Villarreal at Alaves

Updated

Villarreal

37.6%28.6%33.8%
Villarreal WinDrawAlaves Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 1

Alaves

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Cadiz-165
W 5-3 at Barcelona+560
T 1-1 vs Mallorca+111
L 0-3 at Las Palmas+170
L 1-3 at Valencia+245
Alaves
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Barcelona+300
W 3-0 at Almeria+175
W 0-1 vs Cadiz-145
W 3-2 at Sevilla+335
T 1-1 at Real Sociedad+725

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+239+234+225+250+241+250+250+261.9
Alaves+125+124+120+119+121+119+124+126.4
Draw+238+239+250+243+246+243+250+254.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+230-+238-+215+230+238+261.9
Alaves+125-+120-+100+120+120+126.4
Draw+230-+231-+220+240+235+254.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 40.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +234 to +226
No Steam Moves On Alaves ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
No Steam Moves On Alaves ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-104o2½-105o2½-107o2½-101o2½-107o2½-101o2½+103
Underu2½-122u2½-112u2½-115u2½-113u2½-115u2½-113u2½-112u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-105o2½+100-o2½-105o2½+100o2½+100o2½+103
Underu2½-120u2½-115u2½-120-u2½-125u2½-120u2½-115u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.34%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 411.42%
Exactly 61.96%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.46%
Exactly 320.14%
Exactly 55.18%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 030.97%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.28%
Exactly 38.31%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 033.39%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.97%
Exactly 219.30%
Exactly 41.78%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 058.12%
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 28.56%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 060.18%
Exactly 130.56%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals15.79%
Wins by 3+ goals5.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals13.37%
Wins by 3+ goals4.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Alaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal21.77%
Wins by 2 goals10.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal20.38%
Wins by 2 goals9.35%
Wins by 3 goals3.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.66%10.34%
1.566.20%33.80%
2.539.58%60.42%
3.519.44%80.56%
4.58.02%91.98%
5.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.03%30.97%
1.532.73%67.27%
2.511.45%88.55%
3.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.61%33.39%
1.529.99%70.01%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.03%34.97%
1.528.29%71.71%
2.58.98%91.02%
3.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Alaves
Score012345
0
10.34%
11.34%
6.22%
2.27%
0.62%
0.14%
1
12.12%
13.30%
7.29%
2.67%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.10%
7.79%
4.27%
1.56%
0.43%
0.09%
3
2.78%
3.04%
1.67%
0.61%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.81%
0.89%
0.49%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-012.12%
2-07.10%
2-17.79%
3-02.78%
3-13.04%
3-21.67%
4-00.81%
4-10.89%
4-20.49%
4-30.18%
5-00.19%
5-10.21%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.34%
1-113.30%
2-24.27%
3-30.61%
Alaves
0-111.34%
0-26.22%
1-27.29%
0-32.27%
1-32.67%
2-31.56%
0-40.62%
1-40.73%
2-40.43%
3-40.17%
0-50.14%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Alaves
Score0123
0
34.97%
17.76%
4.51%
0.76%
1
18.98%
9.64%
2.45%
0.41%
2
5.15%
2.62%
0.66%
0.11%
3
0.93%
0.47%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-018.98%
2-05.15%
2-12.62%
3-00.93%
3-10.47%
3-20.12%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-034.97%
1-19.64%
2-20.66%
Alaves
0-117.76%
0-24.51%
1-22.45%
0-30.76%
1-30.41%
2-30.11%