Moreirense at Nacional

Updated

Moreirense

44.2%27.5%28.3%
Moreirense WinDrawNacional Win
1.34Projected Goals 1.02
0Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sporting CP+900
L 2-3 at Rio Ave+160
W 2-3 vs Gil Vicente FC+130
L 0-1 at Vitoria+390
W 2-0 at Boavista+125
Nacional
Money Line
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+300
T 0-0 vs Boavista-105
L 0-2 at Estrela+240
W 0-2 vs Santa Clara+210
L 0-1 at Casa Pia AC+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+160+150+150+151+144+151+151+171.0
Nacional+185+215+200+195+209+195+215+218.6
Draw+210+210+190+192+203+192+210+215.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+170----+145+145+171.0
Nacional+180----+220+220+218.6
Draw+210----+205+205+215.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +146 to +140
Nacional ML moved from +223 to +215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 10.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +165 to +145
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2-132o2-125o2¼+120o2-121o2¼+120o2-121o2¼+128
Underu2¼-118u2+113u2+105u2¼-140u2-101u2¼-140u2+113u2¼-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+128
Under-----u2¼-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.43%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 412.21%
Exactly 62.27%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.27%
Exactly 320.69%
Exactly 55.77%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 026.10%
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 223.55%
Exactly 310.54%
Exactly 43.54%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 036.15%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.52%
Exactly 220.02%
Exactly 41.99%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.30%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 053.69%
Exactly 133.39%
Exactly 210.38%
Exactly 32.15%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 062.43%
Exactly 129.41%
Exactly 26.93%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals20.59%
Wins by 3+ goals7.47%
Wins by 4+ goals2.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals10.45%
Wins by 3+ goals2.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal23.55%
Wins by 2 goals13.11%
Wins by 3 goals5.30%
Wins by 4 goals1.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal17.84%
Wins by 2 goals7.53%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.57%9.43%
1.568.29%31.71%
2.542.00%58.00%
3.521.31%78.69%
4.59.10%90.90%
5.53.34%96.66%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.90%26.10%
1.538.84%61.16%
2.515.30%84.70%
3.54.75%95.25%
4.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.85%36.15%
1.527.07%72.93%
2.58.36%91.64%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.48%33.52%
1.529.84%70.16%
2.59.82%90.18%
3.52.52%97.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Nacional
Score01234
0
9.43%
9.60%
4.88%
1.66%
0.42%
1
12.67%
12.90%
6.56%
2.23%
0.57%
2
8.51%
8.66%
4.41%
1.49%
0.38%
3
3.81%
3.88%
1.97%
0.67%
0.17%
4
1.28%
1.30%
0.66%
0.22%
0.06%
5
0.34%
0.35%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
Moreirense
1-012.67%
2-08.51%
2-18.66%
3-03.81%
3-13.88%
3-21.97%
4-01.28%
4-11.30%
4-20.66%
4-30.22%
5-00.34%
5-10.35%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-09.43%
1-112.90%
2-24.41%
3-30.67%
Nacional
0-19.60%
0-24.88%
1-26.56%
0-31.66%
1-32.23%
2-31.49%
0-40.42%
1-40.57%
2-40.38%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Nacional
Score0123
0
33.52%
15.79%
3.72%
0.58%
1
20.85%
9.82%
2.31%
0.36%
2
6.48%
3.05%
0.72%
0.11%
3
1.34%
0.63%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.21%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-020.85%
2-06.48%
2-13.05%
3-01.34%
3-10.63%
3-20.15%
4-00.21%
Draw
0-033.52%
1-19.82%
2-20.72%
Nacional
0-115.79%
0-23.72%
1-22.31%
0-30.58%
1-30.36%
2-30.11%
Gil Vicente FC at SC Farense
Boavista at Sporting CP