Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1300
-479
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-116
u3-101

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vitoria
Estoril		30.4%
40.8%		28.7%
+188
+174
+180
+170
1
0		-1.08604-1.07852-1.18994
Casa Pia AC
Benfica		4.8%
84.2%		11.0%
+1224
-372
+1300
-475
0
3		-0.26531-0.24114-0.17175
Boavista
Santa Clara		28.2%
43.6%		28.2%
+185
+193
+175
+185
2
2		-1.12381-1.13392-1.26556
Braga
Sporting CP		15.7%
63.2%		21.2%
+330
-109
+325
-115
0
5		-0.67505-0.67627-0.45955
Porto
Maritimo		76.5%
7.8%		15.7%
-358
+1278
-380
+1200
2
0		-0.26460-0.28279-0.26847
Benfica
Arouca		76.8%
8.1%		15.1%
-297
+950
-340
+950
3
0		-0.31221-0.30642-0.26445
Gil Vicente FC
Pacos		36.7%
33.4%		29.9%
+148
+217
+140
+210
1
2		-1.17886-1.18185-1.09673
Chaves
Vitoria		18.1%
58.6%		23.3%
+359
-102
+310
+100
1
2		-0.70094-0.74345-0.53430
Estoril
Famalicao		23.8%
50.7%		25.6%
+332
+104
+330
-105
0
1		-0.73735-0.72017-0.67966
Portimonense
Boavista		32.8%
36.6%		30.6%
+349
+100
+285
+105
2
4		-0.71857-0.76718-1.00529
Santa Clara
Casa Pia AC		24.4%
49.1%		26.6%
+367
+100
+330
+100
1
2		-0.72231-0.74196-0.71225
Rio Ave
FC Vizela		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+329
+104
+310
-105
1
3		-0.73626-0.71803-0.75948
Benfica
Pacos		79.5%
6.8%		13.7%
-510
+1851
-520
+1500
2
0		-0.19984-0.22620-0.22999
Chaves
Boavista		25.4%
47.5%		27.1%
+335
+105
+290
+110
1
1		-1.21443-1.19627-1.30398
Rio Ave
Famalicao		26.4%
46.6%		26.9%
+305
+118
+305
+105
0
0		-1.17025-1.19826-1.31193
Gil Vicente FC
Casa Pia AC		25.8%
46.8%		27.3%
+251
+134
+235
+130
3
1		-1.27816-1.25846-1.35290
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).