UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 16, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones 		27.5%
72.5%
+550
-675
+550
-650
Michael Chandler
Charles Oliveira 		41.1%
58.9%
+210
-240
+210
-240
Karine Silva
Viviane Araujo 		59.5%
40.5%
-260
+220
-250
+225
Paul Craig
Bo Nickal 		19.7%
80.3%
+750
-1100
+750
-1150
Eryk Anders
Chris Weidman 		59.4%
40.6%
-115
+100
-110
+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
James Llontop
Mauricio Ruffy 		22.6%
77.4%
+558
-800
+600
-750
Marcus McGhee
Jonathan Martinez 		32.3%
67.7%
-130
+115
-135
+120
Damon Jackson
Jim Miller 		55.6%
44.4%
-165
+145
-165
+145
Oban Elliott
Bassil Hafez 		53.4%
46.6%
-245
+210
-250
+225
Ramiz Brahimaj
Mickey Gall 		50.3%
49.7%
+120
-135
+120
-130
Eduarda Moura
Veronica Macedo 		45.5%
54.5%
+125
-142
+125
-140
Jhonata Diniz
Marcin Tybura 		48.9%
51.1%
+125
-145
+130
-140
Fights for Nov 15, 2024
Fights for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Carlos Prates
Neil Magny		77.2%
22.8%
-750
+551
-620
+550
Win
Loss		-0.16050-0.16438-0.25891
Reinier de Ridder
Gerald Meerschaert		70.3%
29.7%
-290
+265
-270
+250
Win
Loss		-0.31367-0.33041-0.35199
Cortavious Romious
Gaston Bolanos		65.0%
35.0%
-240
+205
-235
+220
Loss
Win		-1.14832-1.17704-1.04914
Gillian Robertson
Luana Pinheiro		63.2%
36.8%
-440
+360
-400
+385
Win
Loss		-0.23649-0.22931-0.45917
Dusko Todorovic
Mansur Abdul-Malik		26.3%
73.7%
+425
-480
+425
-440
Loss
Win		-0.20715-0.21008-0.30575
Denise Gomes
Karolina Kowalkiewicz		76.9%
23.1%
-630
+500
-550
+500
Win
Loss		-0.17658-0.17980-0.26329
Charlie Radtke
Matthew Semelsberger		55.0%
45.0%
-160
+140
-165
+155
Win
Loss		-0.51706-0.48848-0.59815
Da'Mon Blackshear
Cody Stamann		60.7%
39.3%
-237
+220
-240
+220
Win
Loss		-0.36766-0.36652-0.49951
Antonio Trocoli
Tresean Gore		37.3%
62.7%
+150
-150
+160
-165
Loss
Win		-0.51083-0.48102-0.46732
Klaudia Sygula
Mellisa Dixon		37.6%
62.4%
+270
-310
+260
-300
Loss
Win		-0.30562-0.31508-0.47106
Amir Albazi
Brandon Moreno		39.0%
61.0%
+160
-165
+155
-160
Loss
Win		-0.48102-0.49303-0.49430
Rose Namajunas
Erin Blanchfield		46.1%
53.9%
+147
-150
+150
-145
Loss
Win		-0.51567-0.51632-0.61726
Brendson Ribeiro
Caio Machado		42.6%
57.4%
+170
-170
+180
-180
Win
Loss		-0.99325-1.02963-0.85379
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Ariane Lipski		58.2%
41.8%
-225
+215
-220
+230
Win
Loss		-0.37745-0.36518-0.54044
Dustin Stoltzfus
Marc-Andre Barriault		31.5%
68.5%
+222
-250
+240
-240
Win
Loss		-1.19392-1.22377-1.15391
Trevin Giles
Mike Malott		28.4%
71.6%
+307
-380
+310
-330
Loss
Win		-0.27030-0.27598-0.33360
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks109-1 (0.900)0-0.39439 
Sportsbooks109-1 (0.900)0-0.39421 
DRatings109-1 (0.900)0-0.47243
-0.07804
-0.07822

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.