Rio Ave at Estrela

Updated

Rio Ave

22.9%26.8%50.3%
Rio Ave WinDrawEstrela Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.44
0Final Score 1

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Rio Ave
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+340
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+420
W 2-3 vs Moreirense+190
W 2-0 at Boavista+170
T 2-2 vs Casa Pia AC+150
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-2 at Porto+1700
W 1-2 vs Arouca+170
L 0-1 at SC Farense+190
W 0-2 vs Nacional+120
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+2600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave+190-+195+186+207+186+207+212.9
Estrela+145-+140+140+139+140+140+162.6
Draw+210-+215+205+216+205+216+233.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave+200----+190+190+212.9
Estrela+145----+150+150+162.6
Draw+225----+225+225+233.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Estrela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rio Ave ML moved from +203 to +197
Estrela ML moved from +147 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Estrela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rio Ave ML moved from +200 to +190
Estrela ML moved from +145 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108-o2¼-102o2¼-105o2¼-102o2¼-105o2¼-102o2¼+104
Underu2¼-112-u2¼-118u2¼-115u2¼-118u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.89%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.81%
Exactly 62.11%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.88%
Exactly 320.42%
Exactly 55.47%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Rio Ave
Exactly 041.67%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 215.96%
Exactly 34.66%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 023.72%
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 224.55%
Exactly 311.77%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.25%
Exactly 219.66%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.02%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rio Ave
Exactly 066.68%
Exactly 127.02%
Exactly 25.48%
Exactly 30.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 051.37%
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 211.40%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rio Ave
Wins by 2+ goals7.49%
Wins by 3+ goals1.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals24.91%
Wins by 3+ goals9.65%
Wins by 4+ goals2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Rio Ave
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Rio Ave
Wins by 1 goal15.37%
Wins by 2 goals5.65%
Wins by 3 goals1.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal25.27%
Wins by 2 goals15.26%
Wins by 3 goals6.66%
Wins by 4 goals2.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.11%9.89%
1.567.24%32.76%
2.540.77%59.23%
3.520.35%79.65%
4.58.54%91.46%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Rio Ave Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.33%41.67%
1.521.85%78.15%
2.55.89%94.11%
3.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.28%23.72%
1.542.14%57.86%
2.517.59%82.41%
3.55.82%94.18%
4.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.75%34.25%
1.529.05%70.95%
2.59.39%90.61%
3.52.37%97.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rio Ave
Estrela
Score012345
0
9.89%
14.22%
10.23%
4.91%
1.76%
0.51%
1
8.65%
12.45%
8.96%
4.29%
1.54%
0.44%
2
3.79%
5.45%
3.92%
1.88%
0.68%
0.19%
3
1.11%
1.59%
1.14%
0.55%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.24%
0.35%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Rio Ave
1-08.65%
2-03.79%
2-15.45%
3-01.11%
3-11.59%
3-21.14%
4-00.24%
4-10.35%
4-20.25%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.89%
1-112.45%
2-23.92%
3-30.55%
Estrela
0-114.22%
0-210.23%
1-28.96%
0-34.91%
1-34.29%
2-31.88%
0-41.76%
1-41.54%
2-40.68%
3-40.20%
0-50.51%
1-50.44%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Rio Ave
Estrela
Score01234
0
34.25%
22.82%
7.60%
1.69%
0.28%
1
13.88%
9.25%
3.08%
0.68%
0.11%
2
2.81%
1.87%
0.62%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.38%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Rio Ave
1-013.88%
2-02.81%
2-11.87%
3-00.38%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-034.25%
1-19.25%
2-20.62%
Estrela
0-122.82%
0-27.60%
1-23.08%
0-31.69%
1-30.68%
2-30.14%
0-40.28%
1-40.11%