Real Madrid at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Real Madrid

70.6%18.0%11.3%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
2.21Projected Goals 0.76
3Final Score 3

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 3-0 at Girona-120
L 1-2 at Athletic Club+125
W 0-2 vs Getafe-300
W 3-0 at Leganes-260
W 0-4 vs Osasuna-415
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
W 1-0 at Valencia+270
L 2-1 vs Athletic Club+235
L 0-1 at Sevilla+310
L 3-1 vs Las Palmas-115
W 0-1 vs Alaves+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-185-188-195-192-195-192-188-174.6
Rayo Vallecano+500+550+525+600+540+600+600+623.8
Draw+330+328+330+328+321+328+330+342.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-185--195--225-180-180-174.6
Rayo Vallecano+510-+550-+485+510+550+623.8
Draw+325-+325-+280+310+325+342.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -188 to -195
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +475 to +440

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -190 to -207
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +575 to +550

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o2½-129o2¾+102o2¾+102o2¾-101o2¾+102o2½-129o2¾+111
Underu2¾-122u2½+110u2¾-122u2¾-122u2¾-119u2¾-122u2¾-119u2¾-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-130o2½-130-o2½-125o2½-130o2½-125o2¾+111
Underu2½+105u2½+110u2½+110-u2½-105u2½+110u2½+110u2¾-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-116 to u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.11%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 416.66%
Exactly 64.91%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.19%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.91%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 010.90%
Exactly 124.16%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 319.78%
Exactly 410.96%
Exactly 54.86%
Exactly 61.79%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 046.84%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.47%
Exactly 33.41%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.23%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 310.98%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 035.84%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.87%
Exactly 36.45%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 070.39%
Exactly 124.72%
Exactly 24.34%
Exactly 30.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals46.68%
Wins by 3+ goals25.45%
Wins by 4+ goals11.58%
Wins by 5+ goals4.45%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals3.06%
Wins by 3+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.90%
Wins by 2 goals21.22%
Wins by 3 goals13.88%
Wins by 4 goals7.12%
Wins by 5 goals3.00%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal8.17%
Wins by 2 goals2.46%
Wins by 3 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.89%5.11%
1.579.70%20.30%
2.557.11%42.89%
3.534.71%65.29%
4.518.05%81.95%
5.58.14%91.86%
6.53.23%96.77%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.10%10.90%
1.564.94%35.06%
2.538.17%61.83%
3.518.39%81.61%
4.57.43%92.57%
5.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.16%46.84%
1.517.63%82.37%
2.54.16%95.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.77%25.23%
1.540.03%59.97%
2.516.10%83.90%
3.55.12%94.88%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
5.11%
3.87%
1.47%
0.37%
1
11.32%
8.58%
3.25%
0.82%
2
12.54%
9.51%
3.61%
0.91%
3
9.27%
7.03%
2.66%
0.67%
4
5.13%
3.89%
1.48%
0.37%
5
2.28%
1.73%
0.65%
0.17%
Real Madrid
1-011.32%
2-012.54%
2-19.51%
3-09.27%
3-17.03%
3-22.66%
4-05.13%
4-13.89%
4-21.48%
4-30.37%
5-02.28%
5-11.73%
5-20.65%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.11%
1-18.58%
2-23.61%
3-30.67%
Rayo Vallecano
0-13.87%
0-21.47%
1-23.25%
0-30.37%
1-30.82%
2-30.91%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
25.23%
8.86%
1.56%
0.18%
1
25.89%
9.09%
1.60%
0.19%
2
13.28%
4.66%
0.82%
0.10%
3
4.54%
1.60%
0.28%
0.03%
4
1.17%
0.41%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.24%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-025.89%
2-013.28%
2-14.66%
3-04.54%
3-11.60%
3-20.28%
4-01.17%
4-10.41%
5-00.24%
Draw
0-025.23%
1-19.09%
2-20.82%
Rayo Vallecano
0-18.86%
0-21.56%
1-21.60%
0-30.18%
1-30.19%