Vitória at Estoril

Updated

Vitoria

55.3%24.9%19.8%
Vitória WinDrawWin
1.61Projected Goals 0.85
0Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Arouca-170
T 4-4 vs Sporting CP+285
T 2-2 at SC Farense-130
T 2-2 vs Nacional-230
T 2-2 at Rio Ave-110
Estoril
Money Line
W 3-2 at Santa Clara+475
W 4-2 at Estrela+235
T 2-2 vs Moreirense+190
L 0-3 at Benfica+2475
L 2-0 vs Casa Pia AC+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-140-113-115-118-124-118-113-100.0
Estoril+390+335+320+305+345+305+345+338.3
Draw+250+257+235+240+254+240+257+268.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-125-----120-120-100.0
Estoril+340----+350+350+338.3
Draw+275----+255+255+268.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 10.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Estoril: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from -120 to -127
Estoril ML moved from +346 to +335

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 10.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Estoril: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
Estoril ML moved from +360 to +350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+109o2¼-118o2¼-111o2¼-116o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-101
Underu2¼-102u2½-128u2¼-102u2¼-109u2¼-104u2¼-109u2½-128u2¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-101
Under-----u2¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.53%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 413.04%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.00%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 56.42%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 020.01%
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 313.89%
Exactly 45.59%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 042.66%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.48%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.00%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.89%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 047.47%
Exactly 135.37%
Exactly 213.17%
Exactly 33.27%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 067.41%
Exactly 126.59%
Exactly 25.24%
Exactly 30.69%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals29.67%
Wins by 3+ goals12.63%
Wins by 4+ goals4.37%
Wins by 5+ goals1.25%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals6.27%
Wins by 3+ goals1.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Estoril
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.56%
Wins by 2 goals17.05%
Wins by 3 goals8.26%
Wins by 4 goals3.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.96%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal13.53%
Wins by 2 goals4.78%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.47%8.53%
1.570.46%29.54%
2.544.61%55.39%
3.523.41%76.59%
4.510.37%89.63%
5.53.95%96.05%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.99%20.01%
1.547.80%52.20%
2.521.90%78.10%
3.58.01%91.99%
4.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.34%42.66%
1.521.00%79.00%
2.55.52%94.48%
3.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.00%32.00%
1.531.54%68.46%
2.510.77%89.23%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Estoril
Score01234
0
8.53%
7.27%
3.10%
0.88%
0.19%
1
13.73%
11.70%
4.98%
1.42%
0.30%
2
11.05%
9.41%
4.01%
1.14%
0.24%
3
5.93%
5.05%
2.15%
0.61%
0.13%
4
2.38%
2.03%
0.87%
0.25%
0.05%
5
0.77%
0.65%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
Vitoria
1-013.73%
2-011.05%
2-19.41%
3-05.93%
3-15.05%
3-22.15%
4-02.38%
4-12.03%
4-20.87%
4-30.25%
5-00.77%
5-10.65%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-08.53%
1-111.70%
2-24.01%
3-30.61%
Estoril
0-17.27%
0-23.10%
1-24.98%
0-30.88%
1-31.42%
2-31.14%
0-40.19%
1-40.30%
2-40.24%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Estoril
Score0123
0
32.00%
12.62%
2.49%
0.33%
1
23.84%
9.40%
1.85%
0.24%
2
8.88%
3.50%
0.69%
0.09%
3
2.21%
0.87%
0.17%
0.02%
4
0.41%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-023.84%
2-08.88%
2-13.50%
3-02.21%
3-10.87%
3-20.17%
4-00.41%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-032.00%
1-19.40%
2-20.69%
Estoril
0-112.62%
0-22.49%
1-21.85%
0-30.33%
1-30.24%