UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 11, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fatima Kline
Viktoriya Dudakova 		71.6%
28.4%
-800
+550
-900
+650
Preston Parsons
Andreas Gustafsson 		40.9%
59.1%
+170
-200
+155
-170
Nicolle Caliari
Ernesta Kareckaite 		45.2%
54.8%
+215
-255
+250
-280
Overall Bet Value Active
Yanal Ashmouz
Nurullo Aliev 		59.3%
40.7%
+350
-450
+385
-450
Overall Bet Value Active
Felipe Bunes
Jose Johnson 		36.8%
63.2%
+180
-210
+180
-210
Bruno Lopes
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 		40.1%
59.9%
+159
-180
+165
-175
Trey Ogden
Thiago Moises 		36.8%
63.2%
+133
-150
+135
-150
Ihor Potieria
Marco Tulio 		29.6%
70.4%
+350
-450
+385
-420
Uros Medic
Punahele Soriano 		52.7%
47.3%
-190
+175
-180
+165
Carlston Harris
Santiago Ponzinibbio 		56.7%
43.3%
-125
+115
-115
+105
Austin Bashi
Christian Rodriguez 		55.7%
44.3%
-220
+185
-210
+180
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Cesar Almeida 		39.3%
60.7%
+240
-280
+265
-310
Roman Kopylov
Chris Curtis 		58.5%
41.5%
-240
+210
-260
+230
Amanda Ribas
Mackenzie Dern 		56.0%
44.0%
-185
+163
-195
+180
Fights for Jan 10, 2025
Fights for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Chris Barnett
Kennedy Nzechukwu		18.4%
81.6%
+572
-750
+550
-750
Loss
Win		-0.15585-0.16073-0.20324
Victor Hugo
Farid Basharat		17.8%
82.2%
+475
-600
+550
-630
Loss
Win		-0.18473-0.16405-0.19600
Bruno Silva
Ismail Naurdiev		46.9%
53.1%
+137
-155
+150
-150
Loss
Win		-0.52719-0.51083-0.63260
Carlos Leal
Rinat Fakhretdinov		27.3%
72.7%
+180
-205
+190
-200
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41690-0.31840
Michel Pereira
Anthony Hernandez		44.8%
55.2%
+135
-137
+130
-145
Loss
Win		-0.55166-0.55080-0.59410
Kyler Phillips
Rob Font		70.3%
29.7%
-525
+490
-550
+475
Loss
Win		-1.78439-1.76908-1.21288
Su Mudaerji
Charles Johnson		41.4%
58.6%
+250
-290
+260
-270
Loss
Win		-0.32515-0.32256-0.53379
Daniel Pineda
Darren Elkins		49.6%
50.4%
+150
-165
+155
-150
Loss
Win		-0.49617-0.50296-0.68464
Asu Almabayev
Matheus Nicolau		53.7%
46.3%
-235
+200
-210
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38877-0.40015-0.62096
Jean Matsumoto
Brad Katona		66.6%
33.4%
-200
+178
-210
+180
Win
Loss		-0.43149-0.42344-0.40722
Tamires Vidal
Joselyne Edwards		35.9%
64.1%
+212
-240
+195
-215
Loss
Win		-0.37436-0.40323-0.44462
Elise Reed
Jessica Penne		61.2%
38.8%
-230
+200
-200
+210
Win
Loss		-0.39087-0.39466-0.49061
Alice Ardelean
Mellisa Martinez		37.3%
62.7%
+135
-153
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.53278-0.52736-0.46657
Robelis Despaigne
Austen Lane		74.9%
25.1%
-385
+340
-390
+375
Loss
Win		-1.50247-1.56456-1.38059
Tatsuro Taira
Brandon Royval		66.9%
33.1%
-300
+255
-300
+265
Loss
Win		-1.29814-1.31841-1.10458
Junyong Park
Brad Tavares		57.7%
42.3%
-235
+203
-210
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38559-0.40015-0.55054
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.