Athletico Paranaense at Cruzeiro

Updated 357 days ago

11:00 PM • Nov 30, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

32.3%32.8%34.8%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawCruzeiro Win

0.88Projected Goals 0.92

1Final Score 1

Cruzeiro

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 0-0	11/25 vs Vasco da Gama
T 1-1	11/12 at Bahia
T 1-1	11/08 vs Fortaleza
L 0-1	11/05 at Palmeiras
L 0-1	11/01 at Corinthians

Cruzeiro		Money Line
W 1-0	11/28 at Goias
T 2-2	11/22 vs Vasco da Gama
W 1-0	11/18 at Fortaleza
L 0-1	11/11 at Coritiba
L 2-1	11/05 vs Internacional

Money Line Analysis

:5.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+258	-	-	-	+307	-	+307	-
Cruzeiro	+116	-	-	-	-105	-	-105	-
Draw	+224	-	-	-	+239	-	+239	-

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cruzeiro	-	-	-	-	-	-
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Cruzeiro: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Cruzeiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Cruzeiro: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Cruzeiro: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Cruzeiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.7%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-119	-	-	-	o2¼+100	-	o2¼+100	-
Under	u2-101	-	-	-	u2¼-122	-	u2¼-122	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	35.3%


No	64.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	16.48%
Exactly 2	26.79%
Exactly 4	7.26%
Exactly 6	0.79%


Exactly 1	29.72%
Exactly 3	16.10%
Exactly 5	2.62%
Exactly 7	0.20%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	41.54%
Exactly 1	36.49%
Exactly 2	16.03%
Exactly 3	4.69%
Exactly 4	1.03%
Exactly 5	0.18%

Exact Goals Scored - Cruzeiro
Exactly 0	39.67%
Exactly 1	36.68%
Exactly 2	16.95%
Exactly 3	5.22%
Exactly 4	1.21%
Exactly 5	0.22%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	43.40%
Exactly 2	15.12%
Exactly 4	0.88%


Exactly 1	36.23%
Exactly 3	4.21%
Exactly 5	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	66.58%
Exactly 1	27.08%
Exactly 2	5.51%
Exactly 3	0.75%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cruzeiro
Exactly 0	65.18%
Exactly 1	27.90%
Exactly 2	5.97%
Exactly 3	0.85%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	11.08%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.82%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.55%

Cruzeiro
Wins by 2+ goals	12.48%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.32%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Cruzeiro

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	21.21%
Wins by 2 goals	8.27%
Wins by 3 goals	2.27%
Wins by 4 goals	0.48%

Cruzeiro
Wins by 1 goal	22.32%
Wins by 2 goals	9.15%
Wins by 3 goals	2.65%
Wins by 4 goals	0.58%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	83.52%	16.48%
1.5	53.80%	46.20%
2.5	27.02%	72.98%
3.5	10.92%	89.08%
4.5	3.66%	96.34%
5.5	1.05%	98.95%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	58.46%	41.54%
1.5	21.96%	78.04%
2.5	5.94%	94.06%
3.5	1.24%	98.76%

Total Goals Cruzeiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	60.33%	39.67%
1.5	23.65%	76.35%
2.5	6.69%	93.31%
3.5	1.47%	98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	56.60%	43.40%
1.5	20.38%	79.62%
2.5	5.25%	94.75%
3.5	1.05%	98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Cruzeiro

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.48%	15.24%	7.04%	2.17%	0.50%
1	14.48%	13.38%	6.19%	1.91%	0.44%
2	6.36%	5.88%	2.72%	0.84%	0.19%
3	1.86%	1.72%	0.80%	0.25%	0.06%
4	0.41%	0.38%	0.17%	0.05%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	14.48%
2-0	6.36%
2-1	5.88%
3-0	1.86%
3-1	1.72%
3-2	0.80%
4-0	0.41%
4-1	0.38%
4-2	0.17%

Draw
0-0	16.48%
1-1	13.38%
2-2	2.72%
3-3	0.25%

Cruzeiro
0-1	15.24%
0-2	7.04%
1-2	6.19%
0-3	2.17%
1-3	1.91%
2-3	0.84%
0-4	0.50%
1-4	0.44%
2-4	0.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Cruzeiro

Score	0	1	2	3
0	43.40%	18.58%	3.98%	0.57%
1	17.65%	7.56%	1.62%	0.23%
2	3.59%	1.54%	0.33%	0.05%
3	0.49%	0.21%	0.04%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	17.65%
2-0	3.59%
2-1	1.54%
3-0	0.49%
3-1	0.21%

Draw
0-0	43.40%
1-1	7.56%
2-2	0.33%

Cruzeiro
0-1	18.58%
0-2	3.98%
1-2	1.62%
0-3	0.57%
1-3	0.23%

Goias at Gremio

Fortaleza at Bragantino

Athletico Paranaense at Cruzeiro