Arouca at Estrela

Updated

Arouca

21.9%26.3%51.8%
Arouca WinDrawEstrela Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.49
1Final Score 2

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Benfica+1200
T 0-0 at Famalicao+260
L 2-1 vs Braga+375
L 1-4 at Estoril+140
T 1-1 vs AVS+105
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-1 at SC Farense+190
W 0-2 vs Nacional+120
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+2600
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+425
L 0-3 at Gil Vicente FC+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+175-+170+159+164+159+170+180.3
Estrela+150-+170+164+180+164+180+185.7
Draw+215-+200+215+209+215+215+240.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+190----+180+180+180.3
Estrela+160----+170+170+185.7
Draw+210----+210+210+240.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estrela: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +178 to +167
Estrela ML moved from +178 to +167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estrela: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Estrela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118-o2¼+100o2¼-106o2¼-103o2¼-106o2¼+100o2¼+104
Underu2¼-102-u2¼-120u2¼-114u2¼-117u2¼-114u2¼-114u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.46%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 412.19%
Exactly 62.26%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.30%
Exactly 320.68%
Exactly 55.75%
Exactly 70.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 041.95%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.83%
Exactly 34.58%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 022.54%
Exactly 133.58%
Exactly 225.02%
Exactly 312.42%
Exactly 44.63%
Exactly 51.38%
Exactly 60.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.56%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 41.99%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 066.89%
Exactly 126.90%
Exactly 25.41%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 050.17%
Exactly 134.61%
Exactly 211.94%
Exactly 32.74%
Exactly 40.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals7.11%
Wins by 3+ goals1.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals26.30%
Wins by 3+ goals10.48%
Wins by 4+ goals3.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal14.81%
Wins by 2 goals5.38%
Wins by 3 goals1.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal25.40%
Wins by 2 goals15.82%
Wins by 3 goals7.13%
Wins by 4 goals2.50%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.54%9.46%
1.568.24%31.76%
2.541.94%58.06%
3.521.26%78.74%
4.59.07%90.93%
5.53.32%96.68%
6.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.05%41.95%
1.521.60%78.40%
2.55.78%94.22%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.46%22.54%
1.543.88%56.12%
2.518.86%81.14%
3.56.44%93.56%
4.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.44%33.56%
1.529.80%70.20%
2.59.80%90.20%
3.52.52%97.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Estrela
Score012345
0
9.46%
14.09%
10.50%
5.21%
1.94%
0.58%
1
8.21%
12.24%
9.12%
4.53%
1.69%
0.50%
2
3.57%
5.31%
3.96%
1.97%
0.73%
0.22%
3
1.03%
1.54%
1.15%
0.57%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.22%
0.33%
0.25%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
Arouca
1-08.21%
2-03.57%
2-15.31%
3-01.03%
3-11.54%
3-21.15%
4-00.22%
4-10.33%
4-20.25%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.46%
1-112.24%
2-23.96%
3-30.57%
Estrela
0-114.09%
0-210.50%
1-29.12%
0-35.21%
1-34.53%
2-31.97%
0-41.94%
1-41.69%
2-40.73%
3-40.21%
0-50.58%
1-50.50%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Estrela
Score01234
0
33.56%
23.15%
7.98%
1.84%
0.32%
1
13.49%
9.31%
3.21%
0.74%
0.13%
2
2.71%
1.87%
0.65%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.36%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-013.49%
2-02.71%
2-11.87%
3-00.36%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-033.56%
1-19.31%
2-20.65%
Estrela
0-123.15%
0-27.98%
1-23.21%
0-31.84%
1-30.74%
2-30.15%
0-40.32%
1-40.13%
AVS Futebol at Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FC at SC Farense