AVS Futebol at Nacional

Updated

AVS

24.1%25.9%49.9%
AVS Futebol WinDrawNacional Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.51

Nacional

Last 5 Games

AVS
Money Line
T 1-1 at Moreirense+390
T 1-1 vs Estrela+135
T 0-0 at Boavista+235
T 1-1 vs Benfica+1525
T 1-1 at Casa Pia AC+390
Nacional
Money Line
L 1-2 at Rio Ave+290
T 2-2 at Vitoria+600
L 2-0 vs Benfica
W 0-1 vs Moreirense+220
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
7.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AVS Futebol+275--+265-+265+265+294.1
Nacional+104--+107-+107+107+123.5
Draw+210--+210-+210+210+234.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AVS Futebol+285----+285+285+294.1
Nacional+105----+105+105+123.5
Draw+230----+230+230+234.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AVS Futebol: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AVS Futebol: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AVS Futebol: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AVS Futebol ML moved from +275 to +265
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AVS Futebol: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AVS Futebol: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AVS Futebol: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On AVS Futebol ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102--o2¼+102-o2¼+102o2¼+102o2¼+111
Underu2¼-122--u2¼-122-u2¼-122u2¼-122u2¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+111
Under-----u2¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.38%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 413.19%
Exactly 62.70%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.78%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 56.54%
Exactly 70.96%
Exact Goals Scored - AVS
Exactly 038.04%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.77%
Exactly 35.73%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 022.04%
Exactly 133.33%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 312.71%
Exactly 44.81%
Exactly 51.45%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.73%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 38.00%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AVS
Exactly 063.92%
Exactly 128.61%
Exactly 26.40%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 049.64%
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 212.17%
Exactly 32.84%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

AVS
Wins by 2+ goals8.45%
Wins by 3+ goals2.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals25.34%
Wins by 3+ goals10.13%
Wins by 4+ goals3.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.83%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

AVS
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
AVS
Wins by 1 goal15.66%
Wins by 2 goals6.21%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal24.50%
Wins by 2 goals15.20%
Wins by 3 goals6.88%
Wins by 4 goals2.43%
Wins by 5 goals0.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.62%8.38%
1.570.84%29.16%
2.545.08%54.92%
3.523.80%76.20%
4.510.60%89.40%
5.54.06%95.94%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals AVS Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.96%38.04%
1.525.20%74.80%
2.57.43%92.57%
3.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.96%22.04%
1.544.64%55.36%
2.519.43%80.57%
3.56.72%93.28%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.27%31.73%
1.531.84%68.16%
2.510.94%89.06%
3.52.94%97.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

AVS Futebol
Nacional
Score012345
0
8.38%
12.68%
9.59%
4.83%
1.83%
0.55%
1
8.10%
12.25%
9.27%
4.67%
1.77%
0.53%
2
3.92%
5.92%
4.48%
2.26%
0.85%
0.26%
3
1.26%
1.91%
1.44%
0.73%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.30%
0.46%
0.35%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
AVS
1-08.10%
2-03.92%
2-15.92%
3-01.26%
3-11.91%
3-21.44%
4-00.30%
4-10.46%
4-20.35%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.38%
1-112.25%
2-24.48%
3-30.73%
Nacional
0-112.68%
0-29.59%
1-29.27%
0-34.83%
1-34.67%
2-32.26%
0-41.83%
1-41.77%
2-40.85%
3-40.28%
0-50.55%
1-50.53%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

AVS Futebol
Nacional
Score01234
0
31.73%
22.22%
7.78%
1.82%
0.32%
1
14.20%
9.95%
3.48%
0.81%
0.14%
2
3.18%
2.23%
0.78%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.47%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
AVS
1-014.20%
2-03.18%
2-12.23%
3-00.47%
3-10.33%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.73%
1-19.95%
2-20.78%
Nacional
0-122.22%
0-27.78%
1-23.48%
0-31.82%
1-30.81%
2-30.18%
0-40.32%
1-40.14%