Villarreal at Las Palmas

Updated

Villarreal

55.2%24.0%20.8%
Villarreal WinDrawLas Palmas Win
1.70Projected Goals 0.94
0Final Score 3

Las Palmas

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
L 1-3 at Valencia+245
W 2-3 vs Celta Vigo+140
L 1-4 at Real Madrid+1400
L 3-0 vs Real Sociedad+240
T 1-1 at Sevilla+275
Las Palmas
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Barcelona+550
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+800
T 1-1 vs Cadiz+100
W 1-0 at Alaves+330
W 0-2 vs Getafe+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+190+169+180+167+173+167+173+176.4
Las Palmas+153+165+145+168+163+168+168+177.4
Draw+234+243+250+248+247+248+250+260.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+175-+156-+165+170+170+176.4
Las Palmas+155-+175-+130+160+175+177.4
Draw+240-+235-+220+235+235+260.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Palmas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 50.0%
Las Palmas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Las Palmas: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +164 to +158
Las Palmas ML moved from +179 to +164

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Palmas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 50.0%
Las Palmas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Las Palmas: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +185 to +170
No Steam Moves On Las Palmas ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-131o2½-122o2½-124o2¾+101o2½-124o2½-122o2½-113
Underu2½-108u2½+111u2½+102u2½+104u2¾-117u2½+104u2¾-117u2½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½-120-o2½-110o2½-105o2½-105o2½-113
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½+100-u2½-120u2½-115u2½+100u2½+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.17%
Exactly 224.90%
Exactly 414.41%
Exactly 63.33%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.90%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 57.59%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 018.34%
Exactly 131.10%
Exactly 226.38%
Exactly 314.92%
Exactly 46.32%
Exactly 52.15%
Exactly 60.61%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Las Palmas
Exactly 039.10%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.24%
Exactly 35.40%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.52%
Exactly 221.97%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.94%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 045.60%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 214.06%
Exactly 33.68%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Las Palmas
Exactly 064.74%
Exactly 128.15%
Exactly 26.12%
Exactly 30.89%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals30.37%
Wins by 3+ goals13.37%
Wins by 4+ goals4.81%
Wins by 5+ goals1.44%
Las Palmas
Wins by 2+ goals7.00%
Wins by 3+ goals1.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Las Palmas
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.79%
Wins by 2 goals17.01%
Wins by 3 goals8.56%
Wins by 4 goals3.37%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Las Palmas
Wins by 1 goal13.72%
Wins by 2 goals5.21%
Wins by 3 goals1.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.83%7.17%
1.573.93%26.07%
2.549.04%50.96%
3.527.17%72.83%
4.512.76%87.24%
5.55.17%94.83%
6.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.66%18.34%
1.550.56%49.44%
2.524.18%75.82%
3.59.26%90.74%
4.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Las Palmas Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.90%39.10%
1.524.18%75.82%
2.56.94%93.06%
3.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.48%29.52%
1.534.46%65.54%
2.512.49%87.51%
3.53.55%96.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Las Palmas
Score01234
0
7.17%
6.73%
3.16%
0.99%
0.23%
1
12.16%
11.42%
5.36%
1.68%
0.39%
2
10.32%
9.69%
4.55%
1.42%
0.33%
3
5.83%
5.48%
2.57%
0.80%
0.19%
4
2.47%
2.32%
1.09%
0.34%
0.08%
5
0.84%
0.79%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-012.16%
2-010.32%
2-19.69%
3-05.83%
3-15.48%
3-22.57%
4-02.47%
4-12.32%
4-21.09%
4-30.34%
5-00.84%
5-10.79%
5-20.37%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.17%
1-111.42%
2-24.55%
3-30.80%
Las Palmas
0-16.73%
0-23.16%
1-25.36%
0-30.99%
1-31.68%
2-31.42%
0-40.23%
1-40.39%
2-40.33%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Las Palmas
Score0123
0
29.52%
12.83%
2.79%
0.40%
1
23.18%
10.08%
2.19%
0.32%
2
9.10%
3.96%
0.86%
0.12%
3
2.38%
1.04%
0.23%
0.03%
4
0.47%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-023.18%
2-09.10%
2-13.96%
3-02.38%
3-11.04%
3-20.23%
4-00.47%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-029.52%
1-110.08%
2-20.86%
Las Palmas
0-112.83%
0-22.79%
1-22.19%
0-30.40%
1-30.32%
2-30.12%