UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 11, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fatima Kline
Viktoriya Dudakova 		71.6%
28.4%
-800
+550
-850
+650
Preston Parsons
Andreas Gustafsson 		40.9%
59.1%
+170
-200
+155
-170
Nicolle Caliari
Ernesta Kareckaite 		45.2%
54.8%
+215
-255
+245
-250
Volatility Bet Value Active
Yanal Ashmouz
Nurullo Aliev 		59.3%
40.7%
+375
-460
+385
-450
Overall Bet Value Active
Felipe Bunes
Jose Johnson 		36.8%
63.2%
+180
-210
+180
-200
Bruno Lopes
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 		40.1%
59.9%
+159
-180
+155
-175
Trey Ogden
Thiago Moises 		36.8%
63.2%
+135
-150
+145
-155
Ihor Potieria
Marco Tulio 		29.6%
70.4%
+350
-450
+350
-420
Uros Medic
Punahele Soriano 		52.7%
47.3%
-190
+175
-175
+175
Volatility Bet Value Active
Carlston Harris
Santiago Ponzinibbio 		56.7%
43.3%
-122
+105
-125
+105
Austin Bashi
Christian Rodriguez 		55.7%
44.3%
-220
+185
-210
+180
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Cesar Almeida 		39.3%
60.7%
+240
-280
+265
-300
Roman Kopylov
Chris Curtis 		58.5%
41.5%
-240
+210
-260
+220
Amanda Ribas
Mackenzie Dern 		56.0%
44.0%
-185
+163
-185
+170
Fights for Jan 10, 2025
Fights for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Joaquin Buckley
Colby Covington		62.2%
37.8%
-210
+190
-220
+210
Win
Loss		-0.41146-0.38472-0.47408
Billy Quarantillo
Cub Swanson		63.7%
36.3%
-175
+175
-190
+175
Loss
Win		-1.01159-1.03022-1.01275
Bruno Silva
Manel Kape		31.1%
68.9%
+320
-400
+330
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26053-0.25519-0.37204
Dustin Jacoby
Vitor Petrino		35.7%
64.3%
+265
-300
+300
-300
Win
Loss		-1.31841-1.38629-1.03041
Daniel Marcos
Adrian Yanez		61.9%
38.1%
-260
+225
-250
+240
Win
Loss		-0.35489-0.34485-0.47976
Tuco Tokkos
Navajo Stirling		16.2%
83.8%
+800
-1000
+700
-900
Loss
Win		-0.11531-0.13005-0.17649
Ottman Azaitar
Michael Johnson		43.3%
56.7%
+210
-250
+220
-230
Loss
Win		-0.37267-0.37044-0.56766
Drakkar Klose
Joel Alvarez		29.0%
71.0%
+430
-525
+400
-475
Loss
Win		-0.20263-0.21680-0.34290
Fernando Padilla
Sean Woodson		41.5%
58.5%
+140
-160
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.51706-0.53604-0.53625
Felipe Lima
Miles Johns		63.2%
36.8%
-260
+240
-270
+235
Win
Loss		-0.34163-0.34293-0.45917
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Miranda Maverick		24.6%
75.4%
+700
-1000
+675
-700
Loss
Win		-0.12883-0.13755-0.28238
Ramon Taveras
Davey Grant		54.2%
45.8%
-105
-103
-110
-105
Loss
Win		-0.69788-0.70441-0.78067
Piera Rodriguez
Josefine Knutsson		37.5%
62.5%
+250
-275
+250
-260
Win
Loss		-1.27165-1.26068-0.97968
Kai Asakura
Alexandre Pantoja		38.7%
61.3%
+200
-205
+205
-205
Loss
Win		-0.40275-0.39730-0.48937
Ian Garry
Shavkat Rakhmonov		28.9%
71.1%
+350
-420
+340
-380
Loss
Win		-0.24305-0.25238-0.34145
Alexander Volkov
Ciryl Gane		28.3%
71.7%
+260
-310
+330
-330
Loss
Win		-0.31290-0.26469-0.33234
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.