Tondela at Santa Clara

Updated

Tondela

25.5%25.5%49.1%
Tondela WinDrawSanta Clara Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.56
2Final Score 2

Santa Clara

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
T 1-1 at Boavista+290
W 1-2 vs Moreirense+190
L 3-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+240
L 1-0 vs Pacos+155
L 2-5 at Vitoria+450
Santa Clara
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Sporting CP+800
L 1-2 at Pacos+195
W 0-1 vs Vitoria+215
L 1-4 at Maritimo+190
W 1-2 vs Arouca+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+280+390+320+434+395+325+434+446.7
Santa Clara+106-130-128-129-133-128-128-119.0
Draw+221+240+255+259+248+255+259+265.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+325----+400+400+446.7
Santa Clara-105-----135-135-119.0
Draw+230----+260+260+265.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 30.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +400 to +390
Santa Clara ML moved from -127 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 30.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +410 to +400
Santa Clara ML moved from -120 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2¼-110o2¼-106o2½+133-o2¼-106o2¼-106o2¼+102
Underu2¼-125u2¼-110u2¼-114u2½-148-u2¼-114u2½-148u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+102
Under-----u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.34%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 412.30%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.14%
Exactly 320.75%
Exactly 55.83%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 044.46%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 214.61%
Exactly 33.95%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Santa Clara
Exactly 021.00%
Exactly 132.77%
Exactly 225.57%
Exactly 313.30%
Exactly 45.19%
Exactly 51.62%
Exactly 60.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.36%
Exactly 220.10%
Exactly 42.02%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.36%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 068.71%
Exactly 125.79%
Exactly 24.84%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santa Clara
Exactly 048.55%
Exactly 135.08%
Exactly 212.67%
Exactly 33.05%
Exactly 40.55%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals5.94%
Wins by 3+ goals1.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Santa Clara
Wins by 2+ goals29.04%
Wins by 3+ goals12.05%
Wins by 4+ goals4.01%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Santa Clara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal13.48%
Wins by 2 goals4.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Santa Clara
Wins by 1 goal25.95%
Wins by 2 goals16.99%
Wins by 3 goals8.04%
Wins by 4 goals2.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.66%9.34%
1.568.52%31.48%
2.542.27%57.73%
3.521.53%78.47%
4.59.23%90.77%
5.53.40%96.60%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.54%44.46%
1.519.50%80.50%
2.54.90%95.10%

Total Goals Santa Clara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.00%21.00%
1.546.22%53.78%
2.520.65%79.35%
3.57.35%92.65%
4.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.64%33.36%
1.530.02%69.98%
2.59.91%90.09%
3.52.56%97.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Santa Clara
Score012345
0
9.34%
14.57%
11.37%
5.91%
2.31%
0.72%
1
7.57%
11.81%
9.22%
4.79%
1.87%
0.58%
2
3.07%
4.79%
3.74%
1.94%
0.76%
0.24%
3
0.83%
1.29%
1.01%
0.53%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.17%
0.26%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Tondela
1-07.57%
2-03.07%
2-14.79%
3-00.83%
3-11.29%
3-21.01%
4-00.17%
4-10.26%
4-20.20%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-09.34%
1-111.81%
2-23.74%
3-30.53%
Santa Clara
0-114.57%
0-211.37%
1-29.22%
0-35.91%
1-34.79%
2-31.94%
0-42.31%
1-41.87%
2-40.76%
3-40.20%
0-50.72%
1-50.58%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Santa Clara
Score01234
0
33.36%
24.10%
8.71%
2.10%
0.38%
1
12.52%
9.05%
3.27%
0.79%
0.14%
2
2.35%
1.70%
0.61%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.29%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Tondela
1-012.52%
2-02.35%
2-11.70%
3-00.29%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-033.36%
1-19.05%
2-20.61%
Santa Clara
0-124.10%
0-28.71%
1-23.27%
0-32.10%
1-30.79%
2-30.15%
0-40.38%
1-40.14%
Marítimo at Braga
Sporting CP at FC Vizela