Valencia at Real Sociedad

Updated

Valencia

19.4%23.5%57.1%
WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.74
0Final Score 1

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+125
L 1-0 vs Alaves+118
L 2-4 at Barcelona+825
L 2-1 vs Betis+173
W 1-0 at Osasuna+245
Real Sociedad
Money Line
L 0-2 at Barcelona+405
W 0-2 vs Las Palmas-295
L 1-0 vs Real Madrid+140
T 1-1 at Getafe+115
T 2-2 vs Almeria-350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+500+679+675+725+730+725+730+753.3
Real Sociedad-175-206-230-213-215-213-206-192.4
Draw+300+320+340+330+332+330+340+344.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+525-+670-+475+640+670+753.3
Real Sociedad-170--217--200-210-200-192.4
Draw+285-+320-+250+320+320+344.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 30.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +675 to +650
Real Sociedad ML moved from -209 to -215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 30.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +520 to +490
Real Sociedad ML moved from -200 to -217

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2½+115o2¼-105o2¼-113o2¼-110o2¼-113o2¼-105o2¼-103
Underu2¼-120u2½-135u2¼-115u2¼-107u2¼-104u2¼-107u2½-135u2¼+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+130o2½+125o2½+120-o2-150o2½+120o2-150o2¼-103
Underu2½-150u2½-145u2½-140-u2+120u2½-140u2½-140u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-145 to o2½+118
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-110 to o2-150
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.03%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 414.55%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.67%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 57.73%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 040.25%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.67%
Exactly 35.06%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 017.47%
Exactly 130.48%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 315.46%
Exactly 46.75%
Exactly 52.35%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.25%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 065.62%
Exactly 127.65%
Exactly 25.82%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 044.58%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 214.55%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals6.38%
Wins by 3+ goals1.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals32.08%
Wins by 3+ goals14.46%
Wins by 4+ goals5.33%
Wins by 5+ goals1.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal13.01%
Wins by 2 goals4.79%
Wins by 3 goals1.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal24.95%
Wins by 2 goals17.62%
Wins by 3 goals9.12%
Wins by 4 goals3.70%
Wins by 5 goals1.23%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.97%7.03%
1.574.30%25.70%
2.549.53%50.47%
3.527.60%72.40%
4.513.05%86.95%
5.55.32%94.68%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.75%40.25%
1.523.12%76.88%
2.56.45%93.55%
3.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.53%17.47%
1.552.06%47.94%
2.525.47%74.53%
3.510.00%90.00%
4.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.75%29.25%
1.534.79%65.21%
2.512.69%87.31%
3.53.64%96.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
7.03%
12.27%
10.70%
6.22%
2.72%
0.95%
1
6.40%
11.16%
9.74%
5.66%
2.47%
0.86%
2
2.91%
5.08%
4.43%
2.58%
1.12%
0.39%
3
0.88%
1.54%
1.34%
0.78%
0.34%
0.12%
4
0.20%
0.35%
0.31%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
Valencia
1-06.40%
2-02.91%
2-15.08%
3-00.88%
3-11.54%
3-21.34%
4-00.20%
4-10.35%
4-20.31%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-07.03%
1-111.16%
2-24.43%
3-30.78%
Real Sociedad
0-112.27%
0-210.70%
1-29.74%
0-36.22%
1-35.66%
2-32.58%
0-42.72%
1-42.47%
2-41.12%
3-40.34%
0-50.95%
1-50.86%
2-50.39%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
29.25%
23.63%
9.55%
2.57%
0.52%
1
12.33%
9.96%
4.02%
1.08%
0.22%
2
2.60%
2.10%
0.85%
0.23%
0.05%
3
0.36%
0.29%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Valencia
1-012.33%
2-02.60%
2-12.10%
3-00.36%
3-10.29%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-029.25%
1-19.96%
2-20.85%
Real Sociedad
0-123.63%
0-29.55%
1-24.02%
0-32.57%
1-31.08%
2-30.23%
0-40.52%
1-40.22%