UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 23, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nikolas Motta
Hayisaer Maheshate 		37.7%
62.3%
+165
-190
+175
-200
Quang Le
Xiao Long 		40.6%
59.4%
+122
-137
+125
-140
Jose Ochoa
Lone'er Kavanagh 		23.4%
76.6%
+290
-360
+300
-345
Carlos Hernandez
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 		67.3%
32.7%
-183
+160
-185
+170
Ozzy Diaz
Zhang Mingyang 		33.8%
66.2%
+270
-330
+270
-290
Carlos Ulberg
Volkan Oezdemir 		70.2%
29.8%
-235
+200
-235
+210
Gabriella Fernandes
Cong Wang 		23.7%
76.3%
+575
-825
+650
-800
Muslim Salikhov
Kenan Song 		58.9%
41.1%
-175
+150
-180
+165
Tabatha Ricci
Yan Xiaonan 		39.3%
60.7%
+168
-190
+175
-190
Deiveson Figueiredo
Petr Yan 		37.0%
63.0%
+255
-300
+265
-310
Fights for Nov 22, 2024
Fights for Dec 7, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones		27.5%
72.5%
+428
-480
+450
-485
Loss
Win		-0.20608-0.19828-0.32142
Michael Chandler
Charles Oliveira		41.1%
58.9%
+220
-235
+230
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36844-0.35718-0.52926
Paul Craig
Bo Nickal		19.7%
80.3%
+875
-1265
+875
-900
Loss
Win		-0.10496-0.10792-0.21982
Karine Silva
Viviane Araujo		69.8%
30.2%
-300
+270
-280
+260
Loss
Win		-1.32840-1.29543-1.19889
James Llontop
Mauricio Ruffy		22.6%
77.4%
+635
-900
+650
-850
Loss
Win		-0.14078-0.13891-0.25574
Marcus McGhee
Jonathan Martinez		52.2%
47.8%
-110
-101
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.67258-0.68116-0.64963
Damon Jackson
Jim Miller		55.6%
44.4%
-220
+194
-210
+200
Loss
Win		-1.10567-1.10933-0.81202
Jhonata Diniz
Marcin Tybura		48.9%
51.1%
-105
-103
+100
+100
Loss
Win		-0.69788-0.69315-0.67090
Ramiz Brahimaj
Mickey Gall		50.3%
49.7%
+160
-172
+170
-165
Win
Loss		-0.97233-0.98623-0.68643
Oban Elliott
Bassil Hafez		73.7%
26.3%
-290
+250
-280
+250
Win
Loss		-0.32515-0.32768-0.30528
Eduarda Moura
Veronica Macedo		42.1%
57.9%
-128
+120
-125
+110
Win
Loss		-0.59314-0.61904-0.86415
Carlos Prates
Neil Magny		77.2%
22.8%
-750
+551
-620
+550
Win
Loss		-0.16050-0.16438-0.25891
Reinier de Ridder
Gerald Meerschaert		70.3%
29.7%
-290
+265
-270
+250
Win
Loss		-0.31367-0.33041-0.35199
Cortavious Romious
Gaston Bolanos		65.0%
35.0%
-240
+205
-235
+220
Loss
Win		-1.14832-1.17704-1.04914
Gillian Robertson
Luana Pinheiro		63.2%
36.8%
-440
+360
-400
+385
Win
Loss		-0.23649-0.22931-0.45917
Dusko Todorovic
Mansur Abdul-Malik		26.3%
73.7%
+425
-480
+425
-440
Loss
Win		-0.20715-0.21008-0.30575
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks117-4 (0.636)0-0.59231 
Sportsbooks117-3 (0.682)1-0.59221 
DRatings118-3 (0.727)0-0.59214
0.00017
0.00007

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.