Ural at Samara

Updated

Ural

20.3%25.1%54.6%
Ural WinDrawSamara Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.60
1Final Score 3

Samara

Last 5 Games

Ural
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Rubin Kazan
L 1-2 at Dynamo Mosc
L 4-1 vs Sochi
T 2-2 vs Loko Moscow
T 2-2 at Rostov
Samara
Money Line
L 1-2 at Krasnodar
T 1-1 vs Orenburg
L 1-3 at Zenit
L 0-2 at Nizhny Novgorod
W 0-4 vs Spartak Moscow

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ural+264+270-+235-+235+270+265.7
Samara+105+105-+104-+104+105+122.7
Draw+260+254-+230-+230+254+260.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ural-----+265.7
Samara-----+122.7
Draw-----+260.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ural: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ural: 0.0%
Samara: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ural: 10.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ural ML moved from +255 to +240
Samara ML moved from +103 to -101

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111o2½+106-o2½+114-o2½+114o2½+114o2½+123
Underu2½-107u2½-126-u2½-134-u2½-134u2½-126u2½-123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+123
Under-----u2½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.52%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.06%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.99%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 56.43%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Ural
Exactly 042.07%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.77%
Exactly 34.55%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 020.26%
Exactly 132.34%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 313.74%
Exactly 45.49%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.98%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ural
Exactly 066.97%
Exactly 126.85%
Exactly 25.38%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 047.75%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 213.05%
Exactly 33.22%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ural
Wins by 2+ goals6.52%
Wins by 3+ goals1.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals29.13%
Wins by 3+ goals12.31%
Wins by 4+ goals4.23%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Ural
Samara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ural
Wins by 1 goal13.80%
Wins by 2 goals4.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal25.45%
Wins by 2 goals16.82%
Wins by 3 goals8.08%
Wins by 4 goals3.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.48%8.52%
1.570.49%29.51%
2.544.65%55.35%
3.523.44%76.56%
4.510.39%89.61%
5.53.96%96.04%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Ural Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.93%42.07%
1.521.50%78.50%
2.55.73%94.27%
3.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.74%20.26%
1.547.40%52.60%
2.521.58%78.42%
3.57.84%92.16%
4.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.02%31.98%
1.531.56%68.44%
2.510.78%89.22%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ural
Samara
Score012345
0
8.52%
13.61%
10.86%
5.78%
2.31%
0.74%
1
7.38%
11.78%
9.41%
5.01%
2.00%
0.64%
2
3.19%
5.10%
4.07%
2.17%
0.87%
0.28%
3
0.92%
1.47%
1.18%
0.63%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.20%
0.32%
0.25%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
Ural
1-07.38%
2-03.19%
2-15.10%
3-00.92%
3-11.47%
3-21.18%
4-00.20%
4-10.32%
4-20.25%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.52%
1-111.78%
2-24.07%
3-30.63%
Samara
0-113.61%
0-210.86%
1-29.41%
0-35.78%
1-35.01%
2-32.17%
0-42.31%
1-42.00%
2-40.87%
3-40.25%
0-50.74%
1-50.64%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Ural
Samara
Score01234
0
31.98%
23.64%
8.74%
2.15%
0.40%
1
12.82%
9.48%
3.50%
0.86%
0.16%
2
2.57%
1.90%
0.70%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.34%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Ural
1-012.82%
2-02.57%
2-11.90%
3-00.34%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-031.98%
1-19.48%
2-20.70%
Samara
0-123.64%
0-28.74%
1-23.50%
0-32.15%
1-30.86%
2-30.17%
0-40.40%
1-40.16%