Atletico Madrid at Real Madrid

Updated

Atletico Madrid

13.9%21.0%65.1%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.93
1Final Score 1

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Athletic Club-105
W 1-0 at Celta Vigo+115
T 1-1 vs Getafe-240
W 1-0 at Osasuna+105
W 0-3 vs Valladolid-290
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-0 at Osasuna-145
W 0-4 vs Elche-500
L 0-1 at Mallorca-135
W 0-2 vs Valencia-290
T 0-0 vs Real Sociedad-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+330+379+370+385+373+385+385+402.3
Real Madrid-120-121-125-120-120-120-120-111.3
Draw+270+252+250+252+241+252+252+264.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+355---+330+370+370+402.3
Real Madrid-125----140-120-120-111.3
Draw+265---+220+240+240+264.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +395 to +385
Real Madrid ML moved from -121 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +355 to +345
No Steam Moves On Real Madrid ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+115o2¼-108o2¼-107o2½+122o2¼-107o2¼-107o2¼+103
Underu2½-115u2½-137u2¼-112u2¼-113u2½-137u2¼-113u2½-137u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+120--o2½+110o2½+120o2½+120o2¼+103
Underu2½-115u2½-140--u2½-140u2½-140u2½-140u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-117 to u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.3%
 
No54.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.83%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 414.76%
Exactly 63.54%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.33%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 57.92%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 046.98%
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 213.40%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 014.54%
Exactly 128.04%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.37%
Exactly 48.37%
Exactly 53.23%
Exactly 61.04%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.87%
Exactly 222.28%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 39.23%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 070.49%
Exactly 124.65%
Exactly 24.31%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 040.95%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.32%
Exactly 34.86%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals3.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.76%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals39.59%
Wins by 3+ goals19.48%
Wins by 4+ goals7.88%
Wins by 5+ goals2.65%
Wins by 6+ goals0.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal9.94%
Wins by 2 goals3.07%
Wins by 3 goals0.67%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.40%
Wins by 2 goals20.10%
Wins by 3 goals11.60%
Wins by 4 goals5.23%
Wins by 5 goals1.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.59%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.17%6.83%
1.574.83%25.17%
2.550.23%49.77%
3.528.23%71.77%
4.513.47%86.53%
5.55.54%94.46%
6.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.02%46.98%
1.517.53%82.47%
2.54.12%95.88%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.46%14.54%
1.557.42%42.58%
2.530.39%69.61%
3.513.02%86.98%
4.54.64%95.36%
5.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.13%28.87%
1.535.27%64.73%
2.512.99%87.01%
3.53.76%96.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
6.83%
13.17%
12.70%
8.16%
3.93%
1.52%
1
5.16%
9.95%
9.59%
6.17%
2.97%
1.15%
2
1.95%
3.76%
3.62%
2.33%
1.12%
0.43%
3
0.49%
0.95%
0.91%
0.59%
0.28%
0.11%
Atletico Madrid
1-05.16%
2-01.95%
2-13.76%
3-00.49%
3-10.95%
3-20.91%
Draw
0-06.83%
1-19.95%
2-23.62%
3-30.59%
Real Madrid
0-113.17%
0-212.70%
1-29.59%
0-38.16%
1-36.17%
2-32.33%
0-43.93%
1-42.97%
2-41.12%
3-40.28%
0-51.52%
1-51.15%
2-50.43%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
28.87%
25.77%
11.50%
3.42%
0.76%
0.14%
1
10.10%
9.01%
4.02%
1.20%
0.27%
0.05%
2
1.77%
1.58%
0.70%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-010.10%
2-01.77%
2-11.58%
3-00.21%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-028.87%
1-19.01%
2-20.70%
Real Madrid
0-125.77%
0-211.50%
1-24.02%
0-33.42%
1-31.20%
2-30.21%
0-40.76%
1-40.27%
0-50.14%