Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1300
-479
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-118
u3+102

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estoril
Maritimo		31.1%
38.6%		30.2%
+210
+170
+195
+160
0
1		-1.00663-1.00570-0.95088
Porto
Vitoria		68.1%
12.6%		19.2%
-320
+968
-320
+950
1
0		-0.31151-0.32021-0.38362
Benfica
Santa Clara		72.3%
10.5%		17.2%
-367
+1186
-400
+1100
3
0		-0.27135-0.27194-0.32385
Braga
Pacos		61.4%
16.3%		22.2%
-232
+703
-250
+720
2
1		-0.39341-0.38649-0.48696
FC Vizela
Sporting CP		4.5%
85.0%		10.4%
+1034
-323
+960
-360
1
2		-0.28800-0.29473-0.16217
Portimonense
Arouca		31.5%
38.2%		30.3%
+259
+125
+205
+145
0
4		-0.82791-0.94348-0.96168
Vitoria
Gil Vicente FC		31.6%
39.7%		28.6%
+211
+158
+205
+150
1
2		-0.97305-0.96551-0.92274
Casa Pia AC
Estoril		30.3%
40.5%		29.2%
+166
+211
+155
+205
0
2		-1.15550-1.16194-0.90434
Famalicao
Porto		6.8%
80.1%		13.1%
+1550
-470
+1400
-500
1
4		-0.22547-0.23256-0.22168
Sporting CP
Benfica		25.5%
48.9%		25.6%
+357
-115
+330
-120
2
2		-1.32403-1.34542-1.36242
Arouca
Chaves		24.5%
48.5%		27.0%
+215
+153
+215
+140
1
1		-1.22010-1.19773-1.31022
Boavista
Braga		9.3%
74.2%		16.5%
+943
-318
+870
-325
0
1		-0.30500-0.31669-0.29833
Pacos
Rio Ave		23.2%
49.2%		27.5%
+282
+128
+345
-110
1
0		-1.34831-1.54318-1.45973
Maritimo
FC Vizela		18.4%
58.2%		23.4%
+378
-113
+330
-115
0
3		-0.64750-0.67749-0.54141
Santa Clara
Portimonense		25.0%
46.9%		28.0%
+285
+121
+275
+115
0
0		-1.19839-1.19548-1.27182
Gil Vicente FC
Boavista		30.0%
41.0%		28.9%
+216
+150
+205
+145
0
1		-0.93560-0.94348-0.89055
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).