Valencia at Almeria

Updated

Valencia

41.0%27.7%31.3%
Valencia WinDrawAlmeria Win
1.28Projected Goals 1.09
1Final Score 2

Almeria

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Rayo Vallecano+110
L 0-3 at Atletico Madrid+650
W 0-1 vs Osasuna+100
L 0-1 at Barcelona+800
W 0-1 vs Real Sociedad+220
Almeria
Money Line
T 2-2 at Celta Vigo+550
T 1-1 vs Cadiz+100
L 1-2 at Sevilla+440
L 2-0 vs Villarreal+225
W 0-1 vs Barcelona+575

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+150+123+120+121+123+121+123+128.9
Almeria+185+234+225+242+242+242+242+254.2
Draw+230+242+245+244+247+244+247+256.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+145---+105+125+125+128.9
Almeria+190---+200+215+215+254.2
Draw+235---+225+245+245+256.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Almeria: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +129 to +123
Almeria ML moved from +224 to +218

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Almeria: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +125 to +105
No Steam Moves On Almeria ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2½-111o2½-112o2½-108o2½-109o2½-108o2½-108o2½+102
Underu2¼-112u2½-107u2½-108u2½-112u2½-106u2½-112u2½-106u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½-115--o2½-125o2½-115o2½-115o2½+102
Underu2½-130u2½-105--u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-122 to o2½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.33%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 412.30%
Exactly 62.31%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.13%
Exactly 320.75%
Exactly 55.84%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 027.67%
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 39.78%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 033.73%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.92%
Exactly 37.22%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.35%
Exactly 220.11%
Exactly 42.02%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.36%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 055.16%
Exactly 132.82%
Exactly 29.76%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 060.46%
Exactly 130.42%
Exactly 27.66%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals18.39%
Wins by 3+ goals6.41%
Wins by 4+ goals1.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%
Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals12.17%
Wins by 3+ goals3.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Almeria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal22.55%
Wins by 2 goals11.98%
Wins by 3 goals4.62%
Wins by 4 goals1.39%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal19.08%
Wins by 2 goals8.57%
Wins by 3 goals2.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.67%9.33%
1.568.54%31.46%
2.542.29%57.71%
3.521.54%78.46%
4.59.24%90.76%
5.53.40%96.60%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.33%27.67%
1.536.78%63.22%
2.513.94%86.06%
3.54.16%95.84%
4.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.27%33.73%
1.529.62%70.38%
2.59.70%90.30%
3.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.65%33.35%
1.530.03%69.97%
2.59.92%90.08%
3.52.56%97.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Almeria
Score012345
0
9.33%
10.14%
5.51%
2.00%
0.54%
0.12%
1
11.99%
13.03%
7.08%
2.57%
0.70%
0.15%
2
7.70%
8.37%
4.55%
1.65%
0.45%
0.10%
3
3.30%
3.59%
1.95%
0.71%
0.19%
0.04%
4
1.06%
1.15%
0.63%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.27%
0.30%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Valencia
1-011.99%
2-07.70%
2-18.37%
3-03.30%
3-13.59%
3-21.95%
4-01.06%
4-11.15%
4-20.63%
4-30.23%
5-00.27%
5-10.30%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.33%
1-113.03%
2-24.55%
3-30.71%
Almeria
0-110.14%
0-25.51%
1-27.08%
0-32.00%
1-32.57%
2-31.65%
0-40.54%
1-40.70%
2-40.45%
3-40.19%
0-50.12%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Almeria
Score0123
0
33.35%
16.78%
4.22%
0.71%
1
19.84%
9.98%
2.51%
0.42%
2
5.90%
2.97%
0.75%
0.13%
3
1.17%
0.59%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Valencia
1-019.84%
2-05.90%
2-12.97%
3-01.17%
3-10.59%
3-20.15%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-033.35%
1-19.98%
2-20.75%
Almeria
0-116.78%
0-24.22%
1-22.51%
0-30.71%
1-30.42%
2-30.13%