UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 11, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Fatima Kline
Viktoriya Dudakova 		71.6%
28.4%
-800
+550
-850
+650
Preston Parsons
Andreas Gustafsson 		40.9%
59.1%
+170
-200
+155
-170
Nicolle Caliari
Ernesta Kareckaite 		45.2%
54.8%
+215
-255
+245
-280
Yanal Ashmouz
Nurullo Aliev 		59.3%
40.7%
+350
-450
+385
-450
Overall Bet Value Active
Felipe Bunes
Jose Johnson 		36.8%
63.2%
+180
-210
+180
-210
Bruno Lopes
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 		40.1%
59.9%
+159
-180
+165
-175
Trey Ogden
Thiago Moises 		36.8%
63.2%
+133
-150
+135
-150
Ihor Potieria
Marco Tulio 		29.6%
70.4%
+350
-450
+385
-420
Uros Medic
Punahele Soriano 		52.7%
47.3%
-190
+175
-180
+165
Carlston Harris
Santiago Ponzinibbio 		56.7%
43.3%
-122
+105
-115
+105
Austin Bashi
Christian Rodriguez 		55.7%
44.3%
-220
+185
-210
+180
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Cesar Almeida 		39.3%
60.7%
+240
-280
+265
-310
Roman Kopylov
Chris Curtis 		58.5%
41.5%
-240
+210
-260
+220
Amanda Ribas
Mackenzie Dern 		56.0%
44.0%
-185
+163
-195
+185
Overall Bet Value Active
Fights for Jan 10, 2025
Fights for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Pedro Munhoz
Aiemann Zahabi		54.2%
45.8%
+185
-210
+180
-185
Loss
Win		-0.41737-0.43838-0.78121
Victor Henry
Charles Jourdain		47.0%
53.0%
+153
-165
+150
-140
Loss
Win		-0.49153-0.52219-0.63495
Youssef Zalal
Jack Shore		62.2%
37.8%
-290
+265
-280
+250
Win
Loss		-0.31367-0.32768-0.47522
Rodrigo Nascimento
Alexandr Romanov		47.8%
52.2%
+125
-140
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.56639-0.56639-0.64963
Garrett Armfield
Serhiy Sidey		41.8%
58.2%
+115
-130
+110
-125
Loss
Win		-0.60042-0.61904-0.54086
Cody Gibson
Chad Anheliger		56.9%
43.1%
-400
+340
-350
+355
Win
Loss		-0.25005-0.24887-0.56377
Ivana Petrovic
Jamey-Lyn Horth		40.7%
59.3%
+165
-190
+165
-170
Loss
Win		-0.45487-0.46959-0.52312
Max Holloway
Ilia Topuria		35.2%
64.8%
+240
-265
+245
-255
Loss
Win		-0.34011-0.33899-0.43325
Khamzat Chimaev
Robert Whittaker		70.0%
30.0%
-225
+195
-210
+200
Win
Loss		-0.39854-0.40015-0.35652
Aleksandar Rakic
Magomed Ankalaev		32.4%
67.6%
+267
-290
+290
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31221-0.29408-0.39106
Dan Ige
Lerone Murphy		38.8%
61.2%
+280
-325
+280
-320
Loss
Win		-0.29574-0.29670-0.49169
Armen Petrosyan
Shara Magomedov		38.9%
61.1%
+150
-170
+150
-165
Loss
Win		-0.49182-0.49617-0.49325
Rafael Cerqueira
Ibo Aslan		52.5%
47.5%
-115
-105
-115
+100
Loss
Win		-0.71505-0.72743-0.74524
Rafael Dos Anjos
Geoff Neal		26.7%
73.3%
+220
-250
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.36291-0.37449-0.31005
Myktybek Orolbai
Mateusz Rebecki		68.2%
31.8%
-270
+240
-240
+210
Loss
Win		-1.24733-1.15948-1.14504
Brunno Ferreira
Abus Magomedov		38.6%
61.4%
+135
-155
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53067-0.52736-0.48783
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.