Villarreal at Real Sociedad

Updated

Villarreal

19.9%23.1%56.9%
WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.79
3Final Score 1

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Getafe+100
T 1-1 at Alaves+238
T 0-0 vs Cadiz-165
W 5-3 at Barcelona+560
T 1-1 vs Mallorca+111
Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 2-1 at Mallorca+150
L 1-0 vs Osasuna-130
T 0-0 at Girona+280
T 0-0 vs Rayo Vallecano-150
W 1-0 at Celta Vigo+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+351+445+420+484+455+484+484+504.6
Real Sociedad-117-152-160-162-155-162-152-148.3
Draw+260+295+310+307+305+307+310+321.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+395-+450-+365+435+450+504.6
Real Sociedad-137--160--155-155-155-148.3
Draw+260-+295-+230+290+295+321.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +478 to +467
Real Sociedad ML moved from -145 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 10.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +390 to +360
Real Sociedad ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-121o2½-122o2½-116o2½-117o2½-116o2½-116o2½-105
Underu2½-120u2½+103u2½+102u2½-104u2½+101u2½-104u2½+103u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2½-115o2½-120-o2½+105o2½-120o2½+105o2½-105
Underu2½-128u2½-105u2½+100-u2½-135u2½+100u2½+100u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-113 to o2¾+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.45%
Exactly 224.23%
Exactly 415.17%
Exactly 63.80%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.68%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 58.32%
Exactly 71.49%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 038.47%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.55%
Exactly 35.59%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 016.77%
Exactly 129.94%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 315.91%
Exactly 47.11%
Exactly 52.54%
Exactly 60.76%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.11%
Exactly 222.64%
Exactly 43.04%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 39.58%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 064.26%
Exactly 128.42%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 043.74%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 214.95%
Exactly 34.12%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals6.76%
Wins by 3+ goals1.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals32.29%
Wins by 3+ goals14.76%
Wins by 4+ goals5.53%
Wins by 5+ goals1.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Real Sociedad
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal13.14%
Wins by 2 goals5.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal24.57%
Wins by 2 goals17.53%
Wins by 3 goals9.22%
Wins by 4 goals3.81%
Wins by 5 goals1.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.55%6.45%
1.575.87%24.13%
2.551.64%48.36%
3.529.50%70.50%
4.514.33%85.67%
5.56.01%93.99%
6.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.53%38.47%
1.524.78%75.22%
2.57.22%92.78%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.23%16.77%
1.553.29%46.71%
2.526.56%73.44%
3.510.64%89.36%
4.53.54%96.46%
5.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.89%28.11%
1.536.22%63.78%
2.513.58%86.42%
3.54.01%95.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
6.45%
11.52%
10.29%
6.12%
2.73%
0.98%
1
6.16%
11.00%
9.82%
5.85%
2.61%
0.93%
2
2.94%
5.26%
4.69%
2.79%
1.25%
0.45%
3
0.94%
1.67%
1.49%
0.89%
0.40%
0.14%
4
0.22%
0.40%
0.36%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-06.16%
2-02.94%
2-15.26%
3-00.94%
3-11.67%
3-21.49%
4-00.22%
4-10.40%
4-20.36%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-06.45%
1-111.00%
2-24.69%
3-30.89%
Real Sociedad
0-111.52%
0-210.29%
1-29.82%
0-36.12%
1-35.85%
2-32.79%
0-42.73%
1-42.61%
2-41.25%
3-40.40%
0-50.98%
1-50.93%
2-50.45%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
28.11%
23.24%
9.61%
2.65%
0.55%
1
12.43%
10.28%
4.25%
1.17%
0.24%
2
2.75%
2.27%
0.94%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.41%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-012.43%
2-02.75%
2-12.27%
3-00.41%
3-10.34%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-028.11%
1-110.28%
2-20.94%
Real Sociedad
0-123.24%
0-29.61%
1-24.25%
0-32.65%
1-31.17%
2-30.26%
0-40.55%
1-40.24%