Akhmat Grozny at Orenburg

Updated

Akhmat Grozny

38.9%28.5%32.5%
Akhmat Grozny WinDrawOrenburg Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 1

Orenburg

Last 5 Games

Akhmat Grozny
Money Line
L 1-2 at Loko Moscow
L 1-2 at Zenit
L 0-3 at Rostov
L 1-0 vs Rubin Kazan
T 1-1 vs Dynamo Mosc
Orenburg
Money Line
L 0-2 at Dynamo Mosc
T 1-1 vs Rostov
T 1-1 at Samara
W 1-3 vs Zenit
L 1-3 at Nizhny Novgorod

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Akhmat Grozny+231+193-+165-+165+193+186.3
Orenburg+111+127-+131-+131+131+149.6
Draw+278+286-+270-+270+286+299.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Akhmat Grozny-----+186.3
Orenburg-----+149.6
Draw-----+299.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Akhmat Grozny: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orenburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Akhmat Grozny: 30.0%
Orenburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Akhmat Grozny: 20.0%
Orenburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Akhmat Grozny ML moved from +183 to +165
Orenburg ML moved from -122 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o3-125-o3¼+100-o3¼+100o3-125o3¼+109
Underu3-127u3+107-u3¼-120-u3¼-120u3¼-120u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.38%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 411.39%
Exactly 61.95%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.51%
Exactly 320.11%
Exactly 55.16%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Akhmat Grozny
Exactly 030.21%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 221.64%
Exactly 38.64%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Orenburg
Exactly 034.35%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 36.98%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.03%
Exactly 219.27%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.74%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Akhmat Grozny
Exactly 057.45%
Exactly 131.84%
Exactly 28.82%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Orenburg
Exactly 060.98%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Akhmat Grozny
Wins by 2+ goals16.64%
Wins by 3+ goals5.48%
Wins by 4+ goals1.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Orenburg
Wins by 2+ goals12.59%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Akhmat Grozny
Orenburg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Akhmat Grozny
Wins by 1 goal22.25%
Wins by 2 goals11.16%
Wins by 3 goals4.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Orenburg
Wins by 1 goal19.86%
Wins by 2 goals8.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.62%10.38%
1.566.11%33.89%
2.539.48%60.52%
3.519.37%80.63%
4.57.98%92.02%
5.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals Akhmat Grozny Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.79%30.21%
1.533.63%66.37%
2.511.99%88.01%
3.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals Orenburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.65%34.35%
1.528.94%71.06%
2.59.33%90.67%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.97%35.03%
1.528.22%71.78%
2.58.95%91.05%
3.52.21%97.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Akhmat Grozny
Orenburg
Score012345
0
10.38%
11.09%
5.92%
2.11%
0.56%
0.12%
1
12.42%
13.27%
7.09%
2.53%
0.67%
0.14%
2
7.44%
7.94%
4.24%
1.51%
0.40%
0.09%
3
2.97%
3.17%
1.69%
0.60%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.89%
0.95%
0.51%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.21%
0.23%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Akhmat Grozny
1-012.42%
2-07.44%
2-17.94%
3-02.97%
3-13.17%
3-21.69%
4-00.89%
4-10.95%
4-20.51%
4-30.18%
5-00.21%
5-10.23%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-010.38%
1-113.27%
2-24.24%
3-30.60%
Orenburg
0-111.09%
0-25.92%
1-27.09%
0-32.11%
1-32.53%
2-31.51%
0-40.56%
1-40.67%
2-40.40%
3-40.16%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Akhmat Grozny
Orenburg
Score0123
0
35.03%
17.33%
4.29%
0.71%
1
19.42%
9.60%
2.38%
0.39%
2
5.38%
2.66%
0.66%
0.11%
3
0.99%
0.49%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Akhmat Grozny
1-019.42%
2-05.38%
2-12.66%
3-00.99%
3-10.49%
3-20.12%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-035.03%
1-19.60%
2-20.66%
Orenburg
0-117.33%
0-24.29%
1-22.38%
0-30.71%
1-30.39%
2-30.11%