Orenburg at Samara

Updated

Orenburg

17.5%22.7%59.8%
WinDrawSamara Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.81
1Final Score 1

Samara

Last 5 Games

Orenburg
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Zenit
L 1-3 at Nizhny Novgorod
W 2-0 at Loko Moscow
W 0-3 vs Sochi
T 1-1 vs CSKA Moscow
Samara
Money Line
L 1-3 at Zenit
L 0-2 at Nizhny Novgorod
W 0-4 vs Spartak Moscow
W 1-2 vs Sochi
T 2-2 at CSKA Moscow

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orenburg+293+226-+196-+196+226+219.8
Samara-112+117-+117-+117+117+134.4
Draw+287+268-+255-+255+268+283.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orenburg-----+219.8
Samara-----+134.4
Draw-----+283.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orenburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orenburg: 0.0%
Samara: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orenburg: 20.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orenburg ML moved from +232 to +226
Samara ML moved from +100 to -104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-131o2½-136-o2¾-111-o2¾-111o2½-136o2¾-101
Underu2½+111u2½+116-u2¾-109-u2¾-109u2¾-109u2¾+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-101
Under-----u2¾+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-131 to o2¾-118
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.87%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 414.72%
Exactly 63.52%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.40%
Exactly 321.99%
Exactly 57.88%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Orenburg
Exactly 042.18%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.72%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 016.30%
Exactly 129.56%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 316.22%
Exactly 47.36%
Exactly 52.67%
Exactly 60.81%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.95%
Exactly 222.24%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 39.19%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Orenburg
Exactly 067.05%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 25.36%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 043.17%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.23%
Exactly 34.26%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Orenburg
Wins by 2+ goals5.49%
Wins by 3+ goals1.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals34.65%
Wins by 3+ goals16.15%
Wins by 4+ goals6.17%
Wins by 5+ goals1.96%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Orenburg
Samara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Orenburg
Wins by 1 goal11.96%
Wins by 2 goals4.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal25.14%
Wins by 2 goals18.50%
Wins by 3 goals9.98%
Wins by 4 goals4.21%
Wins by 5 goals1.45%
Wins by 6 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.13%6.87%
1.574.72%25.28%
2.550.09%49.91%
3.528.10%71.90%
4.513.38%86.62%
5.55.49%94.51%
6.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Orenburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.82%42.18%
1.521.41%78.59%
2.55.69%94.31%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.70%16.30%
1.554.14%45.86%
2.527.32%72.68%
3.511.10%88.90%
4.53.74%96.26%
5.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.05%28.95%
1.535.17%64.83%
2.512.92%87.08%
3.53.73%96.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Orenburg
Samara
Score012345
0
6.87%
12.47%
11.31%
6.84%
3.10%
1.13%
1
5.93%
10.76%
9.77%
5.91%
2.68%
0.97%
2
2.56%
4.65%
4.22%
2.55%
1.16%
0.42%
3
0.74%
1.34%
1.21%
0.73%
0.33%
0.12%
4
0.16%
0.29%
0.26%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
Orenburg
1-05.93%
2-02.56%
2-14.65%
3-00.74%
3-11.34%
3-21.21%
4-00.16%
4-10.29%
4-20.26%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.87%
1-110.76%
2-24.22%
3-30.73%
Samara
0-112.47%
0-211.31%
1-29.77%
0-36.84%
1-35.91%
2-32.55%
0-43.10%
1-42.68%
2-41.16%
3-40.33%
0-51.13%
1-50.97%
2-50.42%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Orenburg
Samara
Score012345
0
28.95%
24.32%
10.21%
2.86%
0.60%
0.10%
1
11.57%
9.72%
4.08%
1.14%
0.24%
0.04%
2
2.31%
1.94%
0.82%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.31%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Orenburg
1-011.57%
2-02.31%
2-11.94%
3-00.31%
3-10.26%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-028.95%
1-19.72%
2-20.82%
Samara
0-124.32%
0-210.21%
1-24.08%
0-32.86%
1-31.14%
2-30.23%
0-40.60%
1-40.24%
0-50.10%