UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 16, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Eduarda Moura
Veronica Macedo 		45.5%
54.5%
+120
-133
+125
-135
Oban Elliott
Bassil Hafez 		73.7%
26.3%
-275
+240
-270
+230
Ramiz Brahimaj
Mickey Gall 		50.3%
49.7%
+122
-140
+120
-135
Jhonata Diniz
Marcin Tybura 		48.9%
51.1%
+126
-142
+130
-145
Damon Jackson
Jim Miller 		55.6%
44.4%
-170
+150
-155
+150
Volatility Bet Value Active
Eryk Anders
Chris Weidman 		59.4%
40.6%
-115
+100
-105
-110
Marcus McGhee
Jonathan Martinez 		52.2%
47.8%
-135
+127
-130
+120
James Llontop
Mauricio Ruffy 		22.6%
77.4%
+600
-800
+600
-750
Karine Silva
Viviane Araujo 		69.8%
30.2%
-265
+240
-265
+230
Paul Craig
Bo Nickal 		19.7%
80.3%
+850
-1265
+750
-1150
Michael Chandler
Charles Oliveira 		41.1%
58.9%
+215
-250
+215
-230
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones 		27.5%
72.5%
+475
-650
+550
-650
Overall Bet Value Active
Fights for Nov 15, 2024
Fights for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyman Good
Belal Muhammad		41.3%
58.7%
+102
-120
+100
-115
Loss
Win		-0.64398-0.65886-0.53300
Jim Miller
Roosevelt Roberts		27.1%
72.9%
+225
-260
+230
-260
Win
Loss		-1.22847-1.23650-1.30726
Clay Guida
Bobby Green		36.3%
63.7%
+230
-252
+240
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34752-0.33680-0.45133
Tecia Pennington
Brianna Van Buren		42.5%
57.5%
+200
-223
+210
-230
Win
Loss		-1.13488-1.16219-0.85649
Oskar Piechota
Marc-Andre Barriault		54.8%
45.2%
+110
-122
+115
-122
Loss
Win		-0.62235-0.61208-0.79500
Cortney Casey
Gillian Robertson		50.2%
49.8%
+105
-118
+110
-115
Loss
Win		-0.64105-0.63611-0.69687
Justin Jaynes
Frank Camacho		25.7%
74.3%
+250
-290
+270
-300
Win
Loss		-1.30542-1.34657-1.36051
Roxanne Modafferi
Lauren Murphy		46.3%
53.7%
+110
-117
+109
-120
Loss
Win		-0.63207-0.62831-0.62202
Austin Hubbard
Max Rohskopf		35.9%
64.1%
+170
-185
+165
-180
Win
Loss		-1.01993-1.00171-1.02527
Cynthia Calvillo
Jessica Eye		50.4%
49.6%
-145
+130
-140
+135
Win
Loss		-0.54726-0.54663-0.68528
Karl Roberson
Marvin Vettori		32.7%
67.3%
+180
-210
+190
-215
Loss
Win		-0.41530-0.40218-0.39591
Charles Rosa
Kevin Aguilar		40.1%
59.9%
+140
-153
+150
-160
Win
Loss		-0.90150-0.93570-0.91499
Charles Jourdain
Andre Fili		35.4%
64.6%
+191
-220
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39760-0.39414-0.43657
Mark De La Rosa
Jordan Espinosa		44.7%
55.3%
+160
-175
+160
-165
Loss
Win		-0.46861-0.47963-0.59240
Hannah Cifers
Mariya Agapova		26.6%
73.4%
+315
-370
+330
-350
Loss
Win		-0.25730-0.25798-0.30872
Gustavo Lopez
Merab Dvalishvili		16.4%
83.6%
+575
-700
+625
-750
Loss
Win		-0.14684-0.13673-0.17907
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks109-1 (0.900)0-0.39439 
Sportsbooks109-1 (0.900)0-0.39421 
DRatings109-1 (0.900)0-0.47243
-0.07804
-0.07822

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.