Valencia at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Valencia

16.4%22.4%61.2%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.83
0Final Score 3

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Osasuna+100
L 0-1 at Barcelona+800
W 0-1 vs Real Sociedad+220
L 0-1 at Getafe+165
L 2-1 vs Athletic Club+210
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Girona+100
W 1-6 vs Sevilla-155
T 1-1 at Real Madrid+370
W 0-1 vs Athletic Club-105
W 1-0 at Celta Vigo+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+460+679+575+715+706+715+715+743.3
Atletico Madrid-160-201-200-204-199-204-199-184.5
Draw+285+310+320+315+316+315+320+329.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+520---+500+650+650+743.3
Atletico Madrid-170----220-200-200-184.5
Draw+285---+265+300+300+329.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +717 to +706
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -186 to -192

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Valencia ML
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2½+121o2¼-108o2¼-103o2½+130o2¼-103o2¼-103o2¼+106
Underu2¼-118u2½-143u2¼-112u2¼-117u2½-145u2¼-117u2½-143u2¼-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2½+115--o2½+110o2½+120o2½+120o2¼+106
Underu2½-145u2½-135--u2½-140u2½-140u2½-135u2¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.10%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 414.48%
Exactly 63.38%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.78%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 57.66%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 044.08%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.79%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 016.11%
Exactly 129.41%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.34%
Exactly 47.46%
Exactly 52.72%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.39%
Exactly 222.04%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 39.00%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 068.43%
Exactly 125.96%
Exactly 24.92%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 042.94%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.34%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals4.94%
Wins by 3+ goals1.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals35.76%
Wins by 3+ goals16.81%
Wins by 4+ goals6.47%
Wins by 5+ goals2.07%
Wins by 6+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal11.40%
Wins by 2 goals3.81%
Wins by 3 goals0.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.40%
Wins by 2 goals18.96%
Wins by 3 goals10.33%
Wins by 4 goals4.40%
Wins by 5 goals1.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.90%7.10%
1.574.12%25.88%
2.549.28%50.72%
3.527.38%72.62%
4.512.90%87.10%
5.55.24%94.76%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.92%44.08%
1.519.81%80.19%
2.55.02%94.98%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.89%16.11%
1.554.48%45.52%
2.527.63%72.37%
3.511.29%88.71%
4.53.83%96.17%
5.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.61%29.39%
1.534.63%65.37%
2.512.59%87.41%
3.53.59%96.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
7.10%
12.96%
11.83%
7.20%
3.29%
1.20%
1
5.82%
10.62%
9.70%
5.90%
2.69%
0.98%
2
2.38%
4.35%
3.97%
2.42%
1.10%
0.40%
3
0.65%
1.19%
1.08%
0.66%
0.30%
0.11%
4
0.13%
0.24%
0.22%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Valencia
1-05.82%
2-02.38%
2-14.35%
3-00.65%
3-11.19%
3-21.08%
4-00.13%
4-10.24%
4-20.22%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-07.10%
1-110.62%
2-23.97%
3-30.66%
Atletico Madrid
0-112.96%
0-211.83%
1-29.70%
0-37.20%
1-35.90%
2-32.42%
0-43.29%
1-42.69%
2-41.10%
3-40.30%
0-51.20%
1-50.98%
2-50.40%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
29.39%
24.84%
10.50%
2.96%
0.63%
0.11%
1
11.15%
9.42%
3.98%
1.12%
0.24%
0.04%
2
2.11%
1.79%
0.76%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.23%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-011.15%
2-02.11%
2-11.79%
3-00.27%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-029.39%
1-19.42%
2-20.76%
Atletico Madrid
0-124.84%
0-210.50%
1-23.98%
0-32.96%
1-31.12%
2-30.21%
0-40.63%
1-40.24%
0-50.11%