Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gil Vicente FC
Moreirense		22.8%
50.8%		26.4%
+212
+155
+210
+140
1
0		-1.16174-1.18185-1.47902
Arouca
Rio Ave		27.7%
42.8%		29.5%
+192
+160
+190
+155
1
1		-1.21500-1.21147-1.22075
Sporting CP
Famalicao		71.1%
11.3%		17.6%
-304
+825
-350
+900
1
0		-0.31714-0.30171-0.34062
Chaves
FC Vizela		18.8%
57.2%		24.1%
+267
+110
+250
+115
1
0		-1.33720-1.30092-1.67371
Moreirense
Benfica		4.6%
84.7%		10.7%
+796
-286
+800
-325
0
3		-0.33363-0.31680-0.16623
Boavista
Arouca		19.2%
56.1%		24.6%
+398
-143
+400
-145
1
2		-0.56874-0.57481-0.57782
Casa Pia AC
Portimonense		31.1%
38.8%		30.1%
+197
+157
+190
+160
2
2		-1.21164-1.18215-1.20071
Rio Ave
Estrela		32.5%
37.4%		30.1%
+197
+160
+210
+150
2
2		-1.18104-1.16437-1.20184
Braga
Estoril		59.5%
17.7%		22.7%
-137
+376
-140
+350
1
0		-0.57905-0.58727-0.51879
Famalicao
Porto		5.3%
83.1%		11.5%
+1190
-400
+1300
-475
2
2		-1.88823-1.92189-2.16100
SC Farense
Vitoria		12.6%
66.9%		20.5%
+548
-176
+560
-200
1
1		-1.48466-1.50810-1.58309
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente FC		70.9%
10.8%		18.3%
-334
+1002
-380
+1000
4
0		-0.29383-0.28303-0.34414
Estoril
Casa Pia AC		29.0%
42.3%		28.7%
+164
+213
+165
+200
0
0		-1.12067-1.13029-1.24845
Vitoria
Porto		10.2%
72.2%		17.6%
+796
-275
+750
-300
2
1		-2.23073-2.19149-2.28573
Estrela
Moreirense		19.6%
56.0%		24.4%
+256
+121
+270
+110
2
2		-1.22755-1.24223-1.40993
Portimonense
Chaves		28.4%
42.4%		29.2%
+243
+125
+245
+120
3
2		-1.26734-1.28913-1.25769
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).