Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1300
-479
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-116
u3-101

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Vizela
Gil Vicente FC		31.2%
41.2%		27.7%
+207
+147
+190
+145
1
1		-1.24820-1.25917-1.28435
Casa Pia AC
Boavista		31.3%
39.6%		29.1%
+275
+130
+265
+125
0
0		-1.15072-1.14907-1.23347
Estoril
Rio Ave		21.7%
51.2%		27.1%
+221
+164
+215
+155
0
2		-0.99525-0.98355-0.66939
Braga
Maritimo		60.7%
16.6%		22.6%
-111
+334
-120
+330
2
1		-0.66873-0.65682-0.49878
Porto
Sporting CP		34.9%
36.4%		28.7%
+197
+165
+190
+160
2
1		-1.11572-1.11541-1.05174
Gil Vicente FC
Famalicao		27.2%
46.4%		26.4%
+282
+112
+265
+105
1
0		-1.36332-1.34508-1.30214
Portimonense
Vitoria		21.9%
51.8%		26.3%
+348
-103
+350
-115
0
1		-0.69465-0.67566-0.65788
Santa Clara
Arouca		23.1%
50.7%		26.3%
+311
+112
+290
+110
0
1		-0.77386-0.79078-0.67978
Chaves
FC Vizela		19.6%
56.9%		23.5%
+435
-136
+400
-135
0
0		-1.36492-1.33184-1.44881
Boavista
Estoril		25.0%
47.4%		27.6%
+189
+187
+170
+180
1
2		-1.07429-1.07852-0.74699
Sporting CP
Rio Ave		63.9%
14.2%		21.8%
-267
+911
-265
+850
1
0		-0.34817-0.36769-0.44732
Pacos
Portimonense		20.0%
53.8%		26.2%
+242
+138
+230
+135
0
1		-0.89377-0.90429-0.61938
Arouca
Gil Vicente FC		24.6%
48.3%		27.1%
+249
+126
+235
+120
1
1		-1.25082-1.25924-1.30663
FC Vizela
Porto		4.8%
84.5%		10.7%
+1240
-396
+1200
-450
0
2		-0.25472-0.25075-0.16856
Maritimo
Chaves		24.5%
48.0%		27.5%
+255
+128
+250
+125
1
2		-0.85456-0.85746-0.73380
Famalicao
Braga		10.1%
73.7%		16.2%
+591
-180
+575
-190
1
4		-0.46997-0.47188-0.30544
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).