Villarreal at Barcelona

Updated

Villarreal

9.1%15.2%75.8%
WinDrawBarcelona Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.53
5Final Score 3

Barcelona

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Mallorca+111
L 0-3 at Las Palmas+170
L 1-3 at Valencia+245
W 2-3 vs Celta Vigo+140
L 1-4 at Real Madrid+1400
Barcelona
Money Line
W 4-2 at Betis-120
W 2-1 at Las Palmas-200
W 2-3 vs Almeria-665
T 1-1 at Valencia-170
L 4-2 vs Girona-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+729+642-+650+667+650+667+676.6
Barcelona-294-265--270-285-270-265-238.7
Draw+479+459-+480+470+480+480+500.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+720-+540--+560+560+676.6
Barcelona-320--252---250-250-238.7
Draw+500-+455--+440+455+500.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Barcelona: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 30.0%
Barcelona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +561 to +546
Barcelona ML moved from -250 to -270

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Barcelona: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Barcelona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +580 to +560
Barcelona ML moved from -295 to -325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o3½-112-o3½-114o3½-108o3½-114o3½-108o3½-104
Underu3½-106u3½-106-u3½-106u3½-106u3½-106u3½-106u3½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o4+105o3½-125-o3½-135o3½-120o3½-120o3½-104
Underu3½+100u4-125u3½+105-u3½+105u3½+100u4-125u3½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¾-106 to u3½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-125 to o4+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.72%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 418.19%
Exactly 66.56%
Exactly 81.27%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.26%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 511.97%
Exactly 73.08%
Exactly 90.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 046.76%
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 213.51%
Exactly 33.42%
Exactly 40.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 07.97%
Exactly 120.16%
Exactly 225.50%
Exactly 321.50%
Exactly 413.60%
Exactly 56.88%
Exactly 62.90%
Exactly 71.05%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.80%
Exactly 225.29%
Exactly 44.89%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.21%
Exactly 312.84%
Exactly 51.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 070.33%
Exactly 124.76%
Exactly 24.36%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 031.00%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals2.39%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%
Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals53.75%
Wins by 3+ goals32.09%
Wins by 4+ goals16.17%
Wins by 5+ goals6.94%
Wins by 6+ goals2.54%
Wins by 7+ goals0.76%
Wins by 8+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Barcelona
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal6.57%
Wins by 2 goals1.93%
Wins by 3 goals0.40%
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal21.90%
Wins by 2 goals21.65%
Wins by 3 goals15.92%
Wins by 4 goals9.23%
Wins by 5 goals4.40%
Wins by 6 goals1.77%
Wins by 7 goals0.61%
Wins by 8 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.28%3.72%
1.584.02%15.98%
2.563.86%36.14%
3.541.75%58.25%
4.523.56%76.44%
5.511.59%88.41%
6.55.03%94.97%
7.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.24%46.76%
1.517.70%82.30%
2.54.19%95.81%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.03%7.97%
1.571.88%28.12%
2.546.38%53.62%
3.524.88%75.12%
4.511.29%88.71%
5.54.40%95.60%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.20%21.80%
1.545.00%55.00%
2.519.70%80.30%
3.56.86%93.14%
4.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Barcelona
Score012345
0
3.72%
9.42%
11.92%
10.05%
6.36%
3.22%
1
2.83%
7.16%
9.06%
7.64%
4.83%
2.45%
2
1.08%
2.72%
3.44%
2.90%
1.84%
0.93%
3
0.27%
0.69%
0.87%
0.74%
0.47%
0.24%
Villarreal
1-02.83%
2-01.08%
2-12.72%
3-00.27%
3-10.69%
3-20.87%
Draw
0-03.72%
1-17.16%
2-23.44%
3-30.74%
Barcelona
0-19.42%
0-211.92%
1-29.06%
0-310.05%
1-37.64%
2-32.90%
0-46.36%
1-44.83%
2-41.84%
3-40.47%
0-53.22%
1-52.45%
2-50.93%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Barcelona
Score012345
0
21.80%
25.53%
14.95%
5.84%
1.71%
0.40%
1
7.67%
8.99%
5.26%
2.06%
0.60%
0.14%
2
1.35%
1.58%
0.93%
0.36%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.16%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-07.67%
2-01.35%
2-11.58%
3-00.16%
3-10.19%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-021.80%
1-18.99%
2-20.93%
Barcelona
0-125.53%
0-214.95%
1-25.26%
0-35.84%
1-32.06%
2-30.36%
0-41.71%
1-40.60%
2-40.11%
0-50.40%
1-50.14%