Paços at Vitória

Updated

Pacos

19.4%24.2%56.4%
WinDrawVitória Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.67
0Final Score 0

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Pacos
Money Line
T 1-1 at Arouca+250
W 0-1 vs Santa Clara+115
L 1-2 at Casa Pia AC+340
L 3-1 vs Boavista+165
W 3-1 at Estoril+290
Vitoria
Money Line
L 1-5 at Benfica+1800
L 2-0 vs Arouca+100
W 3-1 at Santa Clara+180
W 1-2 vs Braga+290
T 0-0 at Casa Pia AC+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+300+281+265+290+282+290+290+309.5
Vitória-110+110+110+105+113+105+113+115.3
Draw+235+232+220+227+237+227+237+243.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+285----+300+300+309.5
Vitória+100----+100+100+115.3
Draw+245----+230+230+243.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Vitória: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +288 to +281
Vitória ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 20.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +315 to +300
Vitória ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½+122o2¼-112o2¼-107o2½+128o2¼-107o2¼-107o2¼+103
Underu2¼-105u2½-144u2¼-108u2¼-113u2½-143u2¼-113u2½-143u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.90%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 413.67%
Exactly 62.94%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.05%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 56.94%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 042.00%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.81%
Exactly 34.57%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 018.81%
Exactly 131.42%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 314.62%
Exactly 46.11%
Exactly 52.04%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.87%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.35%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 066.92%
Exactly 126.88%
Exactly 25.40%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 046.13%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 213.81%
Exactly 33.56%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals6.18%
Wins by 3+ goals1.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals30.97%
Wins by 3+ goals13.55%
Wins by 4+ goals4.84%
Wins by 5+ goals1.43%
Wins by 6+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Pacos
Vitoria
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal13.17%
Wins by 2 goals4.69%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.38%
Wins by 2 goals17.42%
Wins by 3 goals8.72%
Wins by 4 goals3.41%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Wins by 6 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.10%7.90%
1.572.05%27.95%
2.546.61%53.39%
3.525.07%74.93%
4.511.40%88.60%
5.54.47%95.53%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.00%42.00%
1.521.57%78.43%
2.55.76%94.24%
3.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.19%18.81%
1.549.77%50.23%
2.523.51%76.49%
3.58.89%91.11%
4.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.13%30.87%
1.532.85%67.15%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.17%96.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paços
Vitoria
Score012345
0
7.90%
13.20%
11.03%
6.14%
2.57%
0.86%
1
6.85%
11.45%
9.57%
5.33%
2.23%
0.74%
2
2.97%
4.97%
4.15%
2.31%
0.97%
0.32%
3
0.86%
1.44%
1.20%
0.67%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.19%
0.31%
0.26%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Pacos
1-06.85%
2-02.97%
2-14.97%
3-00.86%
3-11.44%
3-21.20%
4-00.19%
4-10.31%
4-20.26%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-07.90%
1-111.45%
2-24.15%
3-30.67%
Vitoria
0-113.20%
0-211.03%
1-29.57%
0-36.14%
1-35.33%
2-32.31%
0-42.57%
1-42.23%
2-40.97%
3-40.28%
0-50.86%
1-50.74%
2-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Paços
Vitoria
Score01234
0
30.87%
23.88%
9.24%
2.38%
0.46%
1
12.40%
9.59%
3.71%
0.96%
0.19%
2
2.49%
1.93%
0.75%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.33%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Pacos
1-012.40%
2-02.49%
2-11.93%
3-00.33%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-030.87%
1-19.59%
2-20.75%
Vitoria
0-123.88%
0-29.24%
1-23.71%
0-32.38%
1-30.96%
2-30.19%
0-40.46%
1-40.19%
Casa Pia AC at FC Vizela
Santa Clara at Sporting CP