Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) | Vegas (Rank) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Ohio State Buckeyes (13-2) | 5.7328 | - | 2.8837 (4) | 4.7220 (2) | 7.3248 (1) | 5.1822 (1) |
2. Oregon Ducks (13-1) | 5.2251 | - | 2.6779 (8) | 4.9552 (1) | 6.3204 (3) | 4.4079 (5) |
3. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-1) | 5.0479 | +1 | 2.3690 (21) | 4.3474 (3) | 6.5956 (2) | 4.2219 (7) |
4. Penn State Nittany Lions (13-3) | 4.7845 | -1 | 2.5652 (15) | 4.1000 (4) | 6.0411 (4) | 4.2333 (6) |
5. Texas Longhorns (13-3) | 4.6899 | - | 2.7728 (6) | 3.8006 (7) | 5.6773 (6) | 4.6187 (2) |
6. Georgia Bulldogs (11-3) | 4.6146 | - | 2.7285 (7) | 3.8215 (6) | 5.5523 (8) | 4.4942 (4) |
7. Ole Miss Rebels (10-3) | 4.3554 | - | 1.7740 (58) | 3.0820 (14) | 5.8240 (5) | 4.1987 (8) |
8. Indiana Hoosiers (11-2) | 4.2699 | - | 1.8540 (54) | 3.8781 (5) | 5.6612 (7) | 3.2822 (14) |
9. Alabama Crimson Tide (9-4) | 4.0494 | - | 2.5225 (18) | 3.0678 (15) | 4.5983 (12) | 4.5117 (3) |
10. Tennessee Volunteers (10-3) | 3.9171 | - | 1.8158 (55) | 3.2486 (11) | 4.5279 (15) | 3.9950 (10) |
11. South Carolina Gamecocks (9-4) | 3.6749 | - | 2.3890 (20) | 3.1109 (12) | 5.0446 (9) | 2.8864 (20) |
12. Miami Hurricanes (10-3) | 3.6318 | - | 1.5989 (62) | 2.6293 (26) | 4.2657 (19) | 4.0307 (9) |
13. SMU Mustangs (11-3) | 3.4751 | - | 1.7963 (56) | 2.9548 (19) | 4.2876 (17) | 3.1988 (16) |
14. BYU Cougars (11-2) | 3.4713 | +1 | 1.9071 (52) | 3.1017 (13) | 4.8011 (10) | 2.5223 (30) |
15. Michigan Wolverines (8-5) | 3.4629 | +1 | 3.1590 (1) | 3.5597 (8) | 4.5976 (13) | 2.2283 (44) |
16. Boise State Broncos (12-2) | 3.4158 | -2 | 1.0408 (83) | 3.4582 (10) | 4.2132 (23) | 2.5746 (27) |
17. LSU Tigers (9-4) | 3.4103 | - | 2.6332 (10) | 3.0606 (16) | 4.0827 (25) | 3.0981 (18) |
18. Texas A&M Aggies (8-5) | 3.3988 | - | 2.2174 (30) | 2.5906 (28) | 4.2250 (21) | 3.4054 (12) |
19. Clemson Tigers (10-4) | 3.3712 | - | 1.9820 (47) | 2.7903 (22) | 3.7988 (26) | 3.5422 (11) |
20. Louisville Cardinals (9-4) | 3.3686 | - | 2.0699 (43) | 2.6100 (27) | 4.3368 (16) | 3.1820 (17) |
21. Iowa State Cyclones (11-3) | 3.3447 | - | 2.1557 (37) | 2.9223 (20) | 3.7261 (28) | 3.3985 (13) |
22. Arizona State Sun Devils (11-3) | 3.3326 | - | 2.1839 (33) | 3.0306 (17) | 4.5644 (14) | 2.4121 (38) |
23. USC Trojans (7-6) | 3.3037 | +1 | 2.9090 (3) | 2.7277 (24) | 4.2202 (22) | 2.9807 (19) |
24. Illinois Fighting Illini (10-3) | 3.2930 | -1 | 2.1358 (38) | 3.5451 (9) | 4.6416 (11) | 1.6848 (61) |
25. Florida Gators (8-5) | 3.2429 | - | 2.6198 (11) | 2.8675 (21) | 4.2396 (20) | 2.6330 (26) |
26. Iowa Hawkeyes (8-5) | 3.1856 | - | 2.3484 (22) | 2.5346 (32) | 4.2701 (18) | 2.7717 (24) |
27. Kansas State Wildcats (9-4) | 3.1628 | - | 2.1694 (34) | 2.6909 (25) | 3.5488 (31) | 3.2630 (15) |
28. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-5) | 3.1541 | - | 2.2880 (25) | 2.7748 (23) | 4.1881 (24) | 2.5110 (32) |
29. Baylor Bears (8-5) | 2.9589 | - | 2.0907 (41) | 2.5360 (31) | 3.7026 (29) | 2.6510 (25) |
30. Colorado Buffaloes (9-4) | 2.8930 | - | 2.2016 (32) | 2.5181 (33) | 3.3439 (34) | 2.8282 (22) |
31. Missouri Tigers (10-3) | 2.8668 | - | 1.7379 (59) | 2.9725 (18) | 3.1351 (40) | 2.4896 (35) |
32. TCU Horned Frogs (9-4) | 2.8431 | +1 | 1.6124 (61) | 2.3295 (42) | 3.3301 (35) | 2.8852 (21) |
33. Oklahoma Sooners (6-7) | 2.8314 | -1 | 2.5642 (16) | 2.2561 (43) | 3.7453 (27) | 2.5103 (34) |
34. Nebraska Cornhuskers (7-6) | 2.7861 | - | 2.1282 (39) | 2.3400 (41) | 3.6729 (30) | 2.3591 (41) |
35. Kansas Jayhawks (5-7) | 2.6835 | - | 2.3071 (24) | 2.3825 (37) | 3.1042 (41) | 2.5730 (28) |
36. Washington Huskies (5-7) | 2.6135 | - | 2.5445 (17) | 2.0675 (51) | 3.2690 (36) | 2.5205 (31) |
37. Tulane Green Wave (9-5) | 2.5308 | - | 1.4051 (69) | 2.1368 (49) | 3.0105 (43) | 2.4571 (36) |
38. UNLV Rebels (11-3) | 2.4937 | - | 0.7879 (94) | 2.4910 (34) | 3.0430 (42) | 1.9472 (54) |
39. UCLA Bruins (5-6) | 2.4929 | - | 2.9825 (2) | 2.5469 (30) | 3.3943 (33) | 1.5360 (70) |
40. Wisconsin Badgers (5-7) | 2.4795 | - | 2.6400 (9) | 1.9731 (52) | 3.1877 (39) | 2.2931 (42) |
41. Virginia Tech Hokies (6-7) | 2.4639 | - | 2.2454 (28) | 1.9559 (53) | 3.2068 (38) | 2.2444 (43) |
42. Memphis Tigers (11-2) | 2.4617 | - | 0.6781 (100) | 2.3715 (38) | 2.8833 (45) | 2.1329 (49) |
43. Arkansas Razorbacks (7-6) | 2.4314 | - | 1.8797 (53) | 2.1952 (46) | 2.9596 (44) | 2.1466 (47) |
44. Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-5) | 2.4273 | - | 1.9692 (49) | 2.1804 (47) | 2.6703 (50) | 2.4388 (37) |
45. Army Black Knights (12-2) | 2.4077 | - | 0.7219 (97) | 2.5550 (29) | 2.8230 (48) | 1.8407 (58) |
46. Auburn Tigers (5-7) | 2.3811 | +1 | 1.9734 (48) | 1.7131 (59) | 2.8831 (46) | 2.5675 (29) |
47. Kentucky Wildcats (4-8) | 2.3753 | -1 | 2.4840 (19) | 1.7523 (58) | 2.8818 (47) | 2.5108 (33) |
48. Vanderbilt Commodores (7-6) | 2.3748 | - | 2.2153 (31) | 2.3407 (40) | 3.2596 (37) | 1.5252 (71) |
49. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (7-6) | 2.3097 | +1 | 1.9610 (50) | 2.1279 (50) | 2.6492 (51) | 2.1576 (45) |
50. Syracuse Orange (10-3) | 2.3055 | -1 | 1.6773 (60) | 2.4287 (36) | 2.4435 (56) | 2.0406 (52) |
51. Marshall Thundering Herd (10-3) | 2.3011 | - | 1.1139 (79) | 2.3700 (39) | 3.3966 (32) | 1.1346 (80) |
52. Rutgers Scarlet Knights (7-6) | 2.2278 | - | 1.9600 (51) | 2.2132 (45) | 2.6186 (52) | 1.8521 (57) |
53. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-7) | 2.1860 | - | 2.0928 (40) | 1.6952 (61) | 2.4802 (55) | 2.3975 (39) |
54. Duke Blue Devils (9-4) | 2.1776 | - | 1.5754 (63) | 2.2452 (44) | 2.6712 (49) | 1.6142 (66) |
55. Navy Midshipmen (10-3) | 2.1118 | - | 1.2207 (75) | 2.4878 (35) | 2.3207 (59) | 1.5155 (72) |
56. Pittsburgh Panthers (7-6) | 2.0675 | - | 1.4556 (68) | 1.5411 (65) | 2.5248 (54) | 2.1525 (46) |
57. Boston College Eagles (7-6) | 1.9879 | - | 1.7829 (57) | 1.8650 (55) | 2.4384 (57) | 1.6641 (62) |
58. UCF Knights (4-8) | 1.9525 | - | 2.0828 (42) | 1.2384 (82) | 1.8452 (66) | 2.7957 (23) |
59. Ohio Bobcats (10-3) | 1.9402 | - | 0.2827 (120) | 2.1435 (48) | 2.5322 (53) | 1.1387 (79) |
60. Utah Utes (5-7) | 1.9030 | - | 1.9878 (46) | 1.4319 (70) | 1.9042 (65) | 2.3872 (40) |
61. Texas State Bobcats (8-5) | 1.8919 | - | 0.6875 (98) | 1.3095 (74) | 2.2746 (60) | 2.1093 (50) |
62. Maryland Terrapins (4-8) | 1.8332 | - | 2.5903 (12) | 1.5532 (64) | 2.0695 (61) | 1.8855 (55) |
63. West Virginia Mountaineers (6-7) | 1.8091 | - | 2.1685 (35) | 1.7915 (57) | 1.6331 (73) | 2.0033 (53) |
64. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (10-4) | 1.7683 | - | 0.6502 (101) | 1.7095 (60) | 1.9492 (64) | 1.6480 (64) |
65. Michigan State Spartans (5-7) | 1.7322 | - | 2.2381 (29) | 1.8488 (56) | 1.6954 (71) | 1.6488 (63) |
66. California Golden Bears (6-7) | 1.7047 | - | 1.5386 (65) | 1.2589 (79) | 1.7721 (68) | 2.0965 (51) |
67. James Madison Dukes (9-4) | 1.6681 | - | 0.4462 (114) | 1.4608 (67) | 1.8099 (67) | 1.7400 (60) |
68. Houston Cougars (4-7) | 1.6202 | - | 2.5856 (14) | 1.9143 (54) | 1.6962 (70) | 1.2412 (77) |
69. South Alabama Jaguars (7-6) | 1.5332 | - | 0.6075 (105) | 1.2822 (77) | 2.0295 (62) | 1.2954 (75) |
70. North Carolina Tar Heels (6-7) | 1.5127 | - | 1.3673 (70) | 1.2470 (80) | 1.5307 (77) | 1.7683 (59) |
71. NC State Wolfpack (6-7) | 1.5034 | - | 1.4889 (67) | 1.3008 (76) | 1.6780 (72) | 1.5376 (69) |
72. Northwestern Wildcats (4-8) | 1.4995 | - | 2.2796 (27) | 1.4337 (69) | 2.4235 (58) | 0.6434 (95) |
73. Connecticut Huskies (9-4) | 1.4196 | - | 0.4735 (111) | 1.5794 (63) | 1.7679 (69) | 0.9067 (87) |
74. Miami (OH) RedHawks (8-5) | 1.4070 | - | 1.0972 (81) | 1.6848 (62) | 1.4630 (78) | 1.0648 (81) |
75. Virginia Cavaliers (5-7) | 1.3617 | +1 | 2.1574 (36) | 1.4443 (68) | 1.0435 (82) | 1.5948 (67) |
76. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-9) | 1.3587 | +1 | 2.3213 (23) | 1.0511 (86) | 1.1726 (81) | 1.8618 (56) |
77. Washington State Cougars (8-5) | 1.3544 | -2 | 0.6865 (99) | 0.9316 (92) | 1.5837 (75) | 1.5608 (68) |
78. Old Dominion Monarchs (5-7) | 1.3377 | - | 1.4993 (66) | 1.2458 (81) | 1.9896 (63) | 0.7805 (91) |
79. Northern Illinois Huskies (7-5) | 1.3219 | - | 0.6324 (103) | 1.3638 (73) | 1.2804 (80) | 1.3202 (74) |
80. South Florida Bulls (7-6) | 1.2824 | - | 0.7679 (95) | 1.2703 (78) | 1.5878 (74) | 0.9895 (83) |
81. UTSA Roadrunners (6-6) | 1.2538 | +1 | 0.5679 (107) | 0.9562 (90) | 1.5446 (76) | 1.2698 (76) |
82. Georgia Southern Eagles (8-5) | 1.2491 | -1 | 1.1406 (78) | 1.5225 (66) | 1.4202 (79) | 0.7962 (90) |
83. Arizona Wildcats (3-8) | 1.1525 | - | 2.0603 (44) | 0.8673 (94) | 0.4574 (99) | 2.1415 (48) |
84. Toledo Rockets (7-5) | 1.0653 | - | 0.5247 (109) | 1.1344 (84) | 0.8239 (88) | 1.2356 (78) |
85. Bowling Green Falcons (6-6) | 1.0399 | - | 0.5465 (108) | 0.9533 (91) | 0.7975 (89) | 1.3716 (73) |
86. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-8) | 1.0186 | - | 1.5646 (64) | 1.0837 (85) | 0.9553 (83) | 1.0149 (82) |
87. Appalachian State Mountaineers (5-6) | 1.0119 | - | 1.2382 (74) | 1.1842 (83) | 0.9191 (84) | 0.9271 (86) |
88. East Carolina Pirates (7-5) | 1.0013 | - | 0.5770 (106) | 1.3075 (75) | 0.8243 (87) | 0.8630 (88) |
89. Buffalo Bulls (8-4) | 0.8666 | +1 | 0.1725 (122) | 1.3976 (71) | 0.7490 (90) | 0.4372 (101) |
90. North Texas Mean Green (6-6) | 0.8655 | -1 | 0.9303 (88) | 0.8718 (93) | 0.9169 (85) | 0.8078 (89) |
91. Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-5) | 0.7575 | - | 0.9248 (89) | 1.3868 (72) | 0.5982 (94) | 0.2686 (104) |
92. Fresno State Bulldogs (6-7) | 0.7466 | - | 0.6367 (102) | 0.5109 (106) | 0.7478 (91) | 0.9882 (84) |
93. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (6-7) | 0.6891 | +1 | 0.8468 (92) | 0.8313 (96) | 0.5846 (95) | 0.6472 (94) |
94. Florida State Seminoles (2-10) | 0.6821 | -1 | 2.2803 (26) | 0.5143 (105) | -0.1033 (109) | 1.6404 (65) |
95. Stanford Cardinal (3-9) | 0.6494 | - | 2.0569 (45) | 1.0119 (87) | 0.4046 (100) | 0.5207 (98) |
96. Western Michigan Broncos (6-6) | 0.5814 | - | 0.4569 (112) | 0.8025 (97) | 0.3210 (101) | 0.6140 (96) |
97. Rice Owls (4-8) | 0.5634 | - | 1.0228 (84) | 0.9683 (89) | 0.2123 (103) | 0.4973 (99) |
98. Charlotte 49ers (5-7) | 0.5519 | - | 1.2399 (73) | 1.0083 (88) | 0.6108 (93) | 0.0228 (110) |
99. Troy Trojans (4-8) | 0.5374 | - | 0.8333 (93) | 0.5443 (104) | 0.8472 (86) | 0.2205 (106) |
100. Colorado State Rams (7-5) | 0.4779 | - | 0.4406 (115) | 0.8363 (95) | 0.1938 (104) | 0.3927 (102) |
101. Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-10) | 0.4638 | - | 2.5891 (13) | 0.1890 (116) | 0.2357 (102) | 0.9750 (85) |
102. San Jose State Spartans (7-6) | 0.4296 | - | 0.4476 (113) | 0.7811 (98) | 0.1071 (106) | 0.3900 (103) |
103. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-6) | 0.4059 | - | 0.1002 (125) | 0.5789 (102) | -0.1346 (111) | 0.7681 (92) |
104. ULM Warhawks (5-7) | 0.3849 | - | 1.2796 (72) | 0.7423 (99) | 0.6288 (92) | -0.2273 (115) |
105. Liberty Flames (8-4) | 0.3692 | - | -0.7273 (134) | 0.3728 (108) | 0.0215 (107) | 0.7130 (93) |
106. Jacksonville State Gamecocks (9-5) | 0.2793 | - | 0.0039 (130) | 0.2834 (112) | 0.4916 (98) | 0.0636 (108) |
107. Georgia State Panthers (3-9) | 0.2424 | - | 1.3046 (71) | 0.5838 (101) | -0.1122 (110) | 0.2452 (105) |
108. UAB Blazers (3-9) | 0.2396 | - | 0.9985 (85) | 0.3607 (109) | 0.5395 (96) | -0.1852 (114) |
109. Air Force Falcons (5-7) | 0.1760 | - | 0.4275 (117) | 0.4198 (107) | 0.1932 (105) | -0.0923 (113) |
110. Utah State Aggies (4-8) | 0.1254 | - | 0.7241 (96) | 0.1501 (117) | 0.5271 (97) | -0.3017 (117) |
111. New Mexico Lobos (5-7) | 0.0820 | - | 0.5050 (110) | 0.3172 (111) | -0.1806 (113) | 0.1022 (107) |
112. Oregon State Beavers (5-7) | 0.0717 | - | 0.9436 (87) | 0.3266 (110) | -0.6538 (119) | 0.5346 (97) |
113. Sam Houston State Bearkats (10-3) | 0.0539 | - | 0.0446 (128) | 0.6976 (100) | -0.1835 (114) | -0.3524 (118) |
114. Akron Zips (4-7) | 0.0506 | - | 0.9106 (91) | 0.5678 (103) | -0.0410 (108) | -0.3907 (120) |
115. Wyoming Cowboys (3-8) | -0.1134 | - | 1.1560 (77) | 0.2416 (114) | -0.1379 (112) | -0.4545 (122) |
116. Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-6) | -0.1998 | - | -0.1672 (131) | 0.1388 (118) | -0.7437 (120) | -0.0047 (111) |
117. Florida Atlantic Owls (3-9) | -0.2672 | - | 0.3879 (118) | -0.3539 (123) | -0.4865 (118) | 0.0415 (109) |
118. Temple Owls (3-9) | -0.2783 | - | 1.1596 (76) | 0.0888 (120) | -0.2298 (115) | -0.7050 (126) |
119. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (5-7) | -0.2864 | - | 0.1506 (124) | 0.2700 (113) | -0.7792 (122) | -0.3669 (119) |
120. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (5-8) | -0.3620 | +1 | -0.2563 (132) | -0.3109 (122) | -0.3138 (116) | -0.4627 (123) |
121. Nevada Wolf Pack (3-10) | -0.3632 | -1 | 1.0957 (82) | -0.2008 (121) | -0.8446 (123) | -0.0492 (112) |
122. Central Michigan Chippewas (4-7) | -0.3653 | - | 0.4333 (116) | 0.0945 (119) | -0.9293 (125) | -0.2752 (116) |
123. Purdue Boilermakers (1-11) | -0.4558 | - | 2.8339 (5) | -0.8688 (129) | -0.9507 (126) | 0.4648 (100) |
124. Ball State Cardinals (3-8) | -0.4731 | - | 0.9219 (90) | 0.2026 (115) | -0.7712 (121) | -0.8712 (128) |
125. FIU Panthers (4-8) | -0.5831 | - | -0.3268 (133) | -0.8011 (127) | -0.3988 (117) | -0.5428 (124) |
126. San Diego State Aztecs (3-9) | -0.8385 | - | 0.3062 (119) | -0.4243 (125) | -1.5160 (128) | -0.5876 (125) |
127. Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-11) | -0.9169 | - | 1.1033 (80) | -0.7784 (126) | -0.9239 (124) | -1.0526 (129) |
128. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-8) | -1.0543 | - | 0.1521 (123) | -0.3627 (124) | -2.4069 (130) | -0.4141 (121) |
129. Massachusetts Minutemen (2-10) | -1.2174 | - | 0.6273 (104) | -1.1692 (130) | -1.6871 (129) | -0.7975 (127) |
130. UTEP Miners (3-9) | -1.2431 | - | 0.0625 (126) | -0.8428 (128) | -1.5118 (127) | -1.3870 (130) |
131. New Mexico State Aggies (3-9) | -1.3246 | - | 0.0589 (127) | -0.8815 (130) | -1.5680 (129) | -1.5378 (132) |
132. MTSU Blue Raiders (3-9) | -1.4595 | - | 0.2273 (121) | -1.0091 (131) | -2.1422 (131) | -1.2409 (130) |
133. Kennesaw State Owls (2-10) | -2.3319 | - | 0.0421 (129) | -1.5969 (133) | -2.7873 (133) | -2.6185 (134) |
134. Kent State Golden Flashes (0-11) | -3.4160 | - | 0.9882 (86) | -4.6708 (134) | -3.6141 (134) | -1.9252 (133) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current NCAA Football computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these NCAA Football ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our NCAAF predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
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