Atletico Madrid at Celta Vigo

Updated

Atletico Madrid

48.5%26.8%24.6%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.42Projected Goals 0.94
1Final Score 0

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Getafe-240
W 1-0 at Osasuna+105
W 0-3 vs Valladolid-290
T 1-1 at Almeria-135
L 1-0 vs Barcelona+210
Celta Vigo
Money Line
W 4-3 at Betis+295
W 0-1 vs Athletic Club+205
L 0-1 at Mallorca+190
T 1-1 vs Villarreal+180
W 1-0 at Elche+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+120+122+120+122+127+122+127+131.5
Celta Vigo+260+269+255+272+276+272+276+283.5
Draw+215+214+220+217+219+217+220+225.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+125----110+115+115+131.5
Celta Vigo+255---+265+275+275+283.5
Draw+210---+200+215+215+225.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Madrid ML
Celta Vigo ML moved from +275 to +269

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +100 to -110
No Steam Moves On Celta Vigo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-108o2-129o2¼+108o2-130o2-125o2-130o2-125o2-117
Underu2-112u2+109u2¼-128u2+110u2+110u2+110u2¼-128u2+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2-125--o2-130o2-125o2-125o2-117
Underu2+105u2+105--u2+100u2+105u2+105u2+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.39%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 412.25%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.22%
Exactly 320.71%
Exactly 55.79%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 023.94%
Exactly 134.23%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 311.66%
Exactly 44.17%
Exactly 51.19%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 039.24%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.17%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 051.59%
Exactly 134.15%
Exactly 211.30%
Exactly 32.49%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 064.85%
Exactly 128.09%
Exactly 26.08%
Exactly 30.88%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals23.79%
Wins by 3+ goals9.13%
Wins by 4+ goals2.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals8.48%
Wins by 3+ goals2.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.65%
Wins by 2 goals14.66%
Wins by 3 goals6.32%
Wins by 4 goals2.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal16.13%
Wins by 2 goals6.28%
Wins by 3 goals1.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.61%9.39%
1.568.39%31.61%
2.542.11%57.89%
3.521.40%78.60%
4.59.15%90.85%
5.53.36%96.64%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.06%23.94%
1.541.83%58.17%
2.517.37%82.63%
3.55.71%94.29%
4.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.76%39.24%
1.524.05%75.95%
2.56.88%93.12%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.55%33.45%
1.529.91%70.09%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
9.39%
8.79%
4.11%
1.28%
0.30%
1
13.43%
12.56%
5.88%
1.83%
0.43%
2
9.60%
8.98%
4.20%
1.31%
0.31%
3
4.57%
4.28%
2.00%
0.62%
0.15%
4
1.63%
1.53%
0.72%
0.22%
0.05%
5
0.47%
0.44%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.43%
2-09.60%
2-18.98%
3-04.57%
3-14.28%
3-22.00%
4-01.63%
4-11.53%
4-20.72%
4-30.22%
5-00.47%
5-10.44%
5-20.20%
Draw
0-09.39%
1-112.56%
2-24.20%
3-30.62%
Celta Vigo
0-18.79%
0-24.11%
1-25.88%
0-31.28%
1-31.83%
2-31.31%
0-40.30%
1-40.43%
2-40.31%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
33.45%
14.49%
3.14%
0.45%
1
22.14%
9.59%
2.08%
0.30%
2
7.33%
3.17%
0.69%
0.10%
3
1.62%
0.70%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.27%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-022.14%
2-07.33%
2-13.17%
3-01.62%
3-10.70%
3-20.15%
4-00.27%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-033.45%
1-19.59%
2-20.69%
Celta Vigo
0-114.49%
0-23.14%
1-22.08%
0-30.45%
1-30.30%