Rio Ave at Estrela

Updated

Rio Ave

22.9%26.8%50.3%
Rio Ave WinDrawEstrela Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.44

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Rio Ave
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+340
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+420
W 2-3 vs Moreirense+190
W 2-0 at Boavista+170
T 2-2 vs Casa Pia AC+150
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-2 at Porto+1700
W 1-2 vs Arouca+170
L 0-1 at SC Farense+190
W 0-2 vs Nacional+120
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+2600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave+190-+200+175-+175+200+202.6
Estrela+145-+135+133-+133+135+156.4
Draw+210-+215+225-+225+225+257.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave+200----+215+215+202.6
Estrela+145----+135+135+156.4
Draw+225----+225+225+257.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Estrela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rio Ave: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rio Ave ML moved from +184 to +174
Estrela ML moved from +145 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Estrela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rio Ave: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 50.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Rio Ave ML
Estrela ML moved from +145 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108-o2¼-120o2½+108-o2½+108o2¼-120o2½+117
Underu2¼-112-u2¼+100u2½-128-u2½-128u2½-128u2½-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+117
Under-----u2½-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.89%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.81%
Exactly 62.11%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.88%
Exactly 320.42%
Exactly 55.47%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Rio Ave
Exactly 041.67%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.96%
Exactly 34.66%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 023.72%
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 224.55%
Exactly 311.77%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.25%
Exactly 219.66%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.02%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rio Ave
Exactly 066.68%
Exactly 127.02%
Exactly 25.48%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 051.37%
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 211.40%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rio Ave
Wins by 2+ goals7.49%
Wins by 3+ goals1.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals24.91%
Wins by 3+ goals9.65%
Wins by 4+ goals2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Rio Ave
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Rio Ave
Wins by 1 goal15.37%
Wins by 2 goals5.65%
Wins by 3 goals1.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal25.27%
Wins by 2 goals15.26%
Wins by 3 goals6.66%
Wins by 4 goals2.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.11%9.89%
1.567.24%32.76%
2.540.77%59.23%
3.520.35%79.65%
4.58.54%91.46%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Rio Ave Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.33%41.67%
1.521.85%78.15%
2.55.89%94.11%
3.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.28%23.72%
1.542.14%57.86%
2.517.59%82.41%
3.55.82%94.18%
4.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.75%34.25%
1.529.05%70.95%
2.59.39%90.61%
3.52.37%97.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rio Ave
Estrela
Score012345
0
9.89%
14.22%
10.23%
4.91%
1.76%
0.51%
1
8.65%
12.45%
8.96%
4.29%
1.54%
0.44%
2
3.79%
5.45%
3.92%
1.88%
0.68%
0.19%
3
1.11%
1.59%
1.14%
0.55%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.24%
0.35%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Rio Ave
1-08.65%
2-03.79%
2-15.45%
3-01.11%
3-11.59%
3-21.14%
4-00.24%
4-10.35%
4-20.25%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.89%
1-112.45%
2-23.92%
3-30.55%
Estrela
0-114.22%
0-210.23%
1-28.96%
0-34.91%
1-34.29%
2-31.88%
0-41.76%
1-41.54%
2-40.68%
3-40.20%
0-50.51%
1-50.44%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Rio Ave
Estrela
Score01234
0
34.25%
22.82%
7.60%
1.69%
0.28%
1
13.88%
9.25%
3.08%
0.68%
0.11%
2
2.81%
1.87%
0.62%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.38%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Rio Ave
1-013.88%
2-02.81%
2-11.87%
3-00.38%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-034.25%
1-19.25%
2-20.62%
Estrela
0-122.82%
0-27.60%
1-23.08%
0-31.69%
1-30.68%
2-30.14%
0-40.28%
1-40.11%
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