Goias at Gremio

Updated

Goias

14.4%20.3%65.2%
WinDrawGremio Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.02
1Final Score 2

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Goias
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Cruzeiro
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
L 1-0 vs Santos
W 1-0 at Coritiba
L 2-0 vs Bragantino
Gremio
Money Line
L 0-3 at Atletico Mineiro
L 1-0 vs Corinthians
W 4-3 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1 vs Bahia
W 2-1 at Coritiba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Goias+420+525+500+525+525+525+525+555.6
Gremio-145-186-195-200-200-200-186-174.4
Draw+280+336+350+350+350+350+350+372.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Goias-----+555.6
Gremio------174.4
Draw-----+372.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Goias: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Goias: 0.0%
Gremio: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Goias: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Goias ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o3+118o2¾+102o2¾-113o2¾-113o2¾-113o2¾+102o2¾-103
Underu2½-118u3-138u2¾-122u2¾-107u2¾-107u2¾-107u3-138u2¾+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-103
Under-----u2¾+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.77%
Exactly 223.47%
Exactly 415.92%
Exactly 64.32%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.45%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.08%
Exactly 71.76%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Goias
Exactly 043.64%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.00%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 013.21%
Exactly 126.74%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.26%
Exactly 49.24%
Exactly 53.74%
Exactly 61.26%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.69%
Exactly 223.28%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 310.25%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Goias
Exactly 068.12%
Exactly 126.15%
Exactly 25.02%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 039.18%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.20%
Exactly 35.37%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Goias
Wins by 2+ goals4.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals40.47%
Wins by 3+ goals20.50%
Wins by 4+ goals8.57%
Wins by 5+ goals2.98%
Wins by 6+ goals0.84%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Goias
Gremio
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Goias
Wins by 1 goal10.09%
Wins by 2 goals3.35%
Wins by 3 goals0.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal24.62%
Wins by 2 goals19.97%
Wins by 3 goals11.93%
Wins by 4 goals5.59%
Wins by 5 goals2.14%
Wins by 6 goals0.68%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.23%5.77%
1.577.78%22.22%
2.554.31%45.69%
3.531.99%68.01%
4.516.07%83.93%
5.56.98%93.02%
6.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Goias Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.36%43.64%
1.520.17%79.83%
2.55.17%94.83%
3.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.79%13.21%
1.560.04%39.96%
2.532.98%67.02%
3.514.72%85.28%
4.55.48%94.52%
5.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.31%26.69%
1.538.06%61.94%
2.514.77%85.23%
3.54.52%95.48%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Goias
Gremio
Score012345
0
5.77%
11.67%
11.81%
7.97%
4.03%
1.63%
1
4.78%
9.68%
9.79%
6.61%
3.34%
1.35%
2
1.98%
4.01%
4.06%
2.74%
1.39%
0.56%
3
0.55%
1.11%
1.12%
0.76%
0.38%
0.16%
4
0.11%
0.23%
0.23%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
Goias
1-04.78%
2-01.98%
2-14.01%
3-00.55%
3-11.11%
3-21.12%
4-00.11%
4-10.23%
4-20.23%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-05.77%
1-19.68%
2-24.06%
3-30.76%
Gremio
0-111.67%
0-211.81%
1-29.79%
0-37.97%
1-36.61%
2-32.74%
0-44.03%
1-43.34%
2-41.39%
3-40.38%
0-51.63%
1-51.35%
2-50.56%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Goias
Gremio
Score012345
0
26.69%
25.01%
11.72%
3.66%
0.86%
0.16%
1
10.25%
9.60%
4.50%
1.40%
0.33%
0.06%
2
1.97%
1.84%
0.86%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.25%
0.24%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Goias
1-010.25%
2-01.97%
2-11.84%
3-00.25%
3-10.24%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-026.69%
1-19.60%
2-20.86%
Gremio
0-125.01%
0-211.72%
1-24.50%
0-33.66%
1-31.40%
2-30.27%
0-40.86%
1-40.33%
0-50.16%