Estrela at Porto

Updated

Estrela

5.3%12.1%82.5%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.71
0Final Score 2

Porto

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Arouca+170
L 0-1 at SC Farense+190
W 0-2 vs Nacional+120
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+2600
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+425
Porto
Money Line
T 1-1 at Famalicao-255
W 0-2 vs Casa Pia AC-500
L 1-4 at Benfica+295
W 0-4 vs Estoril-800
W 5-0 at AVS-300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+1700-+1500+1100+1747+1100+1747+1206.9
Porto-800--625-640-811-640-625-385.8
Draw+700-+600+610+715+610+715+673.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+1625----+1700+1700+1206.9
Porto-750-----710-710-385.8
Draw+800----+750+750+673.2

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Estrela: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 70.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +1600 to +1500
Porto ML moved from -588 to -640

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Estrela: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 10.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 70.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +1750 to +1525
Porto ML moved from -625 to -710

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-108-o3¼+100o3¼-101o3¼-101o3¼-101o3¼+100o3¼+108
Underu3¼-112-u3¼-120u3¼-119u3¼-119u3¼-119u3¼-119u3¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+108
Under-----u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.0%
 
No60.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.79%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 418.11%
Exactly 66.46%
Exactly 81.24%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.41%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 511.85%
Exactly 73.02%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 057.12%
Exactly 131.99%
Exactly 28.96%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 06.64%
Exactly 118.01%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 414.97%
Exactly 58.12%
Exactly 63.67%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 80.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.99%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.30%
Exactly 312.74%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 077.16%
Exactly 120.00%
Exactly 22.59%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 028.49%
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 222.46%
Exactly 39.40%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals1.12%
Wins by 3+ goals0.17%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals62.11%
Wins by 3+ goals39.61%
Wins by 4+ goals21.42%
Wins by 5+ goals9.92%
Wins by 6+ goals3.98%
Wins by 7+ goals1.38%
Wins by 8+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Porto
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal4.20%
Wins by 2 goals0.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.15%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal20.35%
Wins by 2 goals22.50%
Wins by 3 goals18.19%
Wins by 4 goals11.50%
Wins by 5 goals5.95%
Wins by 6 goals2.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.98%
Wins by 8 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.21%3.79%
1.583.79%16.21%
2.563.48%36.52%
3.541.34%58.66%
4.523.23%76.77%
5.511.37%88.63%
6.54.91%95.09%
7.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.88%57.12%
1.510.89%89.11%
2.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.36%6.64%
1.575.35%24.65%
2.550.92%49.08%
3.528.85%71.15%
4.513.88%86.12%
5.55.77%94.23%
6.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.01%21.99%
1.544.71%55.29%
2.519.49%80.51%
3.56.75%93.25%
4.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Porto
Score012345
0
3.79%
10.29%
13.95%
12.61%
8.55%
4.64%
1
2.12%
5.76%
7.81%
7.06%
4.79%
2.60%
2
0.59%
1.61%
2.19%
1.98%
1.34%
0.73%
3
0.11%
0.30%
0.41%
0.37%
0.25%
0.14%
Estrela
1-02.12%
2-00.59%
2-11.61%
3-00.11%
3-10.30%
3-20.41%
Draw
0-03.79%
1-15.76%
2-22.19%
3-30.37%
Porto
0-110.29%
0-213.95%
1-27.81%
0-312.61%
1-37.06%
2-31.98%
0-48.55%
1-44.79%
2-41.34%
3-40.25%
0-54.64%
1-52.60%
2-50.73%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Porto
Score0123456
0
21.99%
27.60%
17.33%
7.25%
2.28%
0.57%
0.12%
1
5.70%
7.16%
4.49%
1.88%
0.59%
0.15%
0.03%
2
0.74%
0.93%
0.58%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Estrela
1-05.70%
2-00.74%
2-10.93%
Draw
0-021.99%
1-17.16%
2-20.58%
Porto
0-127.60%
0-217.33%
1-24.49%
0-37.25%
1-31.88%
2-30.24%
0-42.28%
1-40.59%
0-50.57%
1-50.15%
0-60.12%
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