Villarreal at Alaves

Updated

Villarreal

60.1%22.1%17.8%
Villarreal WinDrawWin
1.87Projected Goals 0.91
1Final Score 2

Alaves

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Valencia-275
W 2-1 at Getafe+150
T 1-1 vs Athletic Club+165
L 0-2 at Levante-150
L 0-1 at Cadiz+110
Alaves
Money Line
L 1-2 at Mallorca+420
W 0-1 vs Rayo Vallecano+180
L 0-1 at Osasuna+330
L 1-4 at Atletico Madrid+850
L 3-2 vs Granada+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+110+130+120+127+105+120+130+127.3
Alaves+260+230+245+245+250+245+250+257.1
Draw+240+225+245+245+249+245+249+257.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+110----105+115+115+127.3
Alaves+260---+230+250+250+257.1
Draw+240---+220+230+230+257.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 40.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 20.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +111 to +105
Alaves ML moved from +265 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
Alaves ML moved from +260 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2¼-122o2½+106o2½+105-o2½+106o2¼-122o2½+109
Underu2½-118u2¼+102u2½-126u2½-120-u2½-126u2½-120u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105--o2½-115o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2½-115u2½-115--u2½-115u2½-120u2½-115u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.18%
Exactly 223.94%
Exactly 415.47%
Exactly 64.00%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.20%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 58.61%
Exactly 71.59%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 015.34%
Exactly 128.76%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 316.85%
Exactly 47.90%
Exactly 52.96%
Exactly 60.93%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 040.27%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.66%
Exactly 35.05%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.55%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 39.84%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 041.98%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.82%
Exactly 34.58%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 065.63%
Exactly 127.64%
Exactly 25.82%
Exactly 30.82%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals35.29%
Wins by 3+ goals16.79%
Wins by 4+ goals6.57%
Wins by 5+ goals2.14%
Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals5.78%
Wins by 3+ goals1.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Alaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.69%
Wins by 2 goals18.50%
Wins by 3 goals10.22%
Wins by 4 goals4.43%
Wins by 5 goals1.57%
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal11.98%
Wins by 2 goals4.35%
Wins by 3 goals1.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.82%6.18%
1.576.63%23.37%
2.552.68%47.32%
3.530.46%69.54%
4.514.99%85.01%
5.56.38%93.62%
6.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.66%15.34%
1.555.91%44.09%
2.528.95%71.05%
3.512.10%87.90%
4.54.21%95.79%
5.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.73%40.27%
1.523.10%76.90%
2.56.44%93.56%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.45%27.55%
1.536.93%63.07%
2.514.04%85.96%
3.54.20%95.80%
4.51.03%98.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Alaves
Score01234
0
6.18%
5.62%
2.55%
0.77%
0.18%
1
11.58%
10.53%
4.79%
1.45%
0.33%
2
10.86%
9.87%
4.49%
1.36%
0.31%
3
6.78%
6.17%
2.81%
0.85%
0.19%
4
3.18%
2.89%
1.32%
0.40%
0.09%
5
1.19%
1.08%
0.49%
0.15%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-011.58%
2-010.86%
2-19.87%
3-06.78%
3-16.17%
3-22.81%
4-03.18%
4-12.89%
4-21.32%
4-30.40%
5-01.19%
5-11.08%
5-20.49%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.18%
1-110.53%
2-24.49%
3-30.85%
Alaves
0-15.62%
0-22.55%
1-24.79%
0-30.77%
1-31.45%
2-31.36%
0-40.18%
1-40.33%
2-40.31%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Alaves
Score0123
0
27.55%
11.60%
2.44%
0.34%
1
23.92%
10.07%
2.12%
0.30%
2
10.38%
4.37%
0.92%
0.13%
3
3.00%
1.26%
0.27%
0.04%
4
0.65%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-023.92%
2-010.38%
2-14.37%
3-03.00%
3-11.26%
3-20.27%
4-00.65%
4-10.27%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-027.55%
1-110.07%
2-20.92%
Alaves
0-111.60%
0-22.44%
1-22.12%
0-30.34%
1-30.30%
2-30.13%