Atletico Madrid at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Atletico Madrid

50.8%26.6%22.6%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.46Projected Goals 0.88
2Final Score 1

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Betis-240
W 0-3 vs Valencia-200
W 1-0 at Girona+100
W 1-6 vs Sevilla-155
T 1-1 at Real Madrid+370
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
T 1-1 at Valencia+285
T 2-2 vs Girona+105
L 0-3 at Celta Vigo+300
T 0-0 vs Athletic Club+180
L 0-1 at Cadiz+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+105-120-125-118-116-118-116-109.6
Rayo Vallecano+270+389+370+380+391+380+391+397.0
Draw+245+245+250+250+246+250+250+262.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-110----145-125-125-109.6
Rayo Vallecano+325---+345+375+375+397.0
Draw+245---+220+250+250+262.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +100 to -105
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +396 to +388

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -135 to -145
No Steam Moves On Rayo Vallecano ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-112o2-120o2¼+125o2-113o2¼+125o2-112o2¼+133
Underu2¼-115u2-106u2+100u2¼-145u2-102u2¼-145u2+100u2¼-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2-135--o2-140o2-130o2-130o2¼+133
Underu2+125u2+115--u2+110u2+110u2+115u2¼-133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.59%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 412.07%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.49%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 55.66%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 023.13%
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 224.79%
Exactly 312.09%
Exactly 44.43%
Exactly 51.30%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 041.47%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.06%
Exactly 34.71%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.78%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 050.78%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 211.66%
Exactly 32.63%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 066.53%
Exactly 127.11%
Exactly 25.52%
Exactly 30.75%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals25.47%
Wins by 3+ goals10.00%
Wins by 4+ goals3.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.78%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals7.42%
Wins by 3+ goals1.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.26%
Wins by 2 goals15.47%
Wins by 3 goals6.85%
Wins by 4 goals2.36%
Wins by 5 goals0.65%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal15.19%
Wins by 2 goals5.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.41%9.59%
1.567.92%32.08%
2.541.56%58.44%
3.520.97%79.03%
4.58.90%91.10%
5.53.24%96.76%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.87%23.13%
1.543.00%57.00%
2.518.21%81.79%
3.56.12%93.88%
4.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.53%41.47%
1.522.03%77.97%
2.55.96%94.04%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.22%33.78%
1.529.56%70.44%
2.59.66%90.34%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
9.59%
8.44%
3.72%
1.09%
0.24%
1
14.04%
12.36%
5.44%
1.60%
0.35%
2
10.28%
9.05%
3.98%
1.17%
0.26%
3
5.02%
4.41%
1.94%
0.57%
0.13%
4
1.84%
1.62%
0.71%
0.21%
0.05%
5
0.54%
0.47%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-014.04%
2-010.28%
2-19.05%
3-05.02%
3-14.41%
3-21.94%
4-01.84%
4-11.62%
4-20.71%
4-30.21%
5-00.54%
5-10.47%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-09.59%
1-112.36%
2-23.98%
3-30.57%
Rayo Vallecano
0-18.44%
0-23.72%
1-25.44%
0-31.09%
1-31.60%
2-31.17%
0-40.24%
1-40.35%
2-40.26%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
33.78%
13.77%
2.81%
0.38%
1
22.90%
9.33%
1.90%
0.26%
2
7.76%
3.16%
0.64%
0.09%
3
1.75%
0.71%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.30%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-022.90%
2-07.76%
2-13.16%
3-01.75%
3-10.71%
3-20.15%
4-00.30%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-033.78%
1-19.33%
2-20.64%
Rayo Vallecano
0-113.77%
0-22.81%
1-21.90%
0-30.38%
1-30.26%