Atletico Goianiense at Sao Paulo

Updated 69 days ago

07:00 PM • Aug 11, 2024

Atletico Goianiense

17.6%24.5%57.9%

WinDrawSao Paulo Win

0.78Projected Goals 1.64

0Final Score 1

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Goianiense		Money Line
L 4-1	8/03 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-2	7/28 at Flamengo
T 1-1	7/25 vs Bahia
L 1-3	7/21 at Fortaleza
L 1-0	7/17 vs Vasco da Gama

Sao Paulo		Money Line
W 0-1	8/04 vs Flamengo
T 2-2	7/24 vs Botafogo RJ
T 0-0	7/21 at Juventude
W 0-1	7/17 vs Gremio
L 1-2	7/12 at Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

:-2.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Goianiense	+547	+431	+340	+342	+347	+342	+431	+363.6
Sao Paulo	-184	-137	-110	-107	-112	-107	-107	+102.9
Draw	+321	+265	+235	+227	+231	+227	+265	+243.0

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Goianiense	-	-	-	-	-	+363.6
Sao Paulo	-	-	-	-	-	+102.9
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+243.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Goianiense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Goianiense: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Goianiense: 30.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Goianiense: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Goianiense ML

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:0.6%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+112	o2-146	o2¼+105	o2-127	o2-130	o2-127	o2-127	o2-116
Under	u2½-132	u2+124	u2¼-125	u2+107	u2+106	u2+107	u2+124	u2+116

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-116
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	43.5%


No	56.5%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.94%
Exactly 2	26.06%
Exactly 4	12.67%
Exactly 6	2.46%
Exactly 8	0.26%


Exactly 1	21.58%
Exactly 3	20.98%
Exactly 5	6.12%
Exactly 7	0.85%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Goianiense
Exactly 0	45.98%
Exactly 1	35.72%
Exactly 2	13.88%
Exactly 3	3.59%
Exactly 4	0.70%
Exactly 5	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	19.43%
Exactly 1	31.83%
Exactly 2	26.08%
Exactly 3	14.24%
Exactly 4	5.83%
Exactly 5	1.91%
Exactly 6	0.52%
Exactly 7	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	32.69%
Exactly 2	20.44%
Exactly 4	2.13%


Exactly 1	36.55%
Exactly 3	7.62%
Exactly 5	0.48%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Goianiense
Exactly 0	69.79%
Exactly 1	25.10%
Exactly 2	4.51%
Exactly 3	0.54%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	46.84%
Exactly 1	35.53%
Exactly 2	13.47%
Exactly 3	3.41%
Exactly 4	0.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Goianiense
Wins by 2+ goals	5.18%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.14%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.19%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals	31.74%
Wins by 3+ goals	13.78%
Wins by 4+ goals	4.86%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.42%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Goianiense

Sao Paulo

Atletico Goianiense
Wins by 1 goal	12.40%
Wins by 2 goals	4.04%
Wins by 3 goals	0.95%
Wins by 4 goals	0.17%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal	26.15%
Wins by 2 goals	17.96%
Wins by 3 goals	8.92%
Wins by 4 goals	3.44%
Wins by 5 goals	1.08%
Wins by 6 goals	0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.06%	8.94%
1.5	69.48%	30.52%
2.5	43.42%	56.58%
3.5	22.44%	77.56%
4.5	9.78%	90.22%
5.5	3.66%	96.34%
6.5	1.20%	98.80%

Total Goals Atletico Goianiense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	54.02%	45.98%
1.5	18.29%	81.71%
2.5	4.42%	95.58%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	80.57%	19.43%
1.5	48.74%	51.26%
2.5	22.66%	77.34%
3.5	8.42%	91.58%
4.5	2.59%	97.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.31%	32.69%
1.5	30.76%	69.24%
2.5	10.33%	89.67%
3.5	2.71%	97.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Goianiense

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.94%	14.64%	11.99%	6.55%	2.68%	0.88%
1	6.94%	11.37%	9.32%	5.09%	2.08%	0.68%
2	2.70%	4.42%	3.62%	1.98%	0.81%	0.27%
3	0.70%	1.14%	0.94%	0.51%	0.21%	0.07%
4	0.14%	0.22%	0.18%	0.10%	0.04%	0.01%

Atletico Goianiense
1-0	6.94%
2-0	2.70%
2-1	4.42%
3-0	0.70%
3-1	1.14%
3-2	0.94%
4-0	0.14%
4-1	0.22%
4-2	0.18%

Draw
0-0	8.94%
1-1	11.37%
2-2	3.62%
3-3	0.51%

Sao Paulo
0-1	14.64%
0-2	11.99%
1-2	9.32%
0-3	6.55%
1-3	5.09%
2-3	1.98%
0-4	2.68%
1-4	2.08%
2-4	0.81%
3-4	0.21%
0-5	0.88%
1-5	0.68%
2-5	0.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Goianiense

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	32.69%	24.79%	9.40%	2.38%	0.45%
1	11.76%	8.92%	3.38%	0.86%	0.16%
2	2.11%	1.60%	0.61%	0.15%	0.03%
3	0.25%	0.19%	0.07%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Goianiense
1-0	11.76%
2-0	2.11%
2-1	1.60%
3-0	0.25%
3-1	0.19%

Draw
0-0	32.69%
1-1	8.92%
2-2	0.61%

Sao Paulo
0-1	24.79%
0-2	9.40%
1-2	3.38%
0-3	2.38%
1-3	0.86%
2-3	0.15%
0-4	0.45%
1-4	0.16%

Vitória at Bahia

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Atletico Goianiense at Sao Paulo