Paços at Benfica

Updated

Pacos

4.8%11.1%84.1%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.86
2Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Pacos
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Estoril+165
L 3-0 vs Portimonense+155
L 0-1 at Gil Vicente FC+310
L 2-0 vs Benfica+285
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+355
Benfica
Money Line
W 3-0 at Boavista-320
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC-400
W 0-4 vs Arouca-700
W 2-0 at Pacos-115
L 1-0 vs Porto+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+1100+2978+2800+2000+2702+2000+2978+3720.7
Benfica-420-1191-1500-1667-1420-1667-1191-878.1
Draw+475+1077+1100+1000+1126+1000+1126+1214.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+2000----+3600+3600+3720.7
Benfica-750-----1400-1400-878.1
Draw+725----+1000+1000+1214.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +3122 to +2973
Benfica ML moved from -1429 to -1667

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Paços ML
Benfica ML moved from -1300 to -1400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o4+109o3¾-120o4+101-o4+101o3¾-120o3½-125
Underu3-122u4-129u3¾+100u4-121-u4-121u4-121u3½+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-125
Under-----u3½+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.26%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 418.66%
Exactly 67.29%
Exactly 81.53%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.16%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 512.77%
Exactly 73.56%
Exactly 90.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 056.81%
Exactly 132.12%
Exactly 29.08%
Exactly 31.71%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 05.74%
Exactly 116.40%
Exactly 223.44%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 415.95%
Exactly 59.12%
Exactly 64.34%
Exactly 71.77%
Exactly 80.63%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.50%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 45.39%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.48%
Exactly 313.60%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 076.97%
Exactly 120.15%
Exactly 22.64%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 026.63%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 310.28%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals1.01%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals64.85%
Wins by 3+ goals42.74%
Wins by 4+ goals24.03%
Wins by 5+ goals11.61%
Wins by 6+ goals4.87%
Wins by 7+ goals1.77%
Wins by 8+ goals0.54%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Pacos
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal3.79%
Wins by 2 goals0.86%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal19.17%
Wins by 2 goals22.10%
Wins by 3 goals18.71%
Wins by 4 goals12.42%
Wins by 5 goals6.75%
Wins by 6 goals3.10%
Wins by 7 goals1.23%
Wins by 8 goals0.42%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.74%3.26%
1.585.58%14.42%
2.566.47%33.53%
3.544.67%55.33%
4.526.01%73.99%
5.513.24%86.76%
6.55.95%94.05%
7.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.19%56.81%
1.511.06%88.94%
2.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.26%5.74%
1.577.86%22.14%
2.554.42%45.58%
3.532.09%67.91%
4.516.14%83.86%
5.57.03%92.97%
6.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.50%20.50%
1.547.02%52.98%
2.521.28%78.72%
3.57.68%92.32%
4.52.29%97.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paços
Benfica
Score012345
0
3.26%
9.32%
13.32%
12.68%
9.06%
5.18%
1
1.84%
5.27%
7.53%
7.17%
5.12%
2.93%
2
0.52%
1.49%
2.13%
2.03%
1.45%
0.83%
Pacos
1-01.84%
2-00.52%
2-11.49%
Draw
0-03.26%
1-15.27%
2-22.13%
3-30.38%
Benfica
0-19.32%
0-213.32%
1-27.53%
0-312.68%
1-37.17%
2-32.03%
0-49.06%
1-45.12%
2-41.45%
3-40.27%
0-55.18%
1-52.93%
2-50.83%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Paços
Benfica
Score0123456
0
20.50%
27.12%
17.94%
7.91%
2.62%
0.69%
0.15%
1
5.37%
7.10%
4.70%
2.07%
0.69%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.70%
0.93%
0.61%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Pacos
1-05.37%
2-00.70%
2-10.93%
Draw
0-020.50%
1-17.10%
2-20.61%
Benfica
0-127.12%
0-217.94%
1-24.70%
0-37.91%
1-32.07%
2-30.27%
0-42.62%
1-40.69%
0-50.69%
1-50.18%
0-60.15%
Gil Vicente FC at FC Vizela
FC Vizela at Benfica