Samara at Zenit

Updated

Samara

6.3%13.0%80.7%
WinDrawZenit Win
0.61Projected Goals 2.66
1Final Score 3

Zenit

Last 5 Games

Samara
Money Line
L 0-2 at Nizhny Novgorod
W 0-4 vs Spartak Moscow
W 1-2 vs Sochi
T 2-2 at CSKA Moscow
L 1-2 at Rubin Kazan
Zenit
Money Line
W 2-0 at Sochi
L 1-3 at Orenburg
L 2-1 vs Loko Moscow
W 3-0 at Rubin Kazan
T 1-1 at CSKA Moscow

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara+473+653-+670-+670+670+729.0
Zenit-178-236--263--263-236-205.8
Draw+343+389-+350-+350+389+384.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara-----+729.0
Zenit------205.8
Draw-----+384.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zenit: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Samara: 0.0%
Zenit: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Samara: 0.0%
Zenit: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Samara ML moved from +660 to +650
Zenit ML moved from -256 to -263

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o3+108-o2¾-121-o2¾-121o2¾-121o2¾-110
Underu2½+118u3-128-u2¾+101-u2¾+101u3-128u2¾+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-110
Under-----u2¾+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.80%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 418.11%
Exactly 66.45%
Exactly 81.23%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.43%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 511.84%
Exactly 73.01%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 054.18%
Exactly 133.20%
Exactly 210.17%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Zenit
Exactly 07.02%
Exactly 118.64%
Exactly 224.77%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 414.57%
Exactly 57.74%
Exactly 63.43%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 80.43%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.01%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 312.72%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 075.30%
Exactly 121.36%
Exactly 23.03%
Exactly 30.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zenit
Exactly 029.23%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 222.11%
Exactly 39.07%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Samara
Wins by 2+ goals1.41%
Wins by 3+ goals0.23%
Zenit
Wins by 2+ goals59.80%
Wins by 3+ goals37.44%
Wins by 4+ goals19.86%
Wins by 5+ goals9.02%
Wins by 6+ goals3.54%
Wins by 7+ goals1.21%
Wins by 8+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Samara
Zenit
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Samara
Wins by 1 goal4.81%
Wins by 2 goals1.18%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%
Zenit
Wins by 1 goal20.88%
Wins by 2 goals22.35%
Wins by 3 goals17.58%
Wins by 4 goals10.84%
Wins by 5 goals5.47%
Wins by 6 goals2.34%
Wins by 7 goals0.86%
Wins by 8 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.20%3.80%
1.583.77%16.23%
2.563.45%36.55%
3.541.30%58.70%
4.523.19%76.81%
5.511.35%88.65%
6.54.90%95.10%
7.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.82%54.18%
1.512.61%87.39%
2.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Zenit Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.98%7.02%
1.574.34%25.66%
2.549.58%50.42%
3.527.64%72.36%
4.513.07%86.93%
5.55.33%94.67%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.99%22.01%
1.544.68%55.32%
2.519.46%80.54%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.92%98.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Samara
Zenit
Score012345
0
3.80%
10.10%
13.42%
11.88%
7.89%
4.19%
1
2.33%
6.19%
8.22%
7.28%
4.84%
2.57%
2
0.71%
1.90%
2.52%
2.23%
1.48%
0.79%
3
0.15%
0.39%
0.51%
0.46%
0.30%
0.16%
Samara
1-02.33%
2-00.71%
2-11.90%
3-00.15%
3-10.39%
3-20.51%
Draw
0-03.80%
1-16.19%
2-22.52%
3-30.46%
Zenit
0-110.10%
0-213.42%
1-28.22%
0-311.88%
1-37.28%
2-32.23%
0-47.89%
1-44.84%
2-41.48%
3-40.30%
0-54.19%
1-52.57%
2-50.79%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Samara
Zenit
Score0123456
0
22.01%
27.07%
16.65%
6.83%
2.10%
0.52%
0.11%
1
6.24%
7.68%
4.72%
1.94%
0.60%
0.15%
0.03%
2
0.89%
1.09%
0.67%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Samara
1-06.24%
2-00.89%
2-11.09%
Draw
0-022.01%
1-17.68%
2-20.67%
Zenit
0-127.07%
0-216.65%
1-24.72%
0-36.83%
1-31.94%
2-30.27%
0-42.10%
1-40.60%
0-50.52%
1-50.15%
0-60.11%