Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 5 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/25/2023 07:15 PM	Rio Ave Sporting CP	4.9% 83.2%	11.9%	+1531 -522 +1600 -625	0 2	-0.20689-0.19713	-0.18381
09/24/2023 07:30 PM	Boavista Braga	9.3% 74.7%	16.0%	+480 -195 +460 -190	1 4	-0.45282-0.47050	-0.29232
09/24/2023 05:00 PM	Benfica Portimonense	76.2% 8.1%	15.7%	-462 +1272 -475 +1025	3 1	-0.23306-0.24261	-0.27127
09/24/2023 02:30 PM	Estrela Chaves	27.5% 44.7%	27.7%	+172 +160 +170 +155	2 2	-1.27963-1.28942	-1.28298
09/23/2023 07:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Porto	6.1% 80.5%	13.4%	+1017 -379 +1050 -450	1 2	-0.25555-0.25054	-0.21645
09/23/2023 05:00 PM	Vitoria Casa Pia AC	29.9% 41.8%	28.3%	+217 +150 +220 +140	0 0	-1.19073-1.18185	-1.26199
09/23/2023 02:30 PM	FC Vizela Estoril	24.3% 48.8%	26.9%	+178 +157 +180 +155	2 2	-1.28670-1.24493	-1.31267
09/22/2023 07:15 PM	Arouca Famalicao	20.6% 54.7%	24.6%	+276 +120 +265 +115	0 1	-0.80815-0.81577	-0.60256
09/18/2023 07:15 PM	Chaves Boavista	20.8% 54.3%	24.9%	+415 -135 +410 -145	1 4	-0.58900-0.57433	-0.61107
09/17/2023 07:30 PM	Moreirense Sporting CP	4.6% 84.4%	11.0%	+1113 -383 +1000 -430	0 3	-0.25744-0.25824	-0.16988
09/17/2023 05:00 PM	Portimonense Vitoria	17.4% 58.3%	24.3%	+550 -179 +500 -175	2 1	-1.90751-1.84049	-1.74617
09/17/2023 02:30 PM	Estoril Gil Vicente FC	24.6% 47.7%	27.7%	+285 +105 +280 +100	3 5	-0.74589-0.74482	-0.74070
09/17/2023 02:30 PM	Casa Pia AC Arouca	27.7% 44.4%	27.9%	+169 +182 +205 +145	1 0	-1.02767-1.16726	-1.28497
09/16/2023 07:30 PM	Benfica FC Vizela	75.2% 9.3%	15.5%	-261 +702 -300 +700	2 1	-0.35505-0.33689	-0.28482
09/16/2023 05:00 PM	Braga SC Farense	60.8% 16.7%	22.5%	-133 +362 -145 +355	1 3	-1.56399-1.56638	-1.78880
09/16/2023 02:30 PM	Famalicao Rio Ave	31.9% 39.5%	28.6%	+200 +165 +200 +150	1 1	-1.17736-1.19696	-1.25068

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).