
Wins by 5 goals3.39%
Wins by 6 goals1.25%
Wins by 7 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.02%4.98%
1.580.07%19.93%
2.557.66%42.34%
3.535.26%64.74%
4.518.46%81.54%
5.58.38%91.62%
6.53.35%96.65%
7.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.92%49.08%
1.515.99%84.01%
2.53.56%96.44%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.85%10.15%
1.566.63%33.37%
2.540.06%59.94%
3.519.81%80.19%
4.58.23%91.77%
5.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.06%24.94%
1.540.42%59.58%
2.516.38%83.62%
3.55.25%94.75%
4.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Vitoria
Score012345
0
4.98%
11.40%
13.04%
9.94%
5.68%
2.60%
1
3.55%
8.11%
9.28%
7.07%
4.05%
1.85%
2
1.26%
2.89%
3.30%
2.52%
1.44%
0.66%
3
0.30%
0.68%
0.78%
0.60%
0.34%
0.16%
Nacional
1-03.55%
2-01.26%
2-12.89%
3-00.30%
3-10.68%
3-20.78%
Draw
0-04.98%
1-18.11%
2-23.30%
3-30.60%
Vitoria
0-111.40%
0-213.04%
1-29.28%
0-39.94%
1-37.07%
2-32.52%
0-45.68%
1-44.05%
2-41.44%
3-40.34%
0-52.60%
1-51.85%
2-50.66%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Vitoria
Score012345
0
24.94%
26.42%
13.99%
4.94%
1.31%
0.28%
1
8.22%
8.70%
4.61%
1.63%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.35%
1.43%
0.76%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.15%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Nacional
1-08.22%
2-01.35%
2-11.43%
3-00.15%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-024.94%
1-18.70%
2-20.76%
Vitoria
0-126.42%
0-213.99%
1-24.61%
0-34.94%
1-31.63%
2-30.27%
0-41.31%
1-40.43%
0-50.28%
Sporting CP at Gil Vicente FC
Estoril at Benfica