Villarreal at Celta Vigo

Updated

Villarreal

30.6%26.5%42.9%
Villarreal WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.40
2Final Score 3

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Rayo Vallecano-125
W 2-1 at Almeria-105
T 1-1 at Athletic Club+438
L 2-1 vs Atletico Madrid+210
W 0-1 vs Valencia+121
Celta Vigo
Money Line
L 0-3 at Alaves+190
W 1-4 vs Las Palmas-135
L 1-2 at Betis+300
T 0-0 vs Rayo Vallecano-106
W 2-1 at Sevilla+318

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+200+155+165+155+150+155+160+164.0
Celta Vigo+133+169+150+175+178+175+178+184.7
Draw+260+262+265+258+264+258+265+270.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+140-+161+170+160+150+170+164.0
Celta Vigo+215-+154+125+120+170+170+184.7
Draw+215-+262+250+245+255+262+270.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +173 to +153
Celta Vigo ML moved from +140 to +134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 40.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +170 to +150
Celta Vigo ML moved from +215 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+111o3-101o3+102o3-106o3+101o3-106o3+102o3+104
Underu3-131u3-117u3-122u3-114u3-117u3-114u3-114u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3+100o3+100o3+110o3+105o3+100o3+110o3+104
Underu2½+125u3-120u3-120u3-130u3-135u3-120u3-120u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.91%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 413.65%
Exactly 62.93%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.07%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 56.93%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 032.04%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 024.68%
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 311.27%
Exactly 43.94%
Exactly 51.10%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.89%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.35%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 059.04%
Exactly 131.11%
Exactly 28.20%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 052.32%
Exactly 133.89%
Exactly 210.98%
Exactly 32.37%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals12.13%
Wins by 3+ goals3.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals20.30%
Wins by 3+ goals7.54%
Wins by 4+ goals2.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal18.34%
Wins by 2 goals8.44%
Wins by 3 goals2.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal22.55%
Wins by 2 goals12.76%
Wins by 3 goals5.30%
Wins by 4 goals1.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.09%7.91%
1.572.02%27.98%
2.546.57%53.43%
3.525.04%74.96%
4.511.38%88.62%
5.54.45%95.55%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.96%32.04%
1.531.49%68.51%
2.510.74%89.26%
3.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.32%24.68%
1.540.78%59.22%
2.516.63%83.37%
3.55.36%94.64%
4.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.11%30.89%
1.532.82%67.18%
2.511.51%88.49%
3.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Score012345
0
7.91%
11.07%
7.74%
3.61%
1.26%
0.35%
1
9.00%
12.59%
8.81%
4.11%
1.44%
0.40%
2
5.12%
7.17%
5.01%
2.34%
0.82%
0.23%
3
1.94%
2.72%
1.90%
0.89%
0.31%
0.09%
4
0.55%
0.77%
0.54%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.18%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-09.00%
2-05.12%
2-17.17%
3-01.94%
3-12.72%
3-21.90%
4-00.55%
4-10.77%
4-20.54%
4-30.25%
5-00.13%
5-10.18%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-07.91%
1-112.59%
2-25.01%
3-30.89%
Celta Vigo
0-111.07%
0-27.74%
1-28.81%
0-33.61%
1-34.11%
2-32.34%
0-41.26%
1-41.44%
2-40.82%
3-40.31%
0-50.35%
1-50.40%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
30.89%
20.01%
6.48%
1.40%
0.23%
1
16.28%
10.54%
3.41%
0.74%
0.12%
2
4.29%
2.78%
0.90%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.75%
0.49%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-016.28%
2-04.29%
2-12.78%
3-00.75%
3-10.49%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-030.89%
1-110.54%
2-20.90%
Celta Vigo
0-120.01%
0-26.48%
1-23.41%
0-31.40%
1-30.74%
2-30.19%
0-40.23%
1-40.12%