UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 16, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Eduarda Moura
Veronica Macedo 		45.5%
54.5%
+125
-140
+125
-140
Oban Elliott
Bassil Hafez 		53.4%
46.6%
-275
+240
-270
+230
Ramiz Brahimaj
Mickey Gall 		50.3%
49.7%
+120
-140
+120
-140
Jhonata Diniz
Marcin Tybura 		48.9%
51.1%
+126
-142
+130
-145
Damon Jackson
Jim Miller 		55.6%
44.4%
-172
+150
-160
+150
Eryk Anders
Chris Weidman 		59.4%
40.6%
-115
+100
-105
-110
Marcus McGhee
Jonathan Martinez 		32.3%
67.7%
-130
+120
-135
+120
James Llontop
Mauricio Ruffy 		22.6%
77.4%
+575
-800
+600
-750
Karine Silva
Viviane Araujo 		59.5%
40.5%
-260
+225
-260
+230
Paul Craig
Bo Nickal 		19.7%
80.3%
+775
-1100
+750
-1150
Michael Chandler
Charles Oliveira 		41.1%
58.9%
+215
-250
+215
-240
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones 		27.5%
72.5%
+475
-650
+550
-650
Overall Bet Value Active
Fights for Nov 15, 2024
Fights for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Raulian Paiva		41.0%
59.0%
+140
-146
+152
-145
Loss
Win		-0.53031-0.51498-0.52704
Vanessa Melo
Karol Rosa		39.1%
60.9%
+270
-305
+290
-250
Loss
Win		-0.29920-0.31616-0.49531
Davey Grant
Martin Day		33.9%
66.1%
-105
-105
+135
-115
Win
Loss		-0.69315-0.80896-1.08105
Dan Hooker
Dustin Poirier		29.4%
70.6%
+195
-223
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39199-0.39414-0.34871
Mickey Gall
Mike Perry		32.2%
67.8%
+250
-280
+255
-290
Loss
Win		-0.32080-0.31341-0.38799
Gian Villante
Maurice Greene		39.6%
60.4%
+245
-275
+240
-265
Loss
Win		-0.32609-0.33414-0.50496
Kyle Daukaus
Brendan Allen		32.8%
67.2%
+290
-330
+270
-310
Loss
Win		-0.28035-0.29717-0.39814
Jason Witt
Takashi Sato		31.3%
68.7%
+210
-235
+210
-240
Loss
Win		-0.37185-0.36868-0.37512
Julian Erosa
Sean Woodson		21.1%
78.9%
+395
-450
+425
-500
Win
Loss		-1.65068-1.72277-1.55599
Khama Worthy
Luis Pena		27.6%
72.4%
+215
-235
+210
-240
Win
Loss		-1.17772-1.17652-1.28822
Tanner Boser
Philipe Lins		49.6%
50.4%
+115
-130
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.79862-0.78794-0.70168
Jinh Yu Frey
Kay Hansen		43.8%
56.2%
+200
-225
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.38641-0.39414-0.57593
Youssef Zalal
Jordan Griffin		52.2%
47.8%
-127
+115
-130
+120
Win
Loss		-0.60300-0.58819-0.64934
Alexander Volkov
Curtis Blaydes		33.9%
66.1%
+310
-350
+295
-350
Loss
Win		-0.26535-0.27140-0.41409
Josh Emmett
Shane Burgos		40.3%
59.7%
+160
-180
+175
-190
Win
Loss		-0.99188-1.03781-0.90912
Marion Reneau
Raquel Pennington		41.5%
58.5%
+205
-225
+205
-230
Loss
Win		-0.38240-0.37899-0.53645
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks109-1 (0.900)0-0.39439 
Sportsbooks109-1 (0.900)0-0.39421 
DRatings109-1 (0.900)0-0.47243
-0.07804
-0.07822

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.