Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1300
-479
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-118
u3+102

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Maritimo		77.5%
7.3%		15.2%
-263
+849
-275
+800
0
1		-2.28210-2.24460-2.61511
Chaves
Pacos		25.4%
47.2%		27.3%
+180
+176
+165
+180
1
1		-1.20976-1.19806-1.29693
Porto
Casa Pia AC		68.8%
12.1%		19.1%
-255
+806
-270
+785
0
0		-1.61325-1.61004-1.65627
Rio Ave
Vitoria		16.2%
60.6%		23.2%
+307
+112
+280
+110
0
0		-1.19264-1.21372-1.46227
Estoril
Arouca		31.4%
39.0%		29.6%
+232
+138
+225
+125
0
2		-0.89301-0.86034-0.94246
FC Vizela
Famalicao		24.4%
51.3%		24.3%
+193
+178
+200
+150
1
2		-1.04075-0.96582-0.66842
Portimonense
Benfica		4.7%
83.8%		11.5%
+1767
-544
+1700
-625
0
1		-0.18307-0.19898-0.17640
Braga
Santa Clara		47.3%
26.2%		26.5%
-168
+575
-185
+550
4
0		-0.48931-0.48375-0.74948
Benfica
Braga		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
-144
+406
-140
+350
0
3		-1.64693-1.55235-1.42495
Vitoria
FC Vizela		31.7%
41.1%		27.3%
+232
+144
+215
+140
0
3		-0.91717-0.92576-0.89035
Famalicao
Chaves		33.2%
38.8%		27.9%
+206
+169
+195
+155
2
0		-1.13931-1.12927-1.10208
Pacos
Sporting CP		3.9%
85.8%		10.3%
+1674
-602
+1600
-650
0
3		-0.17999-0.19385-0.15347
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente FC		26.5%
46.0%		27.5%
+271
+116
+260
+110
0
1		-0.79058-0.79308-0.77696
Arouca
Porto		4.4%
84.9%		10.7%
+1700
-615
+1600
-670
1
5		-0.17821-0.18947-0.16387
Casa Pia AC
Portimonense		20.6%
53.3%		26.2%
+247
+136
+245
+130
2
1		-1.27022-1.28953-1.58158
Maritimo
Rio Ave		23.5%
48.3%		28.2%
+290
+111
+280
+105
1
1		-1.23739-1.25727-1.26482
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).